How children are treated in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

“The true character of society is revealed in how it treats its children.”- Nelson Mandela

Elected officials of both parties have proposed new and better government support for families with children. President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act includes some of these proposals, but overall, because of the law’s benefit cuts for working class and lower-income families, it will likely end up hurting roughly as many families with children as it helps.

  • Parts of the law increase help for families with children: The maximum Child Tax Credit was increased from $2,000 to $2,200 per child; however, the increase remains only partially refundable and thus will not be available to many low-wage working families. In addition, on a much smaller scale and with some questions remaining about its workability in practice, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) created a new type of child savings, “Trump Accounts,” and a temporary program of $1,000 payments for each child born in President Trump’s presidential term. The adoption credit has also been improved. In each of these provisions, there are further changes that could enable these programs to help more children and more families.
  • However, many of the law’s most substantial changes will reduce help to children, particularly those in working class and poor families. The law imposes new legal and bureaucratic filing requirements to previously bipartisan programs, particularly the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, formerly known as “food stamps”) and Medicaid, that will keep many families from getting benefits, including benefits for which they are eligible.
  • Overall, OBBBA will likely end up reducing benefits for roughly as many families as it helps, with the greatest losses concentrated among the least well-off. By 2030 the 40% lowest-income households will experience a net loss on average, and the middle quintile will have roughly no net change; there will be ongoing net gains for the top 40% of households.

This note describes some key changes embedded in OBBBA, some related proposals by Democrats, and some improvements that might be made in the future.

Is child policy becoming bipartisan?

Politicians of both parties, who once made a show of kissing babies, have progressed to making a range of proposals to improve children’s lives and prospects. In some cases, perhaps frustrated by ongoing political polarization, they’ve chosen to support the same or similar approaches, including extra tax credits or actual payments for children and child savings accounts. For example, both Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) have proposed savings accounts be started for every child at birth.

Although the recently enacted OBBBA was in no way bipartisan, it included some proposals endorsed by both Republicans and Democrats. At the same time, however, the Act reduced the scope of the previously bipartisan SNAP safety net program and of Medicaid.

The Brookings Institution

Furthermore, despite claims by representatives of both parties to support working families with children, the changes in OBBBA overwhelmingly help families that are already better off. After the temporary tax benefits end, roughly half of U.S. families will be worse off, with most benefits of the bill going to the top 40% of the income distribution.

Below, we discuss two kinds of assistance for families for children: those that provide immediate resources and those that support saving for children’s futures.

Money for children now: Child income tax credits, baby bonus checks

Congress has subsidized children through the tax code for at least a century, starting with dependent exemptions from income1 and following with the Earned Income Tax Credit in 1975 and the Child Tax Credit (CTC) in 1997. By far the most significant action benefitting some children in OBBBA is an increase in the CTC. However, most low-income children are excluded from these higher benefits. At the same time, the Act would dramatically reduce other previously bipartisan safety net programs that support low-income children, particularly SNAP.

Child Tax Credit

The CTC is a tax credit for families with children. It was originally conceived as an anti-poverty program, though for much of its history most of the CTC’s benefits have gone to middle class or wealthier families. The CTC phases in with earnings and the credit is only partially refundable, meaning that if the credit exceeds a filer’s tax liability, families can receive a portion of the credit as a tax refund. Approximately 60 million children benefit from the current credit. In response to the COVID-19 recession, for one year the credit provided families with as much as $3,600 per child and allowed low-earnings families to get the full benefit, but that expired and the maximum returned to the pre-OBBBA maximum of $2,000. Because of the phase-in and other limitations on refundability, an estimated 17 million children in families with low incomes receive less than the full $2,000-per-child credit or no credit at all.

OBBBA Changes

Under OBBBA, the maximum credit was raised to $2,200 per child and then indexed to inflation. Because the bill did not make any changes to the CTC’s refundability or phase-in with earnings, this change will not benefit any of the estimated 17 million children who were left out under pre-OBBBA law. Furthermore, the act’s increase in the standard tax deduction and other changes will increase the number of children whose families don’t get the full credit.

The Brookings Institution

The OBBBA CTC expansion primarily benefits families with above average income.  As this graph from the The Budget Lab shows, the bottom 40% receive little or no benefit.

