California Braces For Medi-Cal’s Future Under Trump And The GOP

California Braces For Medi-Cal’s Future Under Trump And The GOP

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California grabbed the first opportunity to expand Medicaid and ran with it, helping cut the number of uninsured people in half in a few short years.

Thanks in part to billions of dollars in federal funding, a third of California’s residents — including half its children — are insured by Medi-Cal, the state’s version of Medicaid.

Now, with the election of Donald Trump and a Republican-controlled Congress, the state that bet so heavily on the Medicaid expansion is bracing to see how much of its work will be undone. While no one knows yet exactly what will happen, many policymakers and advocates fear the federal government will end or severely limit funding for the expansion.

“There are no easy cuts in Medi-Cal,” said Stan Rosenstein, a former Medi-Cal administrator. Reduced federal funding “could have a major impact on the uninsurance rate, on the viability of our hospitals, and it could have a very negative impact on the economy.”

Medi-Cal cuts could restrict who is eligible for coverage, slash health care benefits, limit access to doctors and reduce payment rates to medical providers — already among the lowest in the nation, health policy experts and advocates said. Medi-Cal covers a host of services for low-income residents, including maternity care, prescription drugs, long-term care services, mental health treatment and hospital stays.

Laurel Lucia, a health care program manager at the University of California, Berkeley Labor Center, said a well-funded Medicaid program benefits everyone, not just those currently on the program.

“A lot of people are just a layoff away from needing Medicaid,” she said. “The Republican plans for Medicaid threaten to undermine that safety net.”

Why Some States Declined to Expand Medicaid

http://www.definitivehc.com/medicare-cms/why-some-states-declined-to-expand-medicaid?source=newsltr-blog&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=11-22-16

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The vast majority of healthcare organizations and professional groups support Medicaid expansion, the Obamacare initiative to widen eligibility for Medicaid to individuals earning up to 138% of the federal poverty level. To them, the benefits of expansion, such as less bad debt and uncollectible bills, better patient access to services, and an overall healthier patient population, outweigh the additional costs for states to bear after the full federal reimbursement period expires. But a subsequent Supreme Court ruling left the decision to implement Medicaid expansion up to the individual states. To date, 31 states and DC have implemented the expansion, the majority of them launching new Medicaid eligibility guidelines starting in 2014. Why hasn’t it been approved in the other 19? Often it is attributed to the state’s dominant political party, but that alone isn’t a reliable indicator, given that red states like Ohio and North Dakota expanded the program, while others like Maine and Virginia did not. Judging from a review of Definitive Healthcare data, there is another possibility: hospitals in non-expansion states were in a better financial position and so there was less political pressure to widen Medicaid eligibility.

Will Obamacare be repealed? If so, what then?

Will Obamacare be repealed? If so, what then?

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The election of Donald J. Trump gives the Republicans in Congress a chance to act ontheir often-stated desire to get rid of Obamacare, a wish that Mr. Trump mostly says he shares. Aaron E. Carroll and Austin Frakt, our health policy columnists, discuss: Then what?

Cost, Not Choice, Is Top Concern of Health Insurance Customers

It is all about the price.

Millions of people buying insurance in the marketplaces created by the federal health care law have one feature in mind. It is not finding a favorite doctor, or even a trusted company. It is how much — or, more precisely, how little — they can pay in premiums each month.

And for many of them, especially those who are healthy, all the prices are too high.

The unexpected laser focus on price has contributed to hundreds of millions of dollars in losses among the country’s top insurers, as fewer healthy people than expected have signed up. And that has created two vexing questions: Will the major insurance companies stay in the marketplaces? And if they do, will the public have a wide array of plans to choose from — a central tenet of the 2010 Affordable Care Act?

“The marketplace has been and continues to be unsustainable,” said Joseph R. Swedish, chief executive of Anthem, one of the nation’s largest insurers.

Most Americans with health insurance get it through their employers or from government programs like Medicare and Medicaid. The marketplaces were created under the health care law to give the millions of people not covered in those ways a way to buy health plans.

While major insurers continue to make profits over all, they say that the economics of the marketplaces do not work for them. Insurers can offer marketplace plans at four different coverage tiers, and the government subsidizes the premiums for millions of people. The thinking was that enough healthy people would buy insurance to balance out the costs for the not-so-healthy.

But things are not going exactly as envisioned.

