It’s not Obamacare anymore. It’s our national health-care system.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/its-not-obamacare-anymore-its-our-national-health-care-system/2017/07/28/1a6583fe-73d3-11e7-9eac-d56bd5568db8_story.html?_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_10xQ2TJnkCz4MEJsaDnsHXCCw3ER2NJ8zCVrmfYjiPqgmqdP6OWrjVnUOubPP6QShf6CbIdNe4UZ2tz5kzjWXqpTvTQ&_hsmi=54785729&utm_campaign=7.29.17-drewlarry-wpost&utm_content=54785729&utm_medium=email&utm_source=hs_email&utm_term=.b68e51293cb3

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Drew Altman is president and chief executive of the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation. Larry Levitt is senior vice president of the Kaiser Foundation.

Republicans failed to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act early Friday because of divisions within their own ranks, and because they tried not only to repeal and replace the ACA but also to cut and cap the Medicaid program, generating opposition from many red-state governors and their senators.

But most of all, they failed because they built their various plans on the false claim — busted by the Congressional Budget Office — that they could maintain the same coverage levels as the ACA and lower premiums and deductibles, while at the same time slashing about a trillion dollars from Medicaid and ACA subsidies and softening the ACA’s consumer protection regulations. Had they succeeded, they would have won a big short-term victory with their base, which strongly supports repeal, but suffered the consequences in subsequent elections as the same voters lost coverage or were hit with higher premiums and deductibles.

The challenge now is to stabilize the ACA’s insurance marketplaces. They are not in free fall or imploding, as President Trump suggests, and in most markets insurer profits have been improving. But these are fragile markets, especially in rural areas, and there are 38 “bare counties” where no insurer currently intends to participate in 2018. About 20 percent of marketplace enrollees have access to only one insurer, with the biggest problems in rural areas.

Senate Republicans failed to pass their ‘skinny bill’ that would repeal parts of the Affordable Care Act on July 28. Three republicans, including Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), voted against the bill. (Video: Amber Ferguson/Photo: Melina Mara/The Washington Post)

Insurers have submitted their initial rates to state regulators for 2018, and in some areas, the increases are steep. These companies are hedging their bets in the face of uncertainty emanating from Washington, and who can blame them? Now, with ambiguity over legislative action to repeal and replace the law lifted, the remaining uncertainty is whether Congress and the administration will take steps to stabilize markets or instead undermine them.

The immediate question is whether the administration will implement the law as intended or, in a sense, enact “skinny repeal” through administrative action. To stabilize the marketplaces, the administration would need to enforce the individual mandate as intended, commit to providing payments to insurers that compensate for reducing cost-sharing for low-income enrollees, and continue to provide outreach funds to support enrollment and consumer education activities.

Insurers need to finalize their 2018 rates soon and sign contracts with the federal marketplace by the end of September, so clarity on the $7 billion in cost-sharing payments to insurers is key. If they’re not made, insurers will need to raise premiums by about 19 percent, or they might just decide to exit the market entirely. These payments are subject to a lawsuit filed the House, so Congress might need to step in and assure that the payments will continue.

It is unclear whether Republicans and Democrats can work together on narrow legislation to stabilize the marketplaces without once again opening up a broader debate about the ACA. Republican bills included significant federal funds to help insurers cover the cost of high-risk patients, an idea that was also part of the ACA for its first three years of implementation. These reinsurance or risk-sharing pools would bring premiums down, especially for middle-class consumers not eligible for tax credits in the marketplaces, a primary goal for both parties.

Conservatives may be resistant to such spending, so Congress might also consider ideas they advocated in the recent debate, such as allowing premiums to be paid from health savings accounts. This, too, would provide premium relief to middle-class people buying their own insurance.

Still, only 7 percent of the American people get their insurance through the individual market. Finding consensus on the narrow issue of stabilizing this slice of the health insurance system should be possible if the larger, partisan debate about Obamacare is truly over.

It is also possible as the smoke clears on the health-care battlefield that more states will want to move forward with Medicaid expansions, now that federal funding for those expansions appears secure. Red states will likely seek a conservative stamp on their expansions, adding elements such as work requirements, drug testing, premium payments, time limits or testing private insurance models. Some of these policies will be controversial, and others may stretch what’s allowed under federal law too far. But some wrinkles will no doubt be necessary if Medicaid is to be expanded to the millions of people in the 19 holdout states.

But one thing is clear: 59 percent of the public says President Trump and the Republicans are now in control of government and are responsible for making the ACA work, and 74 percent says they should “do what they can to make the law work.”

It’s apparent what needs to be done to stabilize the marketplaces and who owns the ACA going forward. It’s no longer Obamacare; it’s now just the nation’s health insurance system.

Scripps CEO Chris Van Gorder responds to healthcare vote

http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-management-administration/scripps-ceo-chris-van-gorder-responds-to-healthcare-vote.html

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When Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., cast his decisive vote Thursday night to stall GOP efforts to repeal the ACA, Chris Van Gorder, president and CEO of San Diego-based Scripps Health, took it not as a rejection of specific policies but instead a rejection of partisan politics.

In a written statement, Mr. Van Gorder emphasized that while healthcare has been subject to divisive political rhetoric during recent reform efforts, it is vital not to lose sight of the actual goal of healthcare professionals — to provide patients with quality care.

“The health care vote in Washington is important, but not as important as what we do every day and ensuring we’re able to do it,” says Mr. Van Gorder. “For now at least, the ACA will continue with its current provisions for care delivery. Despite its challenges with reduced reimbursements, this will provide us some increased stability as we plan for the future.”

Mr. Van Gorder points out that the political process is vital to deciding how care is paid for and delivered, and he encourages politicians to work across the aisle to craft legislation that provides Americans with robust coverage.