Possible Improvements

There are many possible changes to broaden the CTC’s reach and help more children. (See Crandall-Hollick, Maag, & Jha 2025.):

  • CTC “Baby Bonus”: Make the full credit available for all newborns, so that every newborn child’s family would get the full credit for their first year. This could be considered a CTC-based “baby bonus”.
  • Allow full refundability as long as parent earnings are above the minimum ($2,500/year).
  • Start phasing in refundability from the first dollar of parent earnings.
  • Allow full refundability for families with multiple children.

Adoption Credit

Under current law, adoption expenses of up to $17,280 per child can be credited against income taxes. In practice, few families get the full credit because the credit is nonrefundable and few families have an income tax bill greater than this amount.

OBBBA Changes

Under OBBBA2 up to $5,000 of qualified adoption expenses will be refundable, thereby increasing the available adoption credit for approximately 45,000 children per year.3

Possible Improvements

Congress could broaden the benefits of the adoption credit by reducing the total credit and increasing the refundable amount, e.g., reducing the maximum to $12,000 while increasing the refundable amount to $6,000.

Direct cash grants: “Baby Bonuses,” SNAP, etc.

Some observers, concerned about declining birthrates, have proposed a cash payment for newborns soon after birth. Although President Trump has expressed support for a $5,000 “baby bonus”, the administration made no specific proposal and none was included in any version of the OBBBA. (A baby bonus could be implemented via a change in the CTC, as described above.)

Important safety net programs affecting children were cut by OBBBA

There are many federal safety net programs that provide cash or in-kind benefits to families based on having children and the number of children. The largest near-cash program, SNAP, will be cut back very substantially by OBBBA. An Urban Institute report estimated that the SNAP cuts would affect 3.3 million families with children and reduce their benefits by an average of $840 per year.

The Brookings Institution

Money for children’s futures: Baby bonds & Trump child savings accounts

With multiple rationales, policymakers with varying perspectives have concluded that children and their families would benefit from starting life with a nest egg, a savings account to be created early in a child’s life, to be then held and used well in the future for education, homebuying, or other purposes. States, cities, counties, and nonprofits have started programs that both establish child savings accounts and provide a starter contribution to those accounts. According to the Congressional Research Service, over 100 such programs had been started by 2023, in addition to the education savings account programs operated by many states under Section 529 of the Internal Revenue Code.

These programs draw from work in the early 1990s by academic Michael Sherraden which proposed a national program of “Individual Development Accounts” for the poor. This led to local programs in many cities and some states. A similar approach using the term “baby bonds” was proposed by scholars in 2010 as a means to reduce racial gaps in wealth, and this proposal was adapted into the American Opportunity Accounts Act introduced by Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) in 2018. Under those proposals every child would receive a grant at birth, with additional government grants to children in poorer families in later years. Some child investment programs, such as New York City’s RISE program also incorporate philanthropic gifts.

The approach became bipartisan this year when Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) proposed that each newborn child receive a one-time $1,000 grant in an “Invest America Account.” Cruz’s rationale was less about reducing wealth disparities and more that such accounts would give children a stake in the future and an understanding of investment markets. In place of ongoing government contributions, he proposed that parents, employers, philanthropies, and others could contribute to the child accounts. The Cruz proposal was, with modifications, adopted in OBBBA.

What are the benefits of child savings accounts?

Advocates of these accounts see several advantages. First, they note with some evidence that having a personal account early in life that can only be accessed later substantially increases a child’s and family’s interest in education and personal betterment. Some believe that these accounts will also improve financial literacy and understanding of the economy and investment.

Other advocates, noting that disparities in wealth are associated with differences in educational opportunities, attainment, and future income and that wide racial differences in wealth persist, believe these programs could reduce wealth disparities at the start of life. The original child savings programs focused on this rationale, with payments or participation incentives that favored the poor.  There is research that finds higher wealth associated with better educational and health outcomes, as well as stronger protection against material hardship following disruptive events, suggesting that policies that facilitate wealth-building could have profound effects.

OBBBA’s Trump Accounts & $1,000 contribution pilot program

OBBBA permits4 the secretary of the Treasury and/or private financial institutions to offer “Trump accounts,” savings accounts for children under 18 that offer some limited tax benefits if invested and not used until age 18. Contributions to these accounts, limited to $5,000 per year from family members, would be taxed as ordinary income. In addition, there is a 10% penalty for withdrawals before age 59½, with certain exceptions for education, home buying, adoption, disaster relief, etc. Contributions are also permitted from employers, up to $2,500 per year, and as part of a general program from government or philanthropies supporting all children in an approved geographic area.

