15 health systems with strong finances

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/15-health-systems-with-strong-finances-100418.html

Here are 15 health systems with strong operational metrics and solid financial positions, according to recent reports from Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings.

Note: This is not an exhaustive list. Health system names were compiled from recent credit rating reports and are listed in alphabetical order.

1. St. Louis-based Ascension has an “Aa2” senior debt rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a large diversified portfolio of sizable hospitals and strong liquidity. Moody’s expects Ascension’s margins to improve in fiscal year 2019.

2. Morristown, N.J.-based Atlantic Health System has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The system has a strong market position, favorable balance sheet ratios and strong operating performance, according to Moody’s.

3. Atrium Health has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The Charlotte, N.C.-based health system has historically stable operating performance and solid cash-flow metrics, according to Moody’s.

4. Prince Frederick, Md.-based Calvert Health System has an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with Fitch. The system has a leading market share, a favorable payer mix and stable cash flow, according to Fitch.

5. Children’s Healthcare of Atlanta has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a dominant market position, strong margins and ample liquidity, according to Moody’s.

6. Cleveland Clinic has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. Cleveland Clinic has strong brand recognition, exceptional fundraising ability and healthy cash flow, according to Moody’s.

7. Inova Health System has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The Falls Church, Va.-based health system has consistently strong cash-flow margins, a leading market position and a good investment position, according to Moody’s.

8. Philadelphia-based Main Line Health has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The system has a strong market position, healthy balance sheet metrics and a light debt burden, according to Moody’s.

9. Rochester, Minn.-based Mayo Clinic has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. Mayo has a strong clinical reputation, favorable fundraising capabilities and a robust balance sheet, according to Moody’s.

10. Dallas-based Methodist Health System has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a favorable liquidity position, consistent operating results and a growing market population, according to Moody’s.

11. Omaha-based Nebraska Medicine has an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with Fitch. The system has strong operating margins and a light debt burden, according to Fitch.

12. Fort Wayne, Ind.-based Parkview Health System has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The system has healthy debt service coverage, manageable capital spending and improving liquidity metrics, according to Moody’s.

13. Sisters of Charity of Leavenworth (Kan.) Health System, which does business as SCL Health, has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The system has a good market position in a favorable service area, strong operating margins and limited capital spending, according to Moody’s.

14. Hollywood, Fla.-based South Broward Hospital District has an “Aa3” rating and positive outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a dominant market position, robust debt coverage and improving operating margins, according to Moody’s.

15. Chapel Hill-based University of North Carolina Hospitals has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has an excellent market position, strong patient demand and healthy financial performance, according to Moody’s.

 

 

 

Nonprofit hospitals ‘on an unsustainable path,’ Moody’s says

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/nonprofit-hospitals-on-an-unsustainable-path-moodys-says/531245/

Dive Brief:

  • Not-for-profit and public hospitals spent more than they gained in revenues for the second consecutive year in fiscal 2017, according to Moody’s Investors Service.
  • Moody’s said the widening gap leaves facilities “on an unsustainable path” and will remain the largest strain on nonprofits through next year.
  • Median annual expense growth decreased to 5.7% in 2017 from 7.1%. That’s compared to annual revenue growth, which declined to 4.6% from 6.1%, according to Moody’s analyst Rita Sverdlik.

Dive Insight:

Hospitals, especially nonprofit facilities, are facing difficult times. Morgan Stanley recently reported that about 18% of more than 6,000 hospitals studied were at a risk of closure or are performing weakly. About 8% of studied hospitals were at risk of closing and 10% were called “weak,” according to that report. 

For perspective, just 2.5% of hospitals closed over the past five years.

What’s in store for hospitals in the near term depends on the specific outlook. Moody’s this year revised its outlook for the sector from stable to negative. That move followed nonprofit hospitals seeing more credit downgrades in 2017.  

On the other hand, Fitch Ratings recently called off its “Rating Watch” for U.S. nonprofit hospitals and health systems after the organizations showed improved or stable results this year.

So, there are signs of improvement in the sector, but challenges with revenues, sagging reimbursements and lower admissions will continue to plague hospitals.

The reasons Moody’s gave for lower revenue growth came from lower reimbursements, the shift to outpatient care, increased M&A activity and additional ambulatory competition. It said the move away from inpatient to outpatient moved into its fifth year.

