https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/patient-flow/when-will-covid-19-peak-a-state-by-state-analysis.html?utm_medium=email

Peak demand for hospital resources due to COVID-19 is expected by mid-April in the U.S., according to an analysis from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle. 

The study presents estimates of predicted health service utilization and deaths due to COVID-19 for each state in the U.S. if social distancing measures are maintained. Researchers used state-level hospital capacity data, data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths from the World Health Organization, and observed COVID-19 utilization from select locations.

While peak demand for resources, namely hospital beds and ventilators, will occur at the national level in two weeks, this varies by state. About a third of states, including New York, are projected to hit peak capacity in the first half of April, but some states will see the most demand for hospital resources in May.

Below is the projected date of peak hospital resource demand in each state according to the model, which uses data last updated April 1.

April 8
New Jersey

April 9
Louisiana
Michigan
New York
Vermont

April 11
Delaware
Washington

April 15
Alaska
Connecticut
District of Columbia

April 16
Massachusetts

April 17
Alabama
Colorado
Maine
New Hampshire

April 18
Pennsylvania

April 19
Indiana
Ohio
Tennessee

April 20
Illinois
Nevada
Rhode Island

April 21
Mississippi
North Dakota

April 22
Minnesota

April 23
Nebraska
Oklahoma
Utah

April 24
Georgia
New Mexico

April 26
Arkansas
California
Idaho
Montana
North Carolina

April 27
Arizona
Wisconsin

April 28
Kansas
South Carolina

April 29
Maryland

May 1
Iowa

May 3
Florida
Hawaii

May 4
South Dakota
West Virginia
Wyoming

May 5
Oregon

May 6
Texas

May 16
Kentucky

May 20
Virginia

May 21
Missouri