KHN On Call: When Is ACA Repeal For Real?

http://khn.org/news/khn-on-call-whats-next-for-the-aca/?utm_campaign=KFF-2017-The-Latest&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=43341984&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-9_1GvdgggkqzXvKT5fq_mHP4_2YnM-JB9ak6X07OsxNOeRkPvXsuNMM6Ar2K0ZNnRUpliWC_lblb9JzfI-iC7Q5W2WEw&_hsmi=43341984

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Health care under the Affordable Care Act is poised to change — again. The Republican-led Congress has vowed to “repeal and replace” the health law known as Obamacare.

That has left many people anxious and confused about what will happen and when. So NPR’s Morning Edition asked listeners to post questions on Twitter and Facebook, and we will be answering some of them here and on the radio in the weeks ahead.

Many of the questions or comments that have come in so far have to do with timing. For example, Steva Stowell-Hardcastle of Lewisburg, Pa., said, “I’m confused about what parts of the ACA have been repealed and when those changes take place.”

First, while some parts of the huge health law have been altered since it passed in 2010, nothing substantive has been repealed in 2017.

Amid Repeal Debate, Public Views Obamacare More Favorably Than Unfavorably

Amid Repeal Debate, Public Views Obamacare More Favorably Than Unfavorably

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Public Remains Split on Repeal but a Small Share, Including 31% of Republicans, Favor Repeal Without Replace

Large Majorities Want to Continue Federal Funding for Medicaid Expansion; Two Thirds Favor Current Federal Role over Block Grants or Per-Capita Caps

As President Trump and Congress weigh repealing the Affordable Care Act, the latest Kaiser Health Tracking Poll finds more Americans viewing the law favorably than unfavorably (48% compared to 42%). This is the highest level of favorability measured in more than 60 Kaiser Health Tracking Polls conducted since 2010.

The shift largely reflects more favorable views among independents, who now are more likely to view the law favorably (50%) than unfavorably (39%). Most Democrats (73%) continue to view the law favorably while most Republicans (74%) view it unfavorably.

In spite of these more favorable views, the public remains divided along partisan lines on whether Congress should (47%) or should not (48%) repeal the law. At the same time, more of those who favor repeal want lawmakers to wait until the details of a replacement plan are known (28% overall) than want Congress to repeal immediately and work out the replacement’s details later (18% overall).

Even among Republicans, while the majority want to see Congress vote to repeal the law – fewer want them to vote to repeal the law immediately (31%) than want them to wait until they have the details of a replacement plan announced (48%), and 16 percent of Republicans do not want the law repealed at all.

Kaiser Health Tracking Poll: The Public’s Views on the ACA

http://kff.org/interactive/kaiser-health-tracking-poll-the-publics-views-on-the-aca/#?utm_campaign=KFF-2017-The-Latest&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=43341984&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-86QHWrVmP48BmyhPmTDVzazJzgFw37Y9zF2saKAABCYN_VGfiT50yr02b8kiJf-WmBSkdlh44Cmpb6p44N6sOQUKft_Q&_hsmi=43341984&response=Favorable–Unfavorable&aRange=twoYear

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The public has remained deeply divided on the health reform law since it was passed in March 2010. Click below to examine how specific groups feel about the law and how those opinions have changed or not changed over time.

We asked: “As you may know, a health reform bill was signed into law in 2010. Given what you know about the health reform law, do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of it?”

 

Boehner: Obamacare repeal and replace ‘not what’s going to happen’

http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/23/politics/john-boehner-obamacare/index.html?utm_campaign=KHN%3A+Daily+Health+Policy+Report&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=43324818&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-9C9fLN0rK4GC4KdmmWnHv-okc_wBb4e7YECRpU-GCF-tFoU9S3NT2PefNssGFFgPB3RIF6OveTi7FGS6p2MSrujC6N4w&_hsmi=43324818

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http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/john-boehner-obamacare-republicans-235303?utm_campaign=KHN%3A+Daily+Health+Policy+Report&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=43324818&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8KtlQSRQZul4ADjabrVQWksL4Jg5gFnXjByDRcBJ3hlWX3L-r4Yp-V6RAex9ClyzM6WsfFxWNGPyeeWd-LFFvLvt0Pag&_hsmi=43324818

Former House Speaker John Boehner threw cold water Thursday on the prospect of congressional Republicans following through on their pledge to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act.