“That said, when it comes to health care legislation, representatives from both parties agree the ACA needs to be changed. But any healthcare bill passed unilaterally by one party — whether it’s the ACA in 2010 or repeal/replace in 2017 — will not stand the test of time,” said Mr. Van Gorder. “Something as complex, life changing and personal as healthcare deserves thoughtful consideration and debate and a true dialogue with those on the front lines of health care delivery.”

Republicans learn the limits of reconciliation with failed ACA repeal

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2017/07/28/limits-of-reconciliation-and-failed-aca-repeal/?utm_campaign=Governance%20Studies&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=54885356

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With late night drama not often seen on the Senate floor, Republicans’ latest attempts to pass a bill repealing the Affordable Care Act failed last night, thanks in part to a divide the party’s congressional leaders, especially in the Senate, could simply not bridge.

In Congress, we expect that the majority party’s choices about what to work on and how to work on it will be guided, in large part, by their desire to maintain and grow their majority in the future. As the process went on over the past several months, it became increasingly clear that, for the current GOP leadership, what they thought was best for the party’s collective fortunes was adopting something that they could credibly claim “repeals Obamacare.” After all, doing so has been one of their central campaign promises since the law was adopted in 2010—and what helped account for some of their electoral success since that time. The content of the narrow bill to which Senate Republicans retreated in an attempt to keep the process moving reflects this priority, in that it contained symbolic provisions that would be easy for voters to understand as “Obamacare repeal” should the bill have ultimately become law. Chief among these provisions was the repeal of the requirement that individuals purchase health insurance, known as the individual mandate. This provision is among the law’s best known and the change in the Senate bill would have been easy for voters to understand. Under Obamacare, they were required to do something; under the Republican bill, they would not have been.

At the end of the day, however, individual Senate Republicans concluded that even if leaders had judged that “repealing Obamacare” was in the best interests of the party collectively, they could not support the different proposals drafted to actually get there. This was perhaps most true of Senators Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), who opposed beginning debate and all three alternative proposals considered this week. There were also, however, 11 other senators who voted no on at least one of the alternatives offered this week. While some of those votes may have been strategic, as members knew that the proposal would not ultimately be enacted, they do help illustrate the persistent divides within the Republican Party about the best way to proceed on health policy. In an era of high party polarization and a well-sorted electorate, this kind of cross-pressuring, where what’s good for the party is not necessarily good for the individual member, is less common than it once was. But as the experience of the last few months suggests, those situations can still and do arise.

While the choice by Republicans to pursue their collective goal of “repealing Obamacare” through the fast-track budget reconciliation process meant that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) only needed to find 50 votes, it also constrained his task in important ways. The rules of the budget process, including the Byrd Rule, place restrictions on the content of reconciliation bills and amendments to them. While it can be difficult to know exactly how these rules shape a particular piece of legislation, one consequence of them is that leadership does not necessarily have as much room to maneuver in terms of deal-making as they might have on other bills. What’s more, by turning to a process that did not require the support of any Democrats to move forward, Republicans could not rely on the opposition of the other party as a useful foil while they sought to build a winning coalition. Instead, all attention was focused on the party’s internal conflicts and inability to reach agreement—a task made harder by the presence of a same-party president without the policy expertise or interest to help broker the necessary deals. Special legislative procedures that prevent filibusters, in sum, can help majority parties get legislative wins, but only if the party agrees internally on the policy particulars of what that win should look like.

As an agenda item, health care generally and Obamacare specifically aren’t going anywhere any time soon. The Children’s Health Insurance Program, which covered about 9 million children in 2016, needs to be reauthorized by the end of September, and uncertainty about the continued payment of certain subsidies for some Obamacare enrollees on the individual marketplace remains. But with a range of other major issues needing action in the coming weeks—including spending bills and the debt ceiling—Republicans appear ready to move on from their legislative pursuit of their biggest collective goal of recent years.

Fitch: Failed ACA replacement efforts add to healthcare sector uncertainty

http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/fitch-failed-aca-replacement-efforts-add-to-healthcare-sector-uncertainty.html

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As ACA repeal and replace efforts stall, significant uncertainty remains surrounding how federal policy will affect nonprofit healthcare organizations, leading to a negative sector outlook for healthcare, according to Fitch Ratings.

The uncertainty and negative outlook comes as the Trump administration looks for ways to weaken the ACA even if the health reform law is not repealed.

Nonprofit hospitals experienced declines in uncompensated care under the ACA because of an increase in healthcare coverage due to Medicaid expansion, rollout of healthcare exchanges and allowing children to stay on their parent’s health insurance plan until age 26.

While repeal efforts cause uncertainty for hospitals, current discussions regarding a bipartisan healthcare bill could be beneficial for nonprofit hospitals. A bipartisan effort could potentially reduce the insurance premium price hikes, according to Fitch.

GOP lawmakers, Trump at odds over insurance payments

GOP lawmakers, Trump at odds over insurance payments

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Lawmakers are facing off with President Trump over key ObamaCare payments that are in jeopardy after the collapse of efforts to repeal the healthcare law.

Trump is threatening to cancel the payments, known as cost-sharing reductions (CSRs), as part of his effort to make ObamaCare “implode.”

But he is running into opposition from key Republicans, including Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch (Utah) and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (Texas), who say they want to find a way to guarantee the payments, which reimburse insurers for giving discounted deductibles to low-income ObamaCare enrollees.

If the payments were cancelled, insurers have warned they would either have to spike premiums to make up for the lost money, or drop out of the market altogether, limiting people’s options for coverage.

Trump could announce that he is cancelling the payments as early as Tuesday.

Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.), one of Trump’s top supporters on Capitol Hill, told CNN on Monday that he had encouraged Trump to announce the cancellation on Tuesday.

Trump has long warned that he could cancel the payments, though it is unclear if he will follow through.