The act also creates a pilot program of $1,000 government grants for any child born in the years 2025-28 (with a Social Security number) if the parent or Treasury elects5 and if there is an account established for that child. Although the government funds to be provided are given only at birth and are generally much smaller than the CTC, if made universally available they will reach some poor families with children that the Child Tax Credit does not.

Will Trump Accounts work?

While both Republicans and Democrats have endorsed at least the outlines of child savings accounts and a universal starting grant, there are many potential supporters who have questioned the design of Trump Accounts as enacted by Congress. A comprehensive review of child savings accounts systems undertaken by the Aspen Institute’s Financial Security Program raised a series of challenges, only some of which were responded to by the Congress. The Aspen publication noted ominously that similar program in the U.K. had been regarded as a failure and had in effect “poisoned the well” so that other efforts were unlikely to be considered for many years. That may have been a warning for Trump accounts.

Making Trump Accounts and the $1,000 per newborn pilot program work will require:

  • Treasury to encourage all new parents to sign up for (“elect”) the $1,000 grant and/or the Treasury can do so itself. OBBBA does not auto-enroll children. It requires either the parent or the Treasury to “elect” newborn participation in the grant program.
  • Treasury to establish and pay for the millions of accounts for all newborns. Although the law permits private financial institutions to establish these accounts, in practice they are unlikely to do so on their own. The administrative costs of setting up millions of individual private accounts will be large and, after receiving the $1,000 initial grant, many families will conclude that they cannot afford further contributions. Private firms will see little benefit in maintaining millions of individual accounts holding $1,000 with little prospect for more contributions. For that reason alone, Treasury will likely need to set up the program at least initially, perhaps by managing the funds in a single investment pool and having the individual accounts administered centrally. Treasury may also have to subsidize at least part of account administrative costs.For those families that can afford additional contributions, the existing nationwide programs of tuition savings accounts (“529 Plans”) are likely to be preferred: Investment earnings within Trump Accounts will be taxed at the ordinary income tax rate (plus a possible 10% penalty unless used for approved purposes), whereas proceeds from 529 plans if used for tuition expenses are not taxed at all.

Possible changes

Since the program has the president’s name on it, Treasury is likely to make every effort to help Trump Accounts succeed and be widely adopted and used. Some changes have already been suggested:

  • Provide additional government contributions for children of less well-off working families. This could be done several ways: Under the approach proposed by Senator Booker, the government could make smaller grants annually to children in families below an income limit. Alternatively, this could be done by allowing a full refund of the Child Tax Credit regardless of income while requiring the increased refund be invested in a Trump Account or something similar.
  • Ensure that child savings don’t penalize other public support. Retirement accounts and tuition assistance 529 program savings are generally not considered assets in setting eligibility for SNAP and other programs, and they are given preferential treatment in determining student loans. Trump Accounts could get similar treatment, as the Aspen Institute working group proposed for early wealth building policies.
  • Consolidate the many different tax-favored savings accounts into a single account type. (Muresianu & Cluggish, 2025) Since the Trump accounts are in some respects tax-disadvantaged compared to 529 school savings and also to several retirement accounts, a way to ensure the success of the effort might be to incorporate those accounts into the Trump account program.  

What’s the right balance between helping children now versus saving for the future?

Unsurprisingly, there are differences of opinion whether additional resources should be devoted to immediate financial relief (using the CTC or a child grant) or instead to child savings accounts and wealth building for the longer term. There are advocates of both approaches and both have been shown to benefit children and families. However, there isn’t yet enough experience with child savings accounts to form judgments about the appropriate balance of resources between them.

We can do better

Given the broad public support to help children and families with children, elected officials from both parties will claim their efforts do so. As the distinctly non-bipartisan experience with OBBBA shows, however, many programs fall short of the rhetoric: overall, OBBBA seems likely to harm as many families with children as it helps.

Future bipartisan efforts can and should do better, supporting all families with children, including those who are more in need. 

Junk Plans Are Bad. Sadly, POTUS is Bringing Them Back.

The Trump administration has confirmed it will once again expand access to so-called short-term health insurance — which all too often fall into the category of  “junk” insurance. They’re usually skimpy policies that do not meet the coverage requirements of the Affordable Care Act and that were largely reined in (again) by the Biden administration because of how devastating they can be for families with pre-existing conditions – or anyone who gets badly injured or sick.