 

 

Pence says Trump plans to repeal ACA right ‘out of the gate’

http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-management-administration/pence-says-trump-plans-to-repeal-aca-right-out-of-the-gate.html

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President-elect Donald Trump has decided repealing the ACA will officially be among his top priorities when he takes office, Vice President-elect Mike Pence told Chris Wallace on Fox News Sunday.

“Decisions have been made by the President-elect that he wants to focus out of the gate on repealing Obamacare and beginning the process of replacing Obamacare with the kind of free market solutions that he campaigned on,” Mr. Pence said on Fox News.

The Trump-Pence transition team has been working with congressional leaders from both political parties to move Mr. Trump’s “aggressive policy agenda” forward, Mr. Pence said. This weekend Mr. Pence met with Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., and House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., according to the interview.

Later on the show, Fox News spoke with Sen. Schumer, who said the ACA is one of the issues on which Democrats plan to “oppose [Mr. Trump] tooth and nail.” Sen. Schumer said Mr. Trump would not be successful in his efforts to repeal the healthcare reform law.

“He won’t be able to do it, because now even he, after his meeting with President Obama, said, ‘Oh, I want to keep the good things.’ Well, you can’t keep the good things without keeping [the] ACA,” Sen. Schumer told Fox News.

Scott Becker, publisher of Becker’s Hospital Review, says it is still unclear if Mr. Trump can or will be able to push through an ACA repeal. “It’s a fascinating statement because it’s not clear Republicans have the votes to repeal this without making complicated accommodations on a few levels, particularly for preexisting conditions and some funding issues,” Mr. Becker says.

Fitch: ACA repeal would be credit negative for hospitals

http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/fitch-aca-repeal-would-be-credit-negative-for-hospitals.html

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http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20161109006033/en/Fitch-Trump-Victory-Rattles-Healthcare-Industry

 

It’s Easy for Obamacare Critics to Overlook the Merits of Medicaid Expansion

At a national level, the expansion of Medicaid continues to yield benefits. Its coverage was increased, and its quality raised. Some states that have expanded Medicaid are even expecting net savings for the next few years. In states where Medicaid was expanded, hospitals had fewer uninsured visits.

Focusing on only the positives can be as misleading as focusing on only the negatives. Policy decisions, including those involving health, need to be considered in terms of trade-offs. It is true that providing Medicaid can cost the federal government, and even states, a lot of money, which can’t then be spent on other worthy pursuits. It is true that Medicaid reimburses physicians and hospitals less generously, and that it often leaves beneficiaries with fewer choices than private insurance might.

But when we look at the balance sheet for Medicaid — health benefits, financial security, societal improvements through education — it’s not hard to argue that money allocated to Medicaid is well spent.

 

Obamacare repeal plan stokes fears of market collapse

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/obamacare-repeal-market-collapses-231653?utm_campaign=CHL%3A+Daily+Edition&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=37969677&_hsenc=p2ANqtz–Wv-16E4bE7iT4jhF2j2QKWBhCJZPBLuy-TBTKYxxVNSL8KAVSAyRmDFndXujD1e6r6JMx9BX3zcgMSf3biYBAMLyJug&_hsmi=37969677

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Republicans warned for years that Obamacare would blow up the nation’s individual insurance market. Instead, their own rush to repeal the health care law may be what triggers that death spiral.

GOP lawmakers say they plan to repeal the Affordable Care Act as soon as President-elect Donald Trump takes office, including a transition period of a year or two before it takes effect. That way, they satisfy their base while giving notice to 20 million Obamacare customers that they must find other coverage options.

But repealing the law without a replacement is likely to spook health insurers, who might bolt from the markets prematurely to avoid losses as some people stop paying their premiums, while other people rush to have expensive medical procedures before losing coverage. Insurers would have little incentive to stick around without knowing what to expect at the end of the transition. And that could spell chaos for consumers.

“The discussion right now about repeal and replacement is making the market very, very nervous,” said Washington Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler, a Democrat. “I would not be surprised to see the potential for a stampede to exit the market.”

Even if Congress delays immediate action to kill the health care law, Obamacare insurers would have just a few months to decide whether to stay in the law’s marketplaces for 2018. Deep uncertainty about the Republicans’ Obamacare replacement could drive out those companies, cutting off insurance for, potentially, millions of customers.