“They’ll fix Obamacare,” the former Ohio congressman predicted at a conference hosted by the Healthcare Information and Management Systems Society in Orlando, Florida. “I shouldn’t have called it repeal and replace because that’s not what’s going to happen. They’re basically going to fix the flaws and put a more conservative box around it.”
Boehner’s comments come as his former colleagues face an uncertain path forward on dismantling then-President Barack Obama’s signature achievement. The party has yet to settle on a replacement plan, and many members are facing criticism at town hall meetings this week from constituents who are upset about the potential ramifications of Republicans following through on the campaign pledge.
The former speaker noted the difficulty Republicans would confront in getting everyone on board.
“This is not all that hard to figure out, except this: In the 25 years that I served in the United States Congress, Republicans never, ever one time agreed on what a healthcare proposal should look like. Not once,” Boehner said.
He said lawmakers were too confident in how easy they thought the process would go.
“All this happy talk that went on in November and December and January about repeal, repeal, repeal — yeah we’ll do replace, replace — I started laughing because if you pass repeal without replace, first, anything that happens is your fault. You broke it.”
Boehner said he warned GOP leaders about repealing Obamacare without a replacement ready because the members “will never ever agree what the bill should be.”
“Perfect always becomes the enemy of the good,” he added.
Boehner also predicted that some of the fundamental pieces of the health care law would remain in place, including coverage for children up to age 26 and for those with pre-existing conditions. “Most of the Affordable Care Act, the framework, is going to stay there.”

How Medicaid Helps Your State

http://www.commonwealthfund.org/interactives-and-data/infographics/2017/feb/how-medicaid-helps-your-state

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As of the November 2016 open enrollment period, Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program have added a total of 16.4 million beneficiaries nationally since the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA) coverage expansions went into effect. Moreover, billions of dollars in federal funding for health care have flowed into states.

Both a repeal of the ACA’s Medicaid expansion and alternative approaches to funding, such as block grants, are now under discussion. These changes may result in less federal funds for states to spend on Medicaid, and lead to reduced access to care, reduced payments to health care providers, and job losses.

Click on a state in the map below to view a state Medicaid fact sheet, or browse by state alphabetically below the map.

Repeal & Replace: Missing the Medicare Forest for the Obamacare Trees

http://www.realclearhealth.com/articles/2017/02/24/repeal__replace_missing_the_medicare_forest_for_the_obamacare_trees_110464.html?utm_source=RealClearHealth+Morning+Scan&utm_campaign=bf5d282de4-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_b4baf6b587-bf5d282de4-84752421

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The Trump Administration has promised to deliver to the American people a healthcare plan that is, in President Trump’s own words, “much less expensive and far better” than Obamacare. But While Obamacare is expected to spend over $900 billion from 2018 to 2027, focusing solely on the Obama administration’s signature achievement ignores bigger fiscal challenges; Namely, the Medicare program.

Our insurance program for the elderly and disabled – Medicare – is expected to cost $900 billion in 2024 alone. From 2018 to 2027, this comes to a whopping $8.5 trillion—an order of magnitude larger than the cost of the ACA. Beyond the topline price tag are a number of endangered programs.

Medicare’s hospital insurance trust fund, commonly known as Part A, is expected to run out of money in the next 10 years. This would mean an immediate reduction in benefits when the money runs out—2028, according to the program’s actuaries. Meanwhile, the funds that Medicare uses to pay for physician services (Part B) and prescription drug benefits (Part D) are consistently growing as a share of revenue.

 

Pew Poll: Support for ACA Reaches New High

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/02/23/support-for-2010-health-care-law-reaches-new-high/

With congressional Republicans discussing proposals to replace the Affordable Care Act, public support for the 2010 health care law has reached its highest level on record.

Currently, 54% approve of the health care law passed seven years ago by Barack Obama and Congress, while 43% disapprove, according to a national Pew Research Center survey conducted Feb. 7-12 among 1,503 adults.

Throughout the law’s history, opinions about the Affordable Care Act have tended to be more negative than positive — or, less frequently, divided. As recently as December, about as many approved (48%) as disapproved (47%) of the law.

The new survey finds that when those who disapprove of the law are asked about what should happen to it now, more want GOP congressional leaders to focus their efforts on modifying the law than on getting rid of it. One-in-four adults want Republican leaders to modify the law, while 17% want them to get rid of it entirely. 

As in the past, there are deep partisan divisions over the health care law. Democrats overwhelmingly support the law, with 85% expressing approval. Among independents, about half (53%) approve of the health care law, while 45% disapprove. By contrast, Republicans broadly disapprove of the law (89%); just 10% express approval.

Republicans who disapprove of the health care law are divided on whether GOP congressional leaders should modify the health care law or get rid of it entirely. Nearly equal shares say Republican leaders in Congress should focus their efforts on modifying the law (42%) and focus on getting rid of it entirely (44%).

Among independents, nearly twice as many say Republican leaders should focus on modifying the law rather than scrapping it (29% vs. 15%).

GOP governors confront Medicaid divide

GOP governors confront Medicaid divide

GOP governors confront Medicaid divide

Governors are descending on Washington this weekend as Republicans wrestle with the future of ObamaCare’s expansion of Medicaid.

GOP lawmakers say they are looking to governors for advice on what to do about the program, which is one of the toughest issues Republicans face as they look to repeal and replace the healthcare law.

Many of the lawmakers representing states that accepted the Medicaid expansion are looking to keep it. But they are at odds with conservatives and Republicans from states that rejected the expansion; they are pushing full repeal.

It will be hard for any repeal and replace bill to pass Congress unless Republicans can bridge that divide, and they are looking to the governors, who help run Medicaid as a joint federal-state program, for help.