In addition to a premium spike that experts estimate could reach 20 percent, Democrats warn that there would be a political fallout as well if people blame Trump for the chaos.

A Kaiser Family Foundation poll in May found that 63 percent of the public thinks Trump and congressional Republicans are responsible for problems with the Affordable Care Act going forward.

Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (N.Y.) on Monday said there would be a “Trump tax” on people’s premiums if he cancelled the payments.

Trump seemed to refer to cancelling CSRs on Saturday when he tweeted: “If a new HealthCare Bill is not approved quickly, BAILOUTS for Insurance Companies and BAILOUTS for Members of Congress will end very soon!”

Trump has alternated between saying he will simply cause ObamaCare to implode and calling for Congress to repeal the law.

In another tweet on Saturday, Trump called for Congress not to give up on repeal and to vote on it before acting on any other bill.

Many congressional Republicans have called for continuing the CSR payments.

In a statement Friday, Brady warned that “simply letting Obamacare collapse” would cause “even more pain” for people in his district facing high premiums and fewer choices.

“For those trapped in Obamacare, we must continue to look for immediate solutions to deliver relief, stop premiums from soaring even higher, and help people get the health care that’s right for them,” Brady said.

Hatch told Reuters in an interview Monday that he did not want to provide funding for the CSRs, but “I think we’re going to have to do that.”

Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), chairman of the Senate health committee, has also called for Congress to act on the payments. His committee will be holding hearings on improving the stability of the ObamaCare markets in the near future, which could lead to bipartisan action.

“I guess I’m hopeful that the administration, the president will keep making them and if he doesn’t then I guess we’ll have to figure out from a congressional standpoint what we do,” Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.), the No. 3 Senate Republican, said on Monday.

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), the No. 2 Republican, noted that Trump would have to sign legislation guaranteeing the payments, making it a “challenge.” He also said that the prospect of action by Congress is a “real live issue.”

A House GOP aide said Monday that Republicans are still looking at different legislative vehicles for temporarily guaranteeing the CSR payments.

Democrats are pushing for Congress to guarantee the payments soon, to reduce uncertainty for insurers ahead of an Aug. 16 deadline for filing their premium rates for next year.

In more momentum for congressional action, a bipartisan group of more than 40 House lawmakers on Monday unveiled a proposal to fix problems with ObamaCare, including guaranteeing funding for the CSRs, which would take the issue out of Trump’s hands.

“Cutting off those payments further destabilizes the individual market and these are real people,” Rep. Tom Reed (R-N.Y.), one of the leaders of the bipartisan effort in the House, told The Hill on Monday.

Reed said that while he still supports repeal of the health law, Republicans should try a different, bipartisan, direction rather than “engage in insanity by doing the same thing over and over again.”

Still, there are other Republicans who are still pressing to repeal and replace ObamaCare.

Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) and Bill Cassidy (R-La.) have both attended meetings at the White House in recent days focused on trying to revive such legislation.

The two senators have written a measure that would convert current ObamaCare spending into a block grant given to states, which is aimed at giving states flexibility. Democrats warn the block grants would be significantly less than current spending levels, leading to cuts.

The proposal faces a steep path to passage, especially given that McConnell indicated he is moving on from repeal efforts for now.

Reed said that he had kept House GOP leaders apprised of the bipartisan group’s work.

“I hope so,” Reed said when asked if leadership is open to bipartisan action on healthcare. “The other path is not working.”

Senate Republicans brush off Trump’s healthcare demands

Senate Republicans brush off Trump’s healthcare demands

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Senate Republicans appear poised to ignore President Trump’s demands that they immediately resurrect ObamaCare repeal and abolish the legislative filibuster.

Trump has waged a public pressure campaign against GOP senators since they failed to pass even a “skinny” bill repealing ObamaCare last week.

Unless Republicans are “total quitters,” Trump tweeted, they will revive their years-long effort to repeal and replace ObamaCare. While they’re at it, Trump wrote, Republicans should get rid of the 60-vote procedural hurdle for legislation, saying they “look like fools and are just wasting time.”

But Trump’s demands might fall on deaf ears.

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) warned reporters Monday not to “leap to conclusions” that Republicans won’t be able to pass a healthcare bill, but appeared to hint that a second vote isn’t imminent.

“What we do know is next is nominations and hopefully Sen. [Charles] Schumer will agree to break the logjam … and that would be a good use of our next two weeks,” the No. 2 Senate Republican said.

Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), another member of Senate GOP leadership, said Republicans could circle back to healthcare when they reach a consensus. Until then, “it’s time to move on” and put “wins on the board,” he said.

“Obviously we didn’t give up and we didn’t quit and we gave it our best shot, and we can come back to this at a later time,” Blunt said, asked about Trump’s tweets.

Trump targeted GOP leadership by name in his tweetstorm, saying “Mitch M, go to 51 Votes NOW and WIN. IT’S TIME!”

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) regularly declines to weigh in on Trump’s tweets, except to say he wishes the president would tweet less.

But he’s shot down previous calls from Trump to end the legislative filibuster.

“That will not happen,” he told reporters after a similar request in May.

Asked if that was still McConnell’s position, a spokesman for the Kentucky Republican said that if Senate Republicans change their mind on the rules, they’d make an announcement.

Changing the rules might not make it easier to pass healthcare — which only needed a simple majority — but it would allow Republicans to leapfrog Democrats on other legislative issues like immigration, funding the government and raising the debt ceiling.

But many Republicans have shown little interest in getting rid of the 60-vote threshold. Many Republican senators fear ending the filibuster would have disastrous repercussions.

Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), who is up for reelection in 2018 and has been a target of Trump’s ire, predicted Senate Republicans are unlikely to change the rules.

