Hedge fund manager predicts CHS will go bankrupt

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/hedge-fund-manager-predicts-chs-will-go-bankrupt.html

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Firefly Value Partners Co-Founder and Portfolio Manager Ryan Heslop is bearish on Franklin, Tenn.-based Community Health Systems, according to Reuters.

Mr. Heslop, who was one of several hedge fund managers to present May 6 at the Ira Sohn Investment Conference in New York, announced a short position in CHS during the conference.

He said CHS will likely go bankrupt over the next few years due to rising debt costs and dwindling revenue per hospital bed. 

The company’s “pile of debt and the declining profitability of hospitals make it almost certain that this patient will die,” Mr. Heslop said, according to Reuters.

CHS didn’t immediately respond to Reuters’ request for comment.

During the conference, other discussions about for-profit hospital operators were positive. Glenview Capital Management Founder and CEO Larry Robbins said he’s bullish on hospitals overall, and owning stock in Nashville, Tenn.-based HCA Healthcare, King of Prussia-based Universal Health Services and Dallas-based Tenet Healthcare is a wise decision, according to Barron’s.

 

 

These Hospital Bonds Are on Life Support

https://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2017-10-27/a-49-billion-hospital-emergency-heads-toward-junk-bonds

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Junk-bond buyers appear to have a blind spot when it comes to for-profit health care companies.

They’ve snapped up bonds of Tenet Healthcare Corp. and Community Health Systems Inc. despite the drastically souring outlook for both hospital operators. Some of this may be idiosyncratic or the result of specific investors’ strategies (or unwillingness to sell). Franklin Resources Inc., for example, now owns nearly 20 percent of Community Health’s total debt and more than half of its $1.9 billion of bonds maturing in 2019, according to recent filings compiled by Bloomberg.

In general, however, as credit investors plow into broad indexes of riskier assets, it appears they’re simply turning a blind eye to the ugly balance sheets of hospital operators amid an increasingly difficult backdrop. Federal programs like Medicaid are clamping down on costs. And the Trump administration’s various efforts to weaken the individual insurance market will potentially put hospitals on the hook for more uncompensated care as fewer people sign up for health care coverage.

Meanwhile, Tenet and Community Health made some questionable decisions in recent years to borrow billions of dollars to make acquisitions that now look pricey. These companies don’t generate a ton of cash at the best of times, and much of what they do have now goes to debt service rather than much needed hospital improvements.

CIRCLING THE DRAIN

It’s hard for companies to confront mountainous piles of debt when they don’t generate consistent cash flow.

These hospital operators have a narrowing field of options right now. Tenet recently tried, and failed, to sell itself, which sent its shares plunging on Thursday. Both hospitals report earnings within the next few weeks. If HCA Healthcare is any guide — the company pre-announced worse-than-expected third-quarter earnings last week — they won’t be pretty.

But still, no one in the bond market seems to care. Tenet’s bonds have soared 7.8 percent so far this year, even though its stock has fallen 13.3 percent. Community Health debt has gained 16.5 percent, four times the 4.1 percent gain in its shares.

DIVERGING FATES

Bond investors seem to be turning a blind eye to difficulties recognized by stock investors

This seems sort of ludicrous. One hedge fund manager, Boaz Weinstein of Saba Capital Management, sees this as an opportunity to short some of these companies’ junior bonds. Weinstein pointed out at a conference this month that Community Health’s $14 billion pile of debt is 20 times the value of its equity.

Unless the company’s fortunes turn around, it will be forced to reckon with its debt in painful ways for its business as well as the returns of creditors. It’s hard to see how the business could get better with President Donald Trump’s continuing attempts to torpedo health care insurance subsidies, which is widely expected to hurt hospital profitability.

Credit investors at some point are going to have to come to grips with this. Community Health and Tenet, along with HCA, account for $49 billion of debt in a broad U.S. high-yield bond index. This pile is looking increasingly vulnerable to a day of reckoning.

The collapse of Community Health Systems

https://www.axios.com/the-collapse-of-community-health-systems-2471839258.html

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Just three years ago, Community Health Systems was the largest for-profit operator of hospitals with more than 200 facilities scattered in rural and suburban areas with growing populations. Now, the company is hemorrhaging money, sitting atop a mountain of debt and teetering on the edge of bankruptcy — all major reasons why CHS has lost almost 90% of its market value.

“I think the company has a nontrivial chance of defaulting,” said one CHS investor who asked to be unnamed because of the sensitivity of the issue. Tomi Galin, a CHS spokeswoman, did not make any company officials available for an interview, but said the company is confident it will have “a stronger core group of hospitals that are better positioned for long-term growth.”

Why it matters: CHS sits in a massive hole after a string of missteps, according to industry insiders. And it’s not likely to get better for CHS, or the local communities that rely on a CHS facility, as more people get treated in lower-cost outpatient centers instead of the hospital.

The collapse: It began in 2013 and continued into January 2014. That’s when CHS completed its acquisition of Health Management Associates, a for-profit hospital chain that had a slew of financial and legal problems. The deal was worth $7.6 billion, including debt, and made CHS the largest for-profit hospital company by number of facilities.

“That was the death knell,” a health care investment banker said. “HMA was a troubled company, and (CHS) thought bigger would be better.”

Here’s what has happened at CHS since then:

  • A market cap that crumbled from roughly $7.5 billion in 2015 to less than $800 million today.
  • Net losses of almost $1.9 billion from the start of 2016 through the second quarter of this year.
  • A ballooning debt load totaling $14.7 billion as of June 30.
  • Larry Robbins, a prominent hedge fund manager, dumped his entire portfolio of CHS stock. Paul Singer of Elliott Management did the same earlier this year.
  • A fire sale of 30 hospitals to get cash to pay down debt.
  • Some of those sold hospitals were HMA remnants, while others were considered CHS’ better, more profitable hospitals. “It’s almost like they’re burning the furniture,” the banker said. An investor said CHS was “selling off the fine china” to meet debt payments.
  • A completed spin-off of Quorum Health that, in essence, threw many struggling rural hospitals off CHS’ books. Quorum isn’t faring well either.
  • High amounts of uncompensated care. CHS owns many hospitals in the South, and most of those states did not expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. That means CHS has absorbed more uncompensated care than hospitals in Medicaid expansion states.

Looking ahead: CHS plans on divesting even more hospitals, executives said during their latest earnings call. They likely will be profitable hospitals, as buyers won’t touch money-losing inpatient facilities with dwindling admissions.

But large debt payments are due in 2019 through 2022. Short-term cash from transactions appears to be a bandage, and a subsequently smaller profit base won’t solve the big debt picture, making bankruptcy a real possibility, an investor said.

Galin, the CHS spokeswoman, said the money from the hospital sales “are being used to reduce our debt” and that “cash flow generation remains strong.”

Leadership questions: Many CHS executives have retired or left in the past two years, including longtime CFO Larry Cash. Wayne Smith, the CEO of the hospital chain since 1997, remains in his position. Smith is one of the highest earners among hospital executives and reaped more than $1 million in bonuses alone the past two years even though CHS’ stock price tanked.

Numerous sources would not go on the record to talk about CHS. One hospital industry analyst said this when asked how Smith still had his job despite the company’s problems: “Your question is very valid.”