“We’re in extensive discussions with them and we’ll talk with them more when they get here and then move ahead on both Medicaid and the individual market,” Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) told reporters earlier this month, speaking of the governors meeting.

Republican governors are almost evenly divided on the Medicaid issue, with 17 hailing from states that rejected the expansion, and 16 hailing from states that accepted it.

States that took the expansion broadened eligibility for Medicaid — the government healthcare program for the poor and disabled — up to 138 percent of the federal poverty line. About 11 million people have gained coverage because of the Medicaid expansion.

The healthcare plan that House Republicans outlined last week calls for eventually eliminating the extra federal funding for the Medicaid expansion. If states wanted to continue covering the additional people, they would have to spend more of their own money.

Some Republican governors from states that accepted the expansion have been vocal about wanting to protect it — and none more so than Ohio Gov. John Kasich.

Over the weekend Kasich called the House GOP plan “a very, very bad idea, because we cannot turn our back on the most vulnerable.”

With Coverage in Peril and Obama Gone, Health Law’s Critics Go Quiet

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For seven years, few issues have animated conservative voters as much as the repeal of the Affordable Care Act. But with President Barack Obama out of office, the debate over “Obamacare” is becoming less about “Obama” and more about “care” — greatly complicating the issue for Republican lawmakers.

Polling indicates that more Republicans want to make fixes to the law rather than do away with it. President Trump, who remains popular on the right, has mused about a replacement plan that is even more expansive than the original. The conservative news media are focused more on Mr. Trump’s near-daily skirmishes with Democrats and reporters, among others, than on policy issues like health care. And the congressional debate, as well as the paid advertisements on both sides, is centered on the substance of the law rather than its namesake, draining some of its toxicity on the right.

As liberals overwhelm congressional town hall-style meetings and deluge the Capitol phone system with pleas to protect the health law, there is no similar clamor for dismantling it, Mr. Obama’s signature legislative accomplishment. From deeply conservative districts in the South and the West to the more moderate parts of the Northeast, Republicans in Congress say there is significantly less intensity among opponents of the law than when Mr. Obama was in office.

“I hear more concerns than before about ‘You’re going to repeal it, and we’re all going to lose insurance’ because they don’t think we’re going to replace it,” said Representative Mike Simpson, a Republican who represents a conservative district in Idaho.

But it was not until now, with the Republicans taking control of the federal government, that the debate fully shifted from the theoretical to the tangible. It was easy for conservatives to rally against a law identified with a president they despised when he was capable of vetoing any repeal. Now that he is gone and the law’s benefits appear to be on the chopping block, the people who stand to lose the most are the most vocal.

“I’ve heard from constituents who have been harmed by the Affordable Care Act over the course of its being in existence,” said Representative Leonard Lance, Republican of New Jersey, whose affluent district Mr. Trump narrowly lost last year. “More recently, because of our discussions on repairing it, I’ve heard from those who do not wish to have the act amended. More recently, that is the preponderance of those who have contacted me.”

It is a longstanding rule of politics that rallying opposition to a proposal is usually easier than galvanizing support. And never is this more the case than when a widely distributed benefit is at risk of being taken away.

GOP anxiety rises as conservatives and moderates split on ACA repeal

http://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20170218/MAGAZINE/302189962

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Divisions sharpened last week between hard-right and more pragmatic Republicans over both policy and strategy for repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act.

Those differences—along with the apparently slow progress in drafting actual legislation that could be scored by the Congressional Budget Office on cost and coverage impact—underscore the tough struggle Republicans face in dismantling Obamacare and establishing an alternative system.

One of their biggest disagreements is over the future of the ACA’s expansion of Medicaid coverage to more than 10 million low-income adults. Conservatives want to eliminate it while a number of GOP senators and governors want to keep that coverage.

Congressional Republicans are feeling growing pressure to show progress on healthcare. Many are going back to their districts this week and holding town hall events, where they may face constituents who are upset about the potential loss of their ACA coverage. In addition, insurers are signaling they may pull out of the individual market in 2018, as Humana announced it would do last week.

House Speaker Paul Ryan promised Thursday to introduce repeal-and-replace legislation when the House returns from recess on Feb. 27, though he’s presented no legislative language so far. He said he’s waiting for the CBO and the Joint Committee on Taxation to score his proposed bill on costs and coverage levels before it’s unveiled.

Ryan has promised the House will repeal most of the ACA via an expedited budget reconciliation bill passed on a party-line vote by early April. He’s indicated it will include some replacement features, such as expanded health savings accounts and age-based premium tax credits.

GOP leaders want to erase most of the ACA taxes that fund the law’s coverage expansions and replace them with a cap on the tax exclusion employees receive for employer-provided health benefits.

Two people familiar with Ryan’s proposal told the Associated Press that employees would pay taxes on the value of coverage above $12,000 for individuals and $30,000 for families. Republicans would not confirm those amounts. But House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady told reporters that the “vast majority of Americans” would be unaffected. That suggests it wouldn’t raise much revenue.

That proposal is likely to trigger strong opposition from business and labor groups and from many conservative congressional Republicans, who may see it as a new tax.