“I don’t want to lurch back and forth every couple of years from one extreme to the other,” he told CBS News on Monday. “Those rules are there for a reason. They’re good. … They invite us to work across the aisle.”

Senators in both parties have warned that nixing the filibuster would essentially turn their chamber into the House and backfire on Republicans in the minority, when they would no longer have the power to block Democratic legislation.

After Republicans went “nuclear” to ensure Supreme Court nominations could be approved with a simple majority, 61 senators sent a letter to McConnell and Schumer in support of preserving the 60-vote legislative filibuster.

Meanwhile, GOP leadership has also given no indication that it wants to spend the spend first two weeks of August relitigating the healthcare vote despite efforts by the White House to inject fresh urgency.

During an emotional speech after the failed healthcare vote, McConnell told his caucus, most of whom were still in their seats on the Senate floor, “that it is time to move on.”

When he opened up the Senate late Monday afternoon, the message-disciplined GOP leader made no mention of the healthcare fight.

Instead, McConnell talked of working on a Trump judicial nominee and teed up consideration for a National Labor Relations Board member. Those nominations, if senators drag out debate time, could easily eat up the Senate’s week.

Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah), the second highest-ranking Senate official, also broke with Trump on Monday, telling Reuters “there’s just too much animosity and we’re too divided on healthcare.”

Senate Republicans pointed to a backlog of nominations when they decided to delay their summer recess by two weeks. They also want to approve Christopher Wray’s nomination to be the FBI director before leaving town.

But even as senators shift their attention to nominees, the White House is playing hardball, unwilling to let ObamaCare repeal drop.

Trump is warning GOP senators that the “world is watching.” Mick Mulvaney, the president’s budget chief, said over the weekend that the Senate shouldn’t move on to other issues until they pass a healthcare bill.

Asked about Mulvaney’s remarks, Cornyn advised the former House member to focus on his own job.

“I don’t think he’s got much experience in the Senate, as I recall,” he said.

GOP leadership doesn’t appear to have the votes to take up a healthcare bill for the time being.

With Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in Arizona for cancer treatments until September, McConnell can only afford to lose one GOP senator and still be able to take up the House-passed healthcare bill.

“Everything’s harder when you have people missing, and certainly that would have an effect,” Cornyn said when asked about McCain’s absence.

To move forward on a bill, leadership would have to flip GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) or Susan Collins (Maine), which seems unlikely.

Both voted against taking up the healthcare bill and have signaled they won’t be strong-armed by the administration or leadership. They also were celebrated back in their home states over the weekend for opposing the “skinny repeal.”

Collins added on Sunday that Trump’s threat to cut off ObamaCare’s cost-sharing reduction payments wouldn’t impact her vote.

Even as Trump publicly pressures GOP senators, the White House is also playing host to a rotating door of lawmakers. Top conservatives, including GOP Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas), are predicting colleagues will come back to the negotiating table.

“No party can remain in power by lying to the American people, and I hope and pray that our party doesn’t try to do that,” Cruz told reporters after the failed healthcare vote.

Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Bill Cassidy (R-La.) and Dean Heller (R-Nev.) are now pushing a proposal that would shift most of the decision-making power on healthcare back to state governments.

Trump met with Graham on Friday, while Cassidy went to the White House on Monday to meet with Tom Price, Trump’s healthcare chief, and several governors.

It’s unclear whether their proposal could win over conservatives, and it doesn’t yet have a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) score, which means it would need 60 votes to pass.

“If I had a vote on my bill right now I would get in the high 40s,” Graham told reporters late last week, adding wanted more time to get a CBO score that could help him make his case.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) on Monday said that they were continuing to have talks with the White House and governors on healthcare.

“We’re moving forward. Maybe set this aside while we do tax reform,” he said, “but we have to continue working on his healthcare system because ObamaCare is a mess.”

GOP confronts an inconvenient truth: Americans want a healthcare safety net

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-obamacare-repeal-analysis-20170728-story.html?utm_campaign=KHN%3A%20First%20Edition&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=54783651&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8QmJGr2PDeEKnnZdJs6m30vcZz9vHx060Bw8uOKvZtYf4f6oENTqr97q-xzfjpCjyNwrlUVZAQ0cufacwlbeutnNBlnQ&_hsmi=54783651

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The dramatic collapse of Senate legislation to repeal the Affordable Care Act may not end the Republican dream of rolling back the 2010 healthcare law.

But it lay bare a reality that will impede any GOP effort to sustain the repeal campaign: Americans, though ambivalent about Obamacare in general, don’t want to give up the law’s landmark health protections.

“There may be a whole lot of Americans who are complaining about government, but that doesn’t mean they agree with eliminating the safety net,” said former Sen. Dave Durenberger, a Minnesota Republican and healthcare policy leader in the 1980s and ’90s. “We saw that with Social Security and Medicare in Reagan’s day. Now it is a much broader group of people who rely on those health protections.”

And as the Senate debate this week illustrated, Obamacare’s safety net — both guaranteed insurance for the sick and expanded Medicaid coverage for the poor — proved too valued to tear apart.

That means that, while attacks on Obamacare will probably continue, it’s increasingly unlikely that President Trump or GOP congressional leaders will be able to rip out the law “root and branch,” as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) once promised.

The GOP’s failure to dismantle the expanded healthcare safety net also may provide an opening for Republicans and Democrats to cooperate on measures to help Americans who have struggled in recent years with rising premiums brought about, in part, by Obamacare.

“Now the real work lies before us,” March of Dimes President Stacey D. Stewart said Friday, following the defection overnight of three GOP senators who voted against a last-ditch Republican bill to begin unraveling the law.

“Our healthcare system and the laws that govern it are far from perfect, and many opportunities exist to find areas of common ground to make improvements,” Stewart said.

