Healthcare spending will comprise 20 percent of the U.S. economy by the middle of next decade, according to new data from the Office of the Actuary of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services and published in Health Affairs.
Expenditures on healthcare services will grow at an average rate of 5.8 percent per year between 2015 and 2025, about 1.3 percent higher than projected annual growth in the U.S. gross domestic product, CMS concluded. By 2025, healthcare spending will comprise 20.1 percent of the U.S. economy, up from 17.5 percent in 2014. Expenditures totaled $3.2 trillion last year.
Despite the seemingly robust spending growth, it remains lower than the 8 percent annual growth clip that occurred in the two decades before the Great Recession of 2008, which helped to slow expenditures significantly. In 2015, spending grew at a 5.5 percent rate. This year, it is projected to be 4.8 percent, attributable in part to the slower expansion of newly insured under the Affordable Care Act.
“The Affordable Care Act continues to help keep overall health spending growth at a modest level and at a lower growth rate than the previous two decades. This progress is occurring while also helping more Americans get coverage, often for the first time,” said CMS Acting Administrator Andy Slavitt in a statement.
HENRY KOTULA 