Reversing sluggish volume trends and growing profitable service lines will be critical to improving the sector’s financial trajectory over the near-term as most hospitals continue to operate in a fee-for-service environment,” Sverdlik said.

Moody’s added that more hospitals reported operating deficits in 2017. That coincided with lower absolute operating cash flow. It said 28.4% of nonprofit hospital experienced operating losses, an increase from 16.5% in 2016. Also, 59% of providers reported lower absolute operating cash flow, which was more than double the 24% noted in 2015. The 2017 figure was the highest percentage in five years.

Don’t expect times to get better any time soon. Moody’s said nonprofit hospital margins will continue to remain thin through this year. Margins have fallen to an all-time low of 1.6% operating and 8.1% of operating cash flow.

“Margin pressures led to softened debt coverage ratios, though the median growth rate of total debt has been negative over the last five years,” Sverdlik said. “Ongoing operating pressures will constrain the ability to reverse these trends, especially if providers turn to debt to fund capital needs.”

However, it’s not all bad news. Moody’s said the medians have shown positive signs. For instance, median unrestricted cash and investments growth rate improved to 8.9% thanks to strong market returns and steady capital spending. Also, absolute cash growth exceeded expenses growth, which caused improved median cash on hand. That trend isn’t expected to continue if hospitals spend more cash flow on capital or if equity markets fall.

 

 

15 recent hospital, health system outlook and credit rating actions

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/15-recent-hospital-health-system-outlook-and-credit-rating-actions-8-3-18.html

The following hospital and health system credit rating and outlook changes and affirmations occurred in the last week, beginning with the most recent.

1. S&P downgrades Westchester County Health Care to ‘BBB-‘
S&P Global Ratings downgraded Valhalla, N.Y.-based Westchester County Health Care’s revenue and refunding bonds to “BBB-” from “BBB.”

2. S&P revises UAB Medicine’s outlook to negative over weaker operations
S&P Global Ratings revised Birmingham, Ala.-based UAB Medicine’s outlook to negative from stable.

3. S&P upgrades Torrance Memorial Medical Center’s rating to ‘A’
S&P Global Ratings upgraded its long-term and underlying rating on Torrance (Calif.) Memorial Medical Center’s outstanding debt to “A” from “BBB.”

4. Moody’s affirms ‘A1’ rating on ProHealth Care
Moody’s Investors Service affirmed its “A1” rating on Waukesha, Wis.-based ProHealth Care, affecting $181 million of outstanding debt.

5. Moody’s assigns ‘Baa1’ to Baptist Healthcare System’s bonds
Moody’s Investors Service assigned its “Baa1” rating to Louisville-based Baptist Healthcare System’s proposed $130 million series 2018A revenue refunding bonds. At the same time, Moody’s upgraded the health system’s parity debt to “Baa1” from “Baa2,” affecting $442 million of debt.

6. S&P assigns ‘BBB+’ rating to CHI’s bonds
S&P Global Ratings assigned its “BBB+” long-term rating on Englewood, Colo.-based Catholic Health Initiatives’ proposed $275 million series 2018A bonds.

7. S&P places Essentia Health on credit watch negative
S&P Global Ratings placed its “A” underlying rating on Duluth, Minn.-based Essentia Health on credit watch with negative implications.

8. S&P revises Halifax Hospital Medical Center’s outlook to negative over litigation risks
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its “A-” long-term rating on Daytona Beach, Fla.-based Halifax Hospital Medical Center’s revenue bonds and revised the outlook to negative from stable.

9. Fitch assigns ‘AA’ IDR to Advocate Aurora Health
Fitch Ratings assigned an issuer default rating of “AA” to Advocate Aurora Health — the entity formed by the recent merger of Downers Grove, Ill.-based Advocate Health Care and Milwaukee-based Aurora Health.

10. Fitch affirms Nebraska Medicine’s ‘AA-‘ rating
Fitch Ratings affirmed its “AA-” rating on Omaha-based Nebraska Medicine’s outstanding bonds. Concurrently, Fitch assigned its “AA-” issuer default rating to the academic healthcare provider.

11. Fitch affirms ‘AA’ rating on Presbyterian Healthcare
Fitch Ratings affirmed its “AA” rating of Albuquerque, N.M.-based Presbyterian Healthcare Services’ outstanding bonds, affecting $850 billion of debt. At the same time, Fitch assigned its “AA” issuer default rating to the health system.

12. Moody’s affirms ‘Aa3’ rating on Main Line Health
Moody’s Investors Service affirmed its “Aa3” rating on Philadelphia-based Main Line Health’s outstanding bonds, affecting $219.5 million of debt.

13. Moody’s downgrades Lafayette General Medical Center
Moody’s Investors Service downgraded its rating on Lafayette (La.) General Medical Center to “Baa2” from “Baa1,” affecting $147 million of rated debt.

14. Moody’s affirms SCL Health’s ‘Aa3’ rating
Moody’s Investors Service affirmed its “Aa3” long-term rating on Sisters of Charity of Leavenworth (Kan.) Health System, which does business as SCL Health. The rating affects about $1.2 billion of debt.

15. S&P ratings on ProMedica debt unchanged after HCR ManorCare acquisition
ProMedica’s acquisition of Toledo-based nursing home chain HCR ManorCare will not immediately affect its “A+” long-term ratings on the Ohio-based health system’s debt, according to S&P Global Ratings.

 

 

Can A Community Hospital Stick To Its Mission When It Goes For-Profit?

http://radio.wpsu.org/post/can-community-hospital-stick-its-mission-when-it-goes-profit

Proponents of hospital mergers say the change can help struggling nonprofit hospitals "thrive," with an infusion of cash to invest in updated technology and top clinical staff. But research shows the price of care, especially for low-income patients, usually rises when a hospital joins a for-profit corporation.

Mission Health, the largest hospital system in western North Carolina, provided $100 million in free charity care last year. This year, it has partnered with 17 civic organizations to deliver care for substance abuse by people who are low-income.

Based in bucolic Asheville, the six-hospital system also screens residents for food insecurity; provides free dental care to children in rural areas via the “ToothBus” mobile clinic; helps the homeless find permanent housing and encourages its 12,000 employees to volunteer at schools, churches and nonprofit groups.

Asheville residents say the hospital is an essential resource.

“Mission Health helped saved my life,” says Susan ReMine, a 68-year-old Asheville resident for 30 years who now lives in nearby Fletcher, N.C. She was in Mission Health’s main hospital in Asheville for three weeks last fall with kidney failure. And, from 2006 to 2008, a Mission Health-supported program called Project Access provided ReMine with free care after she lost her job because of illness.

After 130 years as a nonprofit with deep roots in the community, Mission Health announced in March that it was seeking to be bought by HCA Healthcare, the nation’s largest for-profit hospital chain. HCA owns 178 hospitals in 20 states and the United Kingdom.

The pending sale reflects a controversial national trend in the U.S. as hospitals consolidate at an accelerating pace and the cost of health care continues to rise.

“We understand the business reasons [for the deal], but our overwhelming concern is the price of health care,” says Ron Freeman, chief financial officer at Ingles Markets, a supermarket chain headquartered in Asheville with 200 stores in six states.

“Will HCA after a few years start to press the hospital to make more profit by raising prices? We don’t know,” Freeman says.

And the local newspaper, the Citizen Timeseditorialized in March: “How does it help to join a corporation where nearly $3 billion that could have gone to health care instead was recorded as profit? … We would feel better were Western North Carolina’s leading health-care provider to remain master of its own fate.”

Across the U.S., the acquisition of nonprofit hospitals by corporations is raising concern among some advocates for patients and communities.

“The main motivation of for-profit companies is to grow so they can cut costs, get paid more and maximize profits,” says Suzanne Delbanco, executive director of the Catalyst for Payment Reform, an employer-led health care think tank and advocacy group. “They are not as focused on improving access to care or the community’s overall health.”

Merger mania across the U.S.

From 2013 to 2017, nearly 1 in 5 of the nation’s 5,500-plus hospitals were acquired or merged with another hospital, according to Irving Levin Associates, a health care analytics firm in Norwalk, Conn. Industry analysts say for-profit hospital companies are poised to grow more rapidly as they buy up both for-profits and nonprofits — potentially altering the character and role of public health-oriented nonprofits.

Nonprofit hospitals are exempt from state and local taxes. In return, they must provide community services and care to poor and uninsured patients — a commitment that is honored to varying degrees nationwide.

Of the nation’s 4,840 general hospitals that aren’t run by the federal government, 2,849 are nonprofit, 1,035 are for-profit and 956 are owned by state or local governments, according to the American Hospital Association.

In 2017, 29 for-profit companies bought 18 for-profit hospitals and 11 not-for-profits, according to an analysis for Kaiser Health News by Irving Levin Associates.

Sales can go the other way, too: 53 nonprofit hospital companies bought 18 for-profits as well as 35 nonprofits in 2017.

A recent report by Moody’s Investors Service predicted stable growth for for-profit hospital companies, saying they are well-positioned to demand higher rates from insurers and have less exposure to the lower rates paid by government insurance programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. In contrast, a second Moody’s report downgraded — from stable to negative — its 2018 forecast for the not-for-profit hospital sector.

‘We wanted to thrive, and not just survive’

Ron Paulus, Mission Health’s president and CEO, says he and the hospital’s 19-member board concluded last year that the future of Mission Health was iffy at best without a merger.

HCA declined to make anyone available for an interview but provided this written statement: “We are excited about the prospect of a transaction that would allow us to support the caliber of care they [Mission Health hospitals] have been providing.”

Driving Mission Health’s decision, Paulus says, were strained finances and the board’s strong feeling that the hospital needed to invest in new technology, modern data management tools and top clinical talent.

“We wanted to thrive and not just survive,” he says. “I had a healthy dose of skepticism about HCA at first. But I think we made the right decision.”

During the past four years, Paulus says, the company has had to cut costs — from between $50 million and $80 million a year — to preserve an “acceptable operating margin.” The forecast for 2019 and 2020, he says, saw the gap between revenue and expenses rising to $150 million a year.

Miriam Schwarz, executive director of the Western Carolina Medical Society, says many physicians in the area were surprised by the move and “are trying to grapple with the shift.”

“There’s concern about the community benefits, but also job loss,” Schwarz says. Still, she adds, the doctors in her region “do recognize that the hospital must become more financially secure.”

Weighed against community concerns is the prospect of a large nonprofit foundation created by the deal. Depending on the final price, the foundation could have close to $2 billion in assets.

Creation of such foundations is common when for-profit companies buy nonprofit hospitals or insurance companies. Paulus says the foundation created from Mission Health could generate $50 million or more a year to — among other initiatives — “test new care models such as home-based care … and address the causes of poor health in the community in the first place.”

In addition, HCA will have to pay upward of $10 million in state and local taxes.

Mixed results

Industry analysts say the hospital merger and consolidation trend nationwide is inevitable given the powerful forces afoot in health care.

That includes pressure to lower prices and costs and improve quality, safety and efficiency; to modernize information technology systems and equipment; and to do more to improve overall health.

But academics and consumer advocates say hospital consolidation yields mixed results. While mergers — especially purchases by for-profit companies — provide much-needed capital and financial stability, competition is stifled, and that’s often led to higher prices.

Martin Gaynor, a professor of economics and health policy at Carnegie Mellon University, and colleagues examined 366 hospital mergers from 2007 to 2011 and found that prices were, on average, 12 percent higher in areas where one hospital dominated the market versus areas with at least four rivals. Another recent study found that 90 percent of U.S. cities today have a “highly concentrated” hospital market. Asheville is one, and Mission Health is dominant there.

“The evidence is overwhelming at this point,” Gaynor says. “Mergers solve some problems for hospitals, but they don’t make health care less expensive or better. In fact, prices usually go up.”

Mission Health CEO Paulus says he believes HCA is committed to restraining price increases and the growth in costs.

If no obstacles arise, Paulus says, HCA’s purchase of Mission Health would be formalized in August and finalized in November or December, pending state regulatory approval.

 

 

 

UNITEDHEALTH SEES EARNINGS INCREASE 13% IN Q2

https://www.healthleadersmedia.com/finance/unitedhealth-sees-earnings-increase-13-q2?utm_source=silverpop&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20180718_HLM_HP_resend%20(1)&spMailingID=13896483&spUserID=MTY3ODg4NTg1MzQ4S0&spJobID=1441533371&spReportId=MTQ0MTUzMzM3MQS2

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The insurer saw solid year-over-year growth in a variety of aspects, leading the company to raise its outlook for net earnings to end the year.