The March of Dimes is among scores of patient advocacy organizations, hospitals, physicians’ groups and others who bitterly fought the GOP repeal push, warning of disastrous consequences for tens of millions of sick and vulnerable Americans.

This was not how Republicans had sketched out repeal.

For years, GOP politicians cast themselves as saviors, promising to deliver Americans from a law that former Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson, now Trump’s Housing secretary, once called the “worst thing that has happened in this nation since slavery.”

Demonizing Obamacare, initially a derisive label the GOP coined for the ACA, proved good politics. Republicans scored major victories in the 2010, 2014 and 2016 elections on pledges to roll back the law.

But the successful political message — which built off deep partisan divisions — obscured much broader support for the law’s core elements.

For example, 80% of Americans in a national survey last fall reported favorable views of allowing states to expand Medicaid to cover more poor adults, and of providing aid to low- and moderate-income Americans to help them buy health coverage, two pillars of the law.

The same proportion, according to the poll by the nonprofit Kaiser Family Foundation, liked the law’s insurance marketplaces, which allow consumers to shop among health plans that must offer a basic set of benefits.

Nearly 70% backed the law’s coverage guarantee, which prohibits insurers from turning away people due to their medical history of preexisting conditions.

“As a law, Obamacare got caught up in the politics of the time. It became the symbol of the Obama administration,” said Mollyann Brodie, who oversees polling for the Kaiser Family Foundation. “But the policies themselves have always been quite popular, even among Republicans.”

GOP politicians didn’t have to reckon with that contradiction as they took dozens of essentially meaningless repeal votes while Obama was still in the White House to veto their bills.

That changed after the 2016 elections. No longer was repeal an abstract political slogan.

It was a concrete set of plans that cut insurance subsidies for millions of Americans, slashed hundreds of billions of dollars in federal Medicaid assistance to states and weakened coverage guarantees by allowing insurers to once again charge sick people more for coverage.

That is not what Americans wanted, said Dr. Jack Ende, president of the American College of Physicians.

“No version of legislation brought up this year would have achieved the types of reforms that Americans truly need: lower premiums and deductibles, with increased access to care,” said Ende, a University of Pennsylvaniaprimary care doctor.

Independent analyses of the GOP repeal bills by the Congressional Budget Office and others estimated they would leave tens of millions more Americans without health coverage and drive up costs for many older and sicker consumers.

In the crosshairs were not just unemployed adults whom conservative critics derided as freeloaders, but also poor children, disabled Americans and seniors who worked all their lives but depended on Medicaid for nursing home care.

Altogether, nearly 1 in 4 Americans rely on Medicaid and the related Children’s Health Insurance Program for coverage.

And as the repeal debate dragged on in Washington and in congressional districts across the country, stories of these Americans and others who rely on Obamacare’s healthcare protections brought the safety net to life.

National polls ultimately showed that fewer than 1 in 5 Americans surveyed supported the Republican repeal legislation.

By contrast, 60% of Americans in a recent Pew Research Center poll said that it is the federal government’s responsibility to ensure all Americans have health coverage — the highest level in nearly a decade.

Even many Republican state leaders — including the governors of Ohio, Nevada and Arizona — balked at the congressional rush to roll back the Medicaid safety net. In a bipartisan letter to Senate leaders this week, several of these governors urged lawmakers to turn away from the repeal push.

“We ask senators to work with governors on solutions to problems we can all agree on: fixing our unstable insurance markets,” wrote the governors — five Republicans and five Democrats.

Some congressional Republicans seemed reluctant to give up the repeal campaign. “As long as there is breath in my body, I will be fighting for the working men and women of this country that are being hurt by Obamacare,” Texas Sen. Ted Cruz said after the vote early Friday morning.

And conservative activists continue to demand action. “In Washington, there are no permanent victories or permanent defeats,” said Heritage Foundation President Edwin J. Feulner.

The president, meanwhile, reiterated his threats to “let Obamacare implode,” as he said in a Twitter post after the early Friday vote.

The administration could potentially sabotage insurance markets across the country by refusing to enforce the current law’s requirement to buy insurance or withholding payments to health insurers that subsidize costs for very low-income consumers.

But at the Capitol, Democrats and some Republicans appear willing to begin considering legislation to protect those markets and help millions of American consumers who have seen insurance premiums rise dramatically in recent years.

“Simply letting Obamacare collapse will only cause even more pain,” warned Rep. Kevin Brady (R-Texas), chairman of the powerful House Ways and Means Committee.

Fixing the safety net represents a far better approach than a new push to tear it down, said Durenberger, the former GOP senator.

“Bipartisanship is the only option,” he said.

Obamacare 101: Trump threatens to let the Affordable Care Act fail. Can he?

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-trump-obamacare-fail-20170728-htmlstory.html?utm_campaign=KHN%3A%20First%20Edition&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=54783651&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8vEN78oNitfKoUkIPeSF6DEOsiRTGJOyRk5ws0ecawm63hF_8jNr7wIbxAZ2KnFSYIv-rmcU0EeeC0g0yVvx3eq8bHVA&_hsmi=54783651

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President Trump has said he wants to “let Obamacare implode” as a way to force Democrats to negotiate a deal over replacing the Affordable Care Act. How real is that threat, and how imminent?

Here are some key questions and answers.

Obamacare 101 is a periodic primer on the debate over repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act »


Can the Trump administration cause the healthcare law to collapse?

Not entirely, and not all at once, but the administration does have the ability to cause some amount of chaos in certain parts of the healthcare system.

Causing chaos in health coverage sounds bad. Why would Trump want to do that?

At least some administration officials believe that if more people have trouble getting coverage, pressure will increase on Congress to either repeal the Affordable Care Act entirely or make big changes in it. So far, Republicans have not been able to agree on a plan to do that.

Which parts of the system are most vulnerable?

Two different government programs help provide coverage for low- and middle-income working-age people and children. One is the marketplace for individual healthcare plans, which the Affordable Care Act created. The other is Medicaid, which the law expanded.

There’s not much the administration can do to undermine Medicaid without getting a law through Congress, at least in the short term. It’s a program jointly run by the states and the federal government, and the states have a lot of authority over what is covered and who benefits.

The individual marketplace is more at risk.

Which of those involves more people?

Medicaid is far larger. Roughly 75 million Americans are covered by Medicaid and the related Children’s Health Insurance Program. That’s more than 1 in 5 Americans.

About 10 million people have purchased coverage on the Obamacare marketplaces in 2017. Remember that most working-age Americans get health insurance through their jobs.

Under the law, low- and middle-income people buying health plans on the marketplaces can get government subsidies to make premiums more affordable.

What could the administration do to cause the individual market to implode, as Trump says?

Think of this in two buckets. Some actions the administration could take would passively allow the marketplaces to become less stable. That would cause a slow erosion.

There are also steps they could take to actively sabotage the markets, which could cause trouble much faster.

What would cause slow erosion?

Officials could stop marketing and outreach efforts that encourage people to sign up during open enrollment periods. They could refuse to enforce the requirement that people buy insurance or pay a tax — a step that officials already have said they will take. And they could stop trying to keep insurance companies in the markets.

None of those actions would cause the markets to collapse overnight, but they would destabilize them over time by driving out healthy people, which causes costs to rise, which in turn drives out more healthy people. That’s what’s known as a death spiral, and it could happen at least in some parts of the country eventually.

What would cause harm quickly?

The biggest issue involves money that has the bureaucratic-sounding name of cost-sharing reductions.

Basically, the government tells insurers that they need to hold down the insurance deductibles and co-payments that they charge low-income people.

That costs the insurers money. To make the insurers whole, the government is supposed to reimburse them. For more detail, here’s an explainer.

Every month, Washington sends insurers checks that total close to $600 million. And every month since he took office, Trump has raised the possibility that he might cut the money off, although he hasn’t actually done so.

If Trump cut off the payments, what would insurers do?

Some insurers would raise premiums to cover the higher costs, as several have already said they plan to do. Others would probably pull out entirely and stop selling insurance in the individual market.

When’s the next deadline?

In late August.

Could Congress stop Trump from doing that?

Yes, and it’s quite possible that they will since many Republican members of Congress fear that chaos in the markets would be bad for their constituents, not to mention their political futures.

I’ve been hearing that in many parts of the country there already are no insurers selling individual policies. Is that true?

Only in some fairly limited areas. As of July, 38 counties in the U.S. with about 25,000 people covered by individual policies were at risk of having no insurer in the coming year, according to a study of insurance company data by the Kaiser Family Foundation. Those counties were located in three states: Nevada, Indiana and Ohio.

But about one-fifth of consumers live in a county with just one insurer, Kaiser’s data showed. That number has grown a lot since last year.

The places with only one insurer are mostly rural and concentrated in a few states, mostly in the South and Southwest, although Alaska is also heavily affected.

That’s largely because rural areas, where the population is spread out and doctors and hospitals are more scarce, cost more to insure.

Those states are mostly Republican, right?

Yes, that’s one reason why Republican members of Congress have been as concerned as Democrats about the issue.

It also reflects the fact that many Republican states have actively impeded the Affordable Care Act from working. Not surprisingly, those states are among the ones with the biggest problems.

Who would get the blame if the insurance market soured?

Trump has said in his tweets and speeches that he believes the public would blame Democrats because they’re the ones who put the Affordable Care Act into place.

Few Republican lawmakers are confident that’s true, and recent polling indicates that the public holds the Republicans responsible since they control both houses of Congress and the White House.

Trump Threatens to End Insurance Payments if No Healthcare Bill

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U.S. President Donald Trump threatened on Saturday to end government payments to health insurers if Congress does not pass a new healthcare bill and goaded them to not abandon their seven-year quest to replace the Obamacare law.

In a Twitter message on Saturday, Trump said “if a new HealthCare Bill is not approved quickly, BAILOUTS for Insurance Companies and BAILOUTS for Members of Congress will end very soon!”

The tweet came a day after Senate Republicans failed to muster enough votes to repeal parts of the Affordable Care Act, President Barack Obama’s signature healthcare bill commonly known as Obamacare.

The first part of Trump’s tweet appeared to be referring to the approximately $8 billion in cost-sharing reduction subsidies the federal government pays to insurers to lower the price of health coverage for low-income Americans.

The second part appeared to be a threat to end the employer contribution for Congress members and their staffs, who were moved from the normal federal employee healthcare benefits program onto the Obamacare insurance exchanges as part of the 2010 healthcare law.

Trump has previously threatened to suspend the payments to insurers, which are determined by the Department of Health and Human Services. In April, he threatened to end the payments if Democrats refused to negotiate over the healthcare bill.

Responding to Saturday’s tweet, Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said that if the president carried out that threat, “every expert agrees that (insurance) premiums will go up and health care will be more expensive for millions of Americans.”

“The president ought to stop playing politics with people’s lives and health care, start leading and finally begin acting presidential,” Schumer said in a statement.

Trump later urged Senate Republicans to try again on a healthcare vote. The Senate is in session for another week before it is scheduled to begin an August recess.

“Unless the Republican Senators are total quitters, Repeal & Replace is not dead! Demand another vote before voting on any other bill!” Trump said in a subsequent tweet.

Many insurers have been waiting for an answer from Trump or lawmakers on whether they will continue to fund the annual government subsidies. Without assurances, many plan to raise rates an additional 20 percent by an Aug. 16 deadline for premium prices.

With Republican efforts to dismantle Obamacare in disarray, hundreds of U.S. counties are at risk of losing access to private health coverage in 2018 as insurers consider pulling out of those markets.

