As Commercial Capitation Sinks, Can California’s Physician Organizations Stay Afloat?

http://www.chcf.org/publications/2016/11/commercial-capitation-sinks

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California is seeing the decline of capitation — fixed prepayment for care of a defined population — particularly for commercial health insurance products. This issue brief explores the impact of this trend on the state’s medical groups and independent practice associations (IPAs). The main question at hand is whether California’s delegated model will remain sustainable with lower levels of commercial capitation.

The analysis is based on both quantitative and qualitative data. The medical group and IPA leaders interviewed for this research made a number of observations, including:

  • The near future is uncertain. Declining capitation has not yet had a big impact on their operations, but they suspect it may soon.
  • Change thus far has been slow enough that organizations have been able to adapt.
  • Declining prepayment will not impact clinical decisionmaking.
  • Medicare and Medi-Cal offer more opportunities to accept capitation, but these do not necessarily compensate for the loss of commercial capitation.
  • Leaders are concerned that high deductibles may adversely affect the health of patients.

The research points to the importance of continuing to track changes in the payment environment of California’s capitated, delegated physician organizations. Although the decline in commercial capitation has been slow enough that it has not yet led to significant changes in operations, it may soon do so.

The full issue brief is available as a Document Download.

Click to access PDF%20CommercialCapitationSinks.pdf

 

Dynamics of Decline: The Truth About HMOs

http://www.chcf.org/articles/2016/11/dynamics-decline-truth-hmos

California Commercial HMO Enrollment, Kaiser Foundation Health Plan ("Kaiser") vs. Non-Kaiser, 2004-2015

California’s commercial health maintenance organization population shrank from 11.9 million to 9.8 million enrollees between 2004 and 2015 (see figure below), a 17.5% decline. But the decline has not been consistent across all HMOs — Kaiser’s commercial enrollment has actually grown during this period.

Two new publications from CHCF take a closer look at how commercial managed care enrollment (including individual enrollment) and the public sector’s embrace of managed care are shifting the way physician organizations are paid — important trends that could affect California’s delivery system.