UnitedHealth Group posted $4.2 billion earnings from operations, an increase of 13% year-over-year, according to its second-quarter earnings report released Tuesday.

The results marked another strong quarter for the insurer, which saw its earnings from operations grow from $3.7 billion during Q2 2017, and even increase from $4.1 billion in Q1 2018. Compared to this time last year, UnitedHealth increased its overall revenues by $6 billion, improving its net margin to 5.2%.

“Today, UnitedHealth Group delivers increasing value to more people, driven by strong execution, consistently high quality, deep relationships and our distinctive combination of clinical, technology and information capabilities. As we look ahead, we will drive our growth on the strength of practical innovations that anticipate and respond to increasing consumer expectations and clear social needs,” UnitedHealth Group CEO David Wichmann said in a statement.

UnitedHealth’s consistent, improved performance comes as insurers brace for the widespread introduction of association health plans and short-term health plans. The health plan juggernaut is so enthused by its first-half financial performance that it raised its outlook for end-of-year adjusted earnings to $12.50 to $12.75 per share. After Q1, UnitedHealth projected a range of adjusted net earnings per share from $12.40 to $12.65. Meanwhile, GAAP diluted earnings ranged between $11.80 to $12.05 per share.

Moody’s Vice President Dean Unger said in a statement Tuesday that UnitedHealth’s leverage remains high and will increase slightly after the company finalizes its acquisition of DaVita Medical Group.

“But the pharmacy benefits manager and analytics business were also solid,” Unger said. “UnitedHealth’s scale, diversity and consistent and disciplined growth continue to support our A3 long-term issuer rating.”

Below are some additional highlights from UnitedHealth’s Q2 earnings report:

  • UnitedHealth posted cash flows from operations totalling $4 billion.

  • The insurer’s adjusted net earnings per share also grew 27.6%.

  • UnitedHealthcare added 2.2 million more consumers year-over-year.

  • Optum’s earnings from operations grew by 21.5% year-over-year to $1.8 billion.

Additional information is available in UnitedHealth’s filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

 

CHI’s operating loss widens in Q3, but finances improve over longer term

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/chi-s-operating-loss-widens-in-q3-but-finances-improve-over-longer-term.html

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Englewood, Colo.-based Catholic Health Initiatives saw its operating loss widen in the third quarter of fiscal year 2018, but the health system’s financial picture improved over the first nine months of the fiscal year.

CHI’s operating revenues declined from $3.8 billion in the third quarter of fiscal year 2017 to $3.7 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2018. However, the health system’s expenses before restructuring also declined about 1.7 percent year over year to $3.7 billion in the third quarter of the current fiscal year.

After factoring in restructuring, impairment and other one-time costs, the system ended the third quarter of fiscal year 2018 with an operating loss of $35.3 million, compared to an operating loss of $17.2 million in the same period a year earlier. CHI said its operating EBIDA improved by nearly $80 million during the third quarter of fiscal year 2018 after adjusting for transactional gains and other items.

CHI launched a turnaround plan about three years ago, and the improvements the system has achieved under that plan are clear when looking at financial results for the first nine months of the current fiscal year. For the nine months ended March 31, CHI reported an operating loss of $114.7 million, which was a significant improvement from the nearly $344 million loss the system recorded in the same period of the year prior.

“We continue to see strong momentum that has played out in the current fiscal year,” said Dean Swindle, president of enterprise business lines and CFO of CHI, in an earnings release. “We have established a strong foundation through a performance-improvement plan stretching back nearly three years, and we expect that these positive results will continue throughout the rest of this fiscal year and well beyond as we become a truly high-performing health system.”

The three major rating agencies — Moody’s Investors Service, Fitch Ratings and S&P Global Ratings — have all recognized CHI’s progress in recent months with positive adjustment in their outlooks for the health system.