   In response, Trump on Friday again suggested his administration would let the Obamacare program “implode.” He has weakened enforcement of the law’s requirement for individuals to buy insurance, threatened to cut off funding and sought to change plan benefits through regulations.

Meanwhile, some congressional Republicans were still trying to find a way forward on healthcare.

Senator Lindsey Graham said in a statement issued late on Friday that he and two other Republican senators, Dean Heller and Bill Cassidy, had met with Trump after the defeat to discuss Graham’s proposal to take tax money raised by Obamacare and send it back to the states in the form of healthcare block grants.

Graham said the move would end Democrats’ drive for a national single-payer healthcare system by putting states in charge.

“President Trump was optimistic about the Graham-Cassidy-Heller proposal,” Graham added. “I will continue to work with President Trump and his team to move the idea forward.”

However, a majority of Americans are ready to move on from healthcare at this point. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Saturday, 64 percent of 1,136 people surveyed on Friday and Saturday said they wanted to keep Obamacare, either “entirely as is” or after fixing “problem areas.

When asked what they think Congress should do next, most picked other priorities such as tax reform, foreign relations and infrastructure. Only 29 percent said they wanted Republicans in Congress to “continue working on a new healthcare bill.”

Asked what they think Congress should do next, most respondents picked other priorities such as tax reform, foreign relations and infrastructure. Only 29 percent said they wanted Republicans in Congress to “continue working on a new healthcare bill.”

How to Repair the Health Law (It’s Tricky but Not Impossible)

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Republicans have failed to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act. Now, can it be repaired?

The seven-year-old law has survived Supreme Court decisions and aggressive attempts to extinguish it by Republicans in Congress and the White House. But even people who rely on its coverage agree that it still has big problems. The question for the roughly 20 million Americans who buy their own health coverage — and for millions of others who remain uninsured — is what can realistically be done to address their main concerns: high prices and lack of choice in many parts of the country.

“Everyone feels really scrunched by the prices we’re paying, and we have no options in Iowa,” said Catalina Ressler, 39, a psychologist outside Des Moines who pays $1,567 in monthly premiums. “Next year is going to be even worse.”

Ms. Ressler’s plan, which covers her family of four, also comes with a $7,000 deductible. Their insurer, Wellmark Blue Cross and Blue Shield, is pulling out of the Affordable Care Act marketplace in Iowa next year, leaving just one company, Medica, to possibly remain.

Citing the protracted uncertainty over the law’s future, many insurers have proposed big rate increases again for next year even though many are no longer incurring big losses in its marketplaces. People covered by one insurer in Maryland could see premiums rise by more than 50 percent if proposed rate increases go into effect, and premiums for plans in Virginia and Connecticut could increase more than 30 percent. In North Carolina, where rates are already among the nation’s highest, Blue Cross and Blue Shield of North Carolina wants an increase of nearly 23 percent but said it would have sought less than half that amount under more predictable circumstances.

Cost is irrelevant in several dozen counties in Indiana, Nevada and Ohio; not a single insurer has agreed to sell plans through the Affordable Care Act marketplaces there next year, potentially leaving thousands of customers with no coverage option.

Among the hardest hit are those who do not qualify for subsidies to help with premiums or out-of-pocket costs, which rise along with rate increases. Michael Lawson, an independent consultant for local governments in Washington, D.C., said the monthly premiums for his basic plan from CareFirst jumped to $527 this year from $290 last year. He is 60 and earns too much to get a subsidy, but because of various health problems he has already reached his $5,000 deductible for the year. He likes his plan but thinks that to keep rates more stable, Congress and the Trump administration need to do a better job of enforcing the law, particularly its requirement that most people have health insurance.

“They need to enforce the A.C.A. as it’s written,” he said. “Don’t kill it by benign or even malicious neglect.”

The politics are exceedingly tricky in a divided and dysfunctional Washington, but economists, insurers, doctors and health policy experts across the political spectrum agree that immediately addressing three or four basic shortcomings in the existing system would go a long way toward making the law more effective and financially stable.

Stabilize the Markets

There is widespread agreement that the first order of business is to calm very jittery insurance markets. “You need to stabilize things before we change them,” said Michael Neidorff, the chief executive of Centene, one of the few insurers that are aggressively expanding in the market.

Time is of the essence: Next month, insurers must decide what they charge for 2018 or whether they want to stay in the marketplaces at all.

The most significant step would be to guarantee continued funding to reimburse insurers for waiving deductibles and co-payments for low-income customers, as the health law requires companies to do. The Trump administration has threatened to stop making the payments; insurers are now getting them on a month-to-month basis.

If these so-called cost-sharing reductions are not paid for the remainder of the year or in future years, people will see premiums go up by nearly 20 percent to cover them, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation.

Companies could also decide to leave the market, creating a potential collapse, said Mike Kreidler, the insurance regulator for Washington State. In a statement issued Friday, state regulators urged lawmakers to move quickly. “We have insurers who are very apprehensive and very nervous,” he said.

While insurers are hopeful that Congress will pass legislation guaranteeing the payments, they would also welcome a commitment from the administration that it, too, wanted to stabilize the market. “There seems to be a conflict internally: Are they going to sabotage the market or are they going to help the market?” said Gary Cohen, a former Obama administration official who is now an executive at Blue Shield of California.

President Trump has hinted he is unwilling to help. His Twitter post on Friday reacting to the Senate vote, like others he has posted recently, suggested a willingness to watch the market collapse: “As I said from the beginning, let ObamaCare implode, then deal.” In another post on Saturday, he warned that bailouts “for insurance companies” could “end very soon.”

But the fundamental problem that many insurance customers face is sky-high deductibles or premiums that are simply out of reach. Health economists and others say there are ways to lower premiums so more people can afford coverage.

