Reopening with a wary eye on troubling virus trends


https://mailchi.mp/aa7806a422dd/the-weekly-gist-may-8-2020?e=d1e747d2d8

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With most states either reopening or planning to reopen shortly, the coronavirus showed few signs of loosening its grip on the US this week. Daily death totals continued to hover near 2,000, with more than 77,000 Americans having succumbed to COVID-19—a statistic that almost surely undercounts the true toll of the virus. While the situation continues to improve in “hot-spot” areas hit early like New York City and Detroit, the number of newly confirmed cases is still rising in other parts of the country, including in many of the states that have already begun to reopen.

In testimony before the House appropriations subcommittee on Wednesday, a senior infectious disease researcher from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security said that no state now reopening meets recommended benchmarks for declining cases, sufficient testing and contact tracing, and adequate protective equipment for healthcare workers.

The White House sent mixed signals this week in response to states’ efforts to reopen ahead of the gating criteria it set in its Opening Up America Again plan, delaying the release of detailed CDC guidelines designed help businesses returning to work, denying the validity of leaked internal projections showing the likelihood of increasing infections and deaths, and oscillating between sidelining, and then refocusing, its coronavirus task force.

However, there was some good news this week in the battle with coronavirus. There are now 108 candidate vaccines under investigation, with a handful in clinical trials. One, a messenger RNA-based vaccine developed by drug company Moderna, was approved by Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to enter Phase 2 trials on Thursday. Coronavirus testing, critical to the country’s ability to reopen safely, continued to ramp up as well, and the closely-watched “positivity rate” (an indicator of how widespread testing is—lower is better) fell nationwide.

After last week’s FDA emergency use authorization for Gilead Sciences’ promising antiviral drug remdesivir, the company began ramping up production, although frustration mounted after only about two dozen hospitals were chosen by the government to receive scarce existing supplies. Meanwhile, the federal government began to share data on which providers have received bailout money from CARES Act funding—relief sorely needed given the massive economic hit caused by the shutdown.

With the release of April unemployment numbers on Friday—showing a staggering 14.7 percent unemployment rate—the disastrous impact of the virus on the healthcare industry became more apparent. The sector lost 1.4M jobs last month, mostly on the ambulatory side. With each passing week, it becomes clearer that the recovery from the coronavirus’ assault on America will be lengthy, uneven, and difficult.

 

 

 

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