 

 

Moody’s: Preliminary nonprofit healthcare profitability margins at 10-year low

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/moody-s-preliminary-nonprofit-healthcare-profitability-margins-at-10-year-low.html

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The nonprofit hospital median operating cash flow margin decreased to 8.1 percent in fiscal year 2017, marking the lowest level seen since the 2008-09 recession, according to preliminary financial data from Moody’s Investors Service.

The revenue decline comes amid expense growth and pinched revenue growth.

Here are five report insights to know.

1. The nonprofit hospital median operating cash flow margin was 8.1 percent in fiscal year 2017 compared to 9.5 percent the year prior.

2. The nonprofit hospital annual median revenue growth rate decreased by 2.2 percent in fiscal year 2017 compared to the year prior, while the median expense growth rate fell by 1.7 percent. Pinched revenue growth was attributed to factors such as declining reimbursement from payers, as well as median growth in outpatient visits (2.2 percent) outpacing median growth in inpatient hospitalizations (1.2 percent). Moody’s expects nonprofit hospitals’ credits to continue to be stressed by the aging population and declining reimbursement.

3. Nonprofit hospital’s median absolute unrestricted cash and investments increased by 8.2 percent in fiscal year 2017, partially due to strong market returns, according to Moody’s. This compares to 3.8 percent in fiscal year 2016. But the agency reported this growth was offset by median days cash on hand, which only increased 1.5 percent as organizations were pressured by labor, technology and supply costs. Moving forward, Moody’s expects limited liquidity improvement as expenses grow and capital spending needs increase.

4. Due to weaker operating performance, nonprofit hospitals generally saw tempered leverage ratios. This is despite the fact median total absolute debt decreased 1.7 percent in fiscal year 2017, according to Moody’s. “Operating challenges and increased debt issuance in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2017 will keep debt service coverage measures subdued,” the agency wrote.

5. The fiscal year 2017 preliminary financial data from Moody’s is in line with the agency’s negative outlook on the nonprofit healthcare and hospital sector. The data was based on audited fiscal year 2017 financial statements for 160 nonprofit healthcare organizations, including freestanding hospitals as well as single- and multi-state health systems.

Access the full data here.

Healthcare megadeals may have major long-term impact, Moody’s says

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/healthcare-megadeals-may-have-major-long-term-impact-moodys-says/521578/

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Dive Brief:

  • CVS Health’s plan to buy Aetna could have a significant impact on hospitals, health insurers and pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), according to Moody’s Investors Service’s Healthcare Quarterly.
  • Payers’ vertical integration strategies are credit negative for hospitals, but hospitals’ plans to make generic drugs and other new strategies are positives, Moody’s said.
  • On the payer side, Moody’s said mergers between health insurers and PBMs are credit negative in the short-term because of increased debt and risk associated with integration. However, in the long run, these deals may lower costs.

Moody’s said hospitals may feel the impact of UnitedHealth’s Optum buying DaVita Medical and Humana investing in Kindred Healthcare. However, Cigna’s purchase of Express Scripts won’t have much of an effect on hospitals.

Payers’ vertical integration strategies, such as buying physician groups and non-acute care providers, are credit negative for nonprofit and for-profit hospitals and put more pressure on hospital volumes and margins, Moody’s said.

The issue comes from payer vertical integration being able to offer preventive, outpatient and post-acute care for lower costs than acute care hospitals. These initiatives will have an increasingly disruptive impact to hospitals’ credit quality, according to the report.

“These strategies would place insurers in direct competition with hospitals, which offer the same services and are also seeking to align with physician groups,” Moody’s said.

On the payer side, two recently announced megadeals, CVS-Aetna and Cigna-Express Scripts, are both designed to control rising medical costs and target drug prescriptions, which now account for nearly one-fifth of total health spending. While payers have been able to limit growth in utilization, medical inflation and sources of medical care, prescription drug costs continue to rise, Moody’s said.

Though Moody’s expects both deals to be credit negative in the short-term, they have the potential to turn credit positive in the long run, especially CVS-Aetna. “The combined company has the potential to lower medical costs as Aetna will be better able to engage with its members as they purchase drugs at CVS retail pharmacies or through its prescription drug programs,” Moody’s said.

These deals will result in most payers having to contract with a PBM owned by a competitor. Moody’s expects PBM competition to remain high. Payer-owned PBMs must still offer the same cost savings to competitors to keep customers.

Out of the recent megadeals, only CVS buying Aetna is expected to have “more significant impact” for payers. The other announced transactions aren’t expected to cause many problems for insurance companies, Moody’s said.

Looking at initiatives that are in development, Moody’s said none of the big-name plans are expected to have much of an impact on the healthcare segments. These include the Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway and J.P. Morgan Chase’s partnership, Apple opening medical clinics and entering the medical record business or nonprofit hospitals forming a generics company.

 

Moody’s: Nonprofit hospital rating downgrades rose sharply in 2017

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/moody-s-nonprofit-hospital-rating-downgrades-rose-sharply-in-2017.html

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Despite a strong economy and low uninsured population, nonprofit hospital rating downgrades sharply outpaced upgrades throughout 2017 — creating a downgrade-to-upgrade ratio of 3.4 to 1.0, which is more than double the 2016 ratio of 1.5 to 1.0, according to a new report by Moody’s Investors Service.

In 2017, there were 41 credit downgrades and 12 credit upgrades for nonprofit hospitals, compared to 32 credit downgrades and 21 credit upgrades in 2016.

Moody’s attributed the credit stress in 2017 to rising labor and supply costs coupled with a low revenue growth environment.

“An acute nursing shortage in many markets, along with rising supply and pharmaceutical costs, resulted in expense growth outpacing revenue growth for many hospitals and health systems,” the Moody’s report reads.

While hospitals of all sizes were downgraded, 60 percent of the downgrades in 2017 affected smaller health systems with less than $1 billion in total operating revenue. In addition, 12 of the downgrades occurred in Pennsylvania and Ohio, reflecting the lagging economy, aging demographics, competitive service area and commercial payer challenges in the Rust Belt area.

Although downgrades outpaced upgrades in 2017, Moody’s affirmed the vast majority of ratings in 2017, which is in line with historical trends.

Moody’s: Aggressive insurer growth strategies threaten nonprofit hospitals

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/moodys-aggressive-insurer-growth-strategies-threaten-nonprofit-hospitals/517691/

Dive Brief:

  • Disruptive growth strategies among health insurers threaten the future margins and volumes of nonprofit hospitals, a new Moody’s Investor Services report maintains.
  • Vertical integrations — such as the proposed CVS Health-Aetna merger and UnitedHealth/Optum-DaVita deal — put insurers “in direct competition” with hospitals for outpatient volume and revenue and could allow payers to carve out hospitals or specific services from their contracts, according to the report.
  • Moody’s warns that the embrace of value-based payment models by insurers is also a threat, as it shifts patients from high-cost inpatient care to cheaper outpatient settings.

Dive Insight:

Hospitals are already feeling the squeeze from cuts in Medicare reimbursements, which are driving patients with less serious ailments to urgent care and other outpatient treatment facilities. Depressed patient admissions and payments have providers searching for cost savings. The result has been a near constant stream of divestitures, mergers and layoffs that shows no signs of abating. At the same time, hospitals have been acquiring physician practice and outpatient care sites to diversify their revenue streams as demand shifts.

Those efforts could be undermined as insurers move into the provider space by buying up professional practices, for example.

“As the insurer owns more non-acute healthcare providers — particularly physician groups — it would be better able to carve out hospitals or certain services from its contracts, which would translate into lower volume and revenue for hospitals,” the report said.

Vertically integrated private payers will cut into hospital revenues by offering similar outpatient and post-acute care to members at lower costs than hospitals can afford, Moody’s says. With enough integration, they could siphon more patients and revenue from struggling hospitals.

Optum’s physician acquisitions and similar deals will also cut into hospitals’ referral volumes. “The acquisition of relatively large physician groups is noteworthy because these providers are the key decision makers in determining what type of treatment the patient will receive and where the care is provided,” the report said.

Increasing scale fueled by more Medicare and Medicaid managed care members, coupled with market concentration, will also give insurers the edge in price negotiations, according to the report. Meanwhile, reduced government payments will make hospitals more dependent on private insurance to cover their costs.

“Insurers flexing their negotiating power by offering lower rate increases will likely result in more standoffs and terminations of contracts between insurers and hospitals,” Diana Lee, a vice president at Moody’s, said in the report. “To gain leverage, we expect hospitals to continue M&A and consolidation.”