An Estimated 52 Million Adults Have Pre-Existing Conditions That Would Make Them Uninsurable Pre-Obamacare

An Estimated 52 Million Adults Have Pre-Existing Conditions That Would Make Them Uninsurable Pre-Obamacare

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In Eleven States, 3 in 10 Non-Elderly Adults Would Likely Be Denied Individual Insurance Under Medical Underwriting Practices.

A new Kaiser Family Foundation analysis finds that 52 million adults under 65 – or 27 percent of that population — have pre-existing health conditions that would likely make them uninsurable if they applied for health coverage under medical underwriting practices that existed in most states before insurance regulation changes made by the Affordable Care Act.

In eleven states, at least three in ten non-elderly adults would have a declinable condition, according to the analysis: West Virginia (36%), Mississippi (34%), Kentucky (33%), Alabama (33%), Arkansas (32%), Tennessee (32%), Oklahoma (31%), Louisiana (30%), Missouri (30%), Indiana (30%) and Kansas (30%).

States with the most people estimated to have the conditions include: California (5,865,000), Texas (4,536,000), and Florida (3,116,000).

Using data from two large government surveys, the analysis estimates the total number of nonelderly adults in each state with a health condition that could lead to a denial of coverage in the individual insurance market, based on pre-ACA field underwriting guides for brokers and agents. The results are conservative because the data don’t include some declinable conditions. The estimates also don’t include the number of people with other health conditions that wouldn’t necessarily cause a denial, but could lead to higher insurance costs based on underwriting.

 

 

The massive Senate GOP shift on pre-existing conditions

https://www.axios.com/the-massive-senate-gop-shift-on-pre-existing-conditions-2458798705.html

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Over the past several weeks, senior GOP aides have repeatedly said that if the Senate bill touches pre-existing conditions in any way, it will lose around a third of the caucus. Today, a provision that could cause sick people to pay much higher premiums than they currently do has not caused any Republicans to say they’ll vote against the GOP health bill.

  • When Senate GOP leaders first presented their plan to the caucus in a PowerPoint presentation, it explicitly said that pre-existing conditions wouldn’t be touched, aides say.
  • As recently as two weeks ago, aides said members were surprised and angry to learn that Sen. Ted Cruz’s Consumer Freedom Option would allow plans that didn’t include the Affordable Care Act’s pre-existing conditions protections. (They could only be sold by insurers that also offered plans with the protections.)
  • Sen. Bob Corker: “I think people understand that’s got to be protected, and people understand what happened when the House dealt with it and opened it up, and it’s just not something that senators are wishing to do.”
  • Sen. Shelley Moore Capito over recess: “I think that reopens an issue that I can’t support, that it would make it too difficult for people with pre-existing conditions to get coverage.”
  • Sen. Chuck Grassley last week: “There’s a real feeling that that’s subterfuge to get around pre-existing conditions.”

Now, that resistance is “melting away,” as one Senate Republican aide put it today. “No one wants to be bad guy.”

Indeed, almost seven hours after the revised bill — including the Cruz provision — had been released, no Republican senator had threatened to vote against the bill unless the provision is removed. In fact, Republicans had surprisingly little to say about it.

What the Consumer Freedom Option does: 

  • It allows insurers that offer ACA-compliant plans to also sell plans that do not comply with ACA regulations, including the law’s essential health benefits and its pre-existing conditions protections.
  • Advocates of the bill say that while this could sort sick and healthy people into two different marketplaces, causing premiums to skyrocket for sick people, they’ll be insulated from these costs by premium subsidies and the bill’s stabilization fund.
  • Members “don’t realize we are basically creating single payer for sick people,” the GOP aide told me, saying that Republicans’ support is growing because people with pre-existing conditions can still get exchange plans.
  • The problem: “If there were hearings, everyone would have a lot more information about Cruz. Right now, Cruz is the only seller of the amendment and he’s the only one with information about the amendment,” said one well-connected GOP lobbyist, who said Cruz’s sales pitch seems to be convincing members to support his idea.
What insurers and experts are saying: 
  • America’s Health Insurance Plans: “Patients with pre-existing conditions … would potentially lose access to comprehensive coverage and/or have plans that were far more expensive.”
  • Scott Serota, president and CEO of the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association: “The ‘Consumer Freedom Option’ is unworkable as it would undermine pre-existing condition protections, increase premiums and destabilize the market.”
  • Kaiser Family Foundation: 1.5 million people with pre-existing conditions could have higher premiums under the Cruz amendment.
Yes, but: The conservative groups love it, as it addresses the ACA regulations that weren’t fully addressed in the previous version of the bill. They believe those regulations are driving up the cost of insurance. Stripping the provision could lose these groups’ support.

And Michael Cannon of the libertarian Cato Institute says the provision “would make access to healthcare more secure for patients who develop expensive conditions” — because it would free insurers to introduce a wider variety of health plans and make them less likely to leave the markets.