Calling many of these plans junk insurance isn’t hyperbole. They’re called that because they are not designed to protect policyholders from financially crippling medical expenses. They’re built to look affordable upfront but in many cases leave people dangerously exposed when they need care most. Leslie Dach of Protect Our Care summed it up plainly: 

“Short-term junk plans are allowed to deny coverage, drop people when they get sick, and exclude life-saving coverage such as prescription drugs and hospital care, leaving families with sky-high bills and nowhere else to turn”

Short-term, limited-duration insurance (STLDI) plans were originally designed as a stop-gap for people who needed catastrophic-protection between jobs. But starting in 2018, the ACA rules were loosened to allow these plans to last for a year and be renewed for up to three years, which inspired health insurers to jump in and begin heavily marketing them online as if they were real alternatives to traditional, comprehensive insurance.

Before the ACA, junk plans were not just short term, they were everywhere. The ACA outlawed much of what these STLDI plans do including refusing to cover basic medical services, excluding people with preexisting conditions, and spending only a fraction of policyholders’ premium dollars on care. There is a reason that the provisions preventing those abuses were some of the most popular in the ACA: They led to better care and lower costs for millions. These STLDI plans don’t cover needed care and only spend an average of 65% of the money patients pay in premiums on medical care, with some plans spending as little as 34% on care and keeping the other 66%. Expanding plans that do not adhere to patient protections in the ACA  is not the way to fix our health care system. 

As American Lung Association explains, most of these plans keep premiums low by cutting out what most of us think of as essential care: prescription drugs, hospital stays, mental health treatment, maternity care and more. They often cap how much they’ll pay in benefits, leaving families on the hook for huge bills if someone gets sick or injured. Unlike plans that comply with patient protections under the Affordable Care Act, they can deny coverage to people with asthma, diabetes, cancer or any other pre-existing condition.

Anti-junk plan history

Simply put, junk plans are the snake oil of the health insurance business, and advocates, including myself, have been sounding the alarm for years. On June 24, 2009, I testified before the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation and, for the first time, blew the whistle on how my old industry confuses their customers and dumps the sick. But I wasn’t alone on the dias. Nancy Metcalf, then senior program editor at Consumer Reports, sat to my left. Metcalf had much to say about junk insurance plans. In her written testimony, she wrote:

“As consumers, we are trained to look for a bargain. Buying a car or a flat-screen TV, we’re proud if we can get it for less than our friend paid. People think insurance works the same way. They never consider that if they are 55 years old, and have diabetes and heart disease, that no insurer could possibly stay in business selling them a comprehensive policy for $150 a month. That’s why so many of the junk policies we’ve looked at are marketed as “affordable.

In my book, Deadly Spin: An Insurance Company Insider Speaks Out on How Corporate PR Is Killing Health Care and Deceiving Americans, I wrote an entire section titled “Selling the Illusion of Coverage” which focuses on junk plans and highlights how Cigna, Aetna and UnitedHealth made boatloads of money off buying companies that specialized in so-called junk insurance.

“Yet another scheme to shift costs to consumers and away from insurers and employers is to enroll them in limited-benefit plans. The big insurers have spent millions of dollars acquiring companies that specialize in these plans, often providing such skimpy coverage that some insurance brokers refuse to sell them.

“There are so many restrictions built into limited-benefit contracts that there is always reduced risk to insurers, who appear only too happy to sell these policies to people who don’t realize they could be ill served.

“Limited-benefit plans, coupled with high deductibles, represent the ultimate in cost shifting and are among the fastest growing health insurance products. They’re the future that insurers had in mind as they fought bitterly against reform that could jeopardize their profits.

This isn’t the right move

The Biden administration tried to put an end to this dangerous bait-and-switch. In March 2024, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) issued rules to once again limit short-term plans to a maximum of four months and require clearer disclosures so people would know what they were buying. As CMS Administrator Chiquita Brooks-LaSure put it:

“By making short-term plans truly short term, people will be more informed about the risks associated with these types of coverage and their options for comprehensive coverage.”

The Trump administration’s move to undo that rule means these plans can proliferate again and, as Protect Our Care noted in a statement, more than 100 million Americans with pre-existing conditions could be put at risk as insurers are once more allowed to deny coverage or drop people when they get sick.

This isn’t about politics. No matter who is in office, promoting junk plans is a bad idea. Families can get ruined when they think they’re covered — only to find out in the middle of a crisis that what they thought was a real insurance plan won’t pay for what they need. Short-term, limited benefit plans are the riskiest bet you can place in the U.S. health insurance casino. The house will always win.