“One of the best quick fixes that is not controversial is reinsurance,” said Paul Ginsburg, a health economist who directs the Center for Health Policy at the Brookings Institution. That would involve the government helping insurers pay for the sickest, most expensive people, whose costs can drive up premiums in places where there are not enough healthy customers to balance them out.

The Affordable Care Act provided the funding for three years, but many people think reinsurance needs to be permanent. A bipartisan agreement seems possible now because in their failed replacement bills, both House and Senate Republicans had supported the idea of providing assistance to insurers, as well as extra “stabilization” funding for states to potentially help lower people’s premiums and deductibles.

Over the longer term, lawmakers need to find a way to encourage more people, especially those who are healthier, to enroll, said Dr. Martin Hickey, the chief executive of New Mexico Health Connections, one of the few remaining start-up insurers created by the law. He said he was proposing rate increases of anywhere from 20 to 25 percent, although they were proposed before the Senate bill failed.

“The pool needs to get stabilized or otherwise we will see year after year of double-digit increases,” he said.

Reduce Drug Prices

Mark Dalessandro, an adjunct professor at a community college in Tucson, saw his out-of-pocket expenses for the asthma medication Advair jump to $292 per month this year from $50 per month last year, after he was forced to switch plans because his insurer, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Arizona, left the market in his area. He said he had little choice but to pay for it. “For just a month’s supply, for something that helps me breathe, what are you going to do?” he said.

Mr. Dalessandro, 54, pays $405 per month in out-of-pocket costs to cover everything from the Advair to cholesterol drugs. That is on top of the $1,462 he pays in monthly premiums for coverage for himself, his wife and his two teenage children.

The fluctuating drug cost makes him feel as if he were on a “roller coaster,” he said. “You just kind of feel like you can’t get ahead of the game.”

If there is one health care issue that both Republicans and Democrats have vowed to fix, it is the rising cost of prescription drugs. During the presidential campaign, Hillary Clinton and Mr. Trump railed against outrageous prices set by pharmaceutical executives like Martin Shkreli and drug companies like Mylan, the maker of the EpiPen.

But there is little agreement on the best way to fix the problem. Democratic proposals, such as allowing Medicare to directly negotiate drug prices with pharmaceutical companies and allowing cheaper drugs to be imported from overseas, are fiercely opposed by the drug industry — a potent lobbying power in Washington — as well as Republicans in Congress.

And though Mr. Trump has excoriated the industry, his administration has not yet put forward a plan to address the issue. A draft executive order on drug prices that was obtained by The New York Times in June revealed a far more industry-friendly approach, easing regulations in the hopes the drug companies would lower prices on their own.

Democratic leaders in Congress identified rising drug prices as one of their economic priorities in a new campaign, “A Better Deal,” that was made public this past week. Under their plan, a new federal agency would take action against companies that engaged in egregious “price gouging,” Medicare would be allowed to directly negotiate the price of drugs for seniors, and companies that raised their prices significantly would have to warn the federal government in advance, as well as give a reason for their planned price hike.

That is not to say the parties have not found some areas of agreement. There is bipartisan support for measures that would speed more generic drugs to market, including a proposal that would crack down on brand-name manufacturers that bar generic companies from gaining access to the samples they need to make copycat versions. And Dr. Scott Gottlieb, the new commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, is taking steps to encourage more competition among generic manufacturers.

Expand Access for Poor

Although the Affordable Care Act has greatly expanded access to coverage — the nation’s uninsured rate fell to 10.9 percent last year, according to Gallup, from 17.1 percent in late 2013 — many Americans remain shut out. One of the biggest reasons is the refusal of 19 states to expand Medicaid to virtually all low-income citizens, as the law’s authors intended. Some may be reconsidering now that repeal of the health law seems unlikely.

The Supreme Court ruled in 2012 that it was unconstitutional to require states to expand the program, leaving it to each governor and legislature to decide. As a result, more than 2.6 million of the nation’s poorest citizens remain in a coverage gap: They cannot qualify for Medicaid, but because the law was written with the assumption that they would all get it under a national expansion of the program, they are not eligible for subsidies to help them buy private coverage.

About half these people are black and Hispanic, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation; about two-thirds live in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Texas.

In Alabama, Lee Thrasher, 40, is wedged firmly in the gap. She and her husband, Brandon, have been uninsured since 2011, when he had to quit his job at a Lowe’s because of a degenerative spine disease. Ms. Thrasher works independently as an inspector for property insurance companies and cannot get insurance through her job. Her two children get coverage through Medicaid, but with an income of about $18,000 a year she and her husband make too much to qualify. If they lived in a state that had expanded the program, they would be covered.

Ms. Thrasher said she was supposed to see the doctor for blood work and prescription refills at least four times a year but could afford to go only twice, paying a flat fee of $85.

“Sometimes it might as well be $1 million,” Ms. Thrasher said. “When you’re broke, you’re broke.”

Under the terms of the health law, the federal government covers 95 percent of the cost of expanding Medicaid and will always pay at least 90 percent. But with many state lawmakers anxious about taking on even a small share of the expansion costs, one alternative that could possibly win bipartisan support is extending subsidies for private coverage to people whose income is below the poverty level.

Regardless, some holdout states will most likely reconsider expanding Medicaid with repeal of the Affordable Care Act off the table for now. In Maine, for example, voters will decide whether to do so in a ballot measure this fall. Republican lawmakers in Kansas, North Carolina and South Dakota have also expressed growing interest, partly because many of their hospitals are starving for revenue and have relentlessly pressured them to expand the program. Such pressure is likely to ramp up again now.

In Alabama, though, Ms. Thrasher remains pessimistic.

“Alabama sticks to its guns,” she said, “even if it’s shooting itself in the foot.”