“A repeal that kicks the can on replace would put the market in serious jeopardy, and the American people will hold them accountable for the results,” Topher Spiro, who heads health policy at the left-leaning Center for American Progress, said on a call with Obamacare supporters last week.

Uncertainty about Obamacare’s future is occurring against the backdrop of strong demand for coverage. More than 1 million people signed up through HealthCare.gov in the first two weeks of the current enrollment season, including 100,000 who enrolled the day after the election, according to the Department of Health and Human Services. The administration projects that 13.8 million people will participate this season, which ends about two weeks after Trump takes office. Millions more — including young adults on their parents’ policies and those in expanded Medicaid — will also get coverage this cycle.

Not Just Obamacare: Medicaid, Medicare Also On GOP’s Chopping Block

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/obamacare-medicaid-medicare-gop-chopping-block_us_582a19b8e4b060adb56fbae7?jn7jtocg8bzqia4i

rious about repealing Obamacare, and doing so quickly. But don’t assume their dismantling of government health insurance programs will stop there.

For about two decades now, Republicans have been talking about radically changing the government’s two largest health insurance programs, Medicaid and Medicare.

The goal with Medicaid is to turn the program almost entirely over to the states, but with less money to run it. The goal with Medicare is to convert it from a government-run insurance program into a voucher system ― while, once again, reducing the money that goes into the program.

House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) has championed these ideas for years. Trump has not. In fact, in a 2015 interview his campaign website highlighted, he vowed that “I’m not going to cut Medicare or Medicaid.” But the health care agenda on Trump’s transition website, which went live Thursday, vows to “modernize Medicare” and allow more “flexibility” for Medicaid.

In Washington, those are euphemisms for precisely the kind of Medicare and Medicaid plans Ryan has long envisioned. And while it’s never clear what Trump really thinks or how he’ll act, it sure looks like both he and congressional Republicans are out to undo Lyndon Johnson’s health care legacy, not just Barack Obama’s.

f course, whenever Trump or Republicans talk about dismantling existing government programs, they insist they will replace them with something better ― implying that the people who depend on those programs now won’t be worse off.

But Republicans are not trying to replicate what Medicaid, Medicare and the Affordable Care Act do now. Nor are they trying to maintain the current, historically high level of health coverage nationwide that these programs have produced. Their goal is to slash government spending on health care and to peel back regulations on parts of the health care industry, particularly insurers.

This would mean lower taxes, and an insurance market that operates with less government interference. It would also reduce how many people get help paying for health coverage, and make it so that those who continue to receive government-sponsored health benefits will get less help than they do now.

It’s difficult to be precise about the real-world effects, because the Republican plans for replacing existing government insurance programs remain so undefined. Ryan’s“A Better Way” proposal is a broad, 37-page outline without dollar figures, and Senate Republican leaders have never produced an actual Obamacare “replacement” plan.

But the Republican plans in circulation, along with the vague ― and shifting ― health care principles Trump endorsed during the campaign, have common themes. And from those it’s possible to glean a big-picture idea of what a fully realized version of the Republican health care agenda would mean.

20 Questions for President Trump

20 Questions for President Trump

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The last six and a half years have been uncharted territory in our nation’s century-long debate over health reform. For the first time the fight was about how to implement an attempt at near-universal coverage rather over what this plan should look like and what could win enough support in Congress. The Affordable Care Act (ACA) has survived major political, legislative, and legal tests, including dozens of repeal votes, two Supreme Court decisions, the 2012 presidential election, and state-level resistance.

I was outside the Supreme Court on June 25, 2015 when the King v. Burwell decision was released. I was there the moment activists switched their signs from saying “Don’t you dare take my care” to “The ACA is here to stay.” I wrote that we could finally say with some certainty that they were right, the law is here to stay. They were wrong. I was wrong.

Donald Trump’s victory throws the future of health reform into complete chaos. He will take office in January 2017 with Republican majorities in the House and Senate. President Trump, Speaker Ryan, and Senate Majority Leader McConnell have all made repeated promises to get rid of Obamacare. They will face enormous pressure to follow through with their threats of repeal. Approximately 21 million people are projected to lose insurance if they follow through with their initial proposals.

The first step to figuring out where to go from here is understanding what decisions are on the horizon. Here are my first 20 questions about health reform under the Trump administration , in no particular order: