Healthcare Triage: Republican Plans for The Affordable Care Act

Healthcare Triage: Republican Plans for The Affordable Care Act

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After campaigning for years on a plan of “repeal and replace Obamacare,” Republicans finally have the means within their grasp to make much of that possible. They control the presidency, the House, and the Senate. The filibuster still poses some potential threats to their plans, but it’s also within their means to abolish its widespread use in such a way that they could both repeal the Affordable Care Act and replace it with something of their own design.

What would that be? In contrast to what many say, there are Republican plans out there to consider. They’re the topic of this week’s Healthcare Triage.

The Meaning of ‘Access’ to Health Care

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2017/01/price-access/514262/

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Why Republicans like HHS nominee Tom Price are emphasizing “universal access” over “universal coverage”

2017’s States Most Affected by ACA Repeal

https://wallethub.com/edu/states-most-affected-by-aca-repeal/31413/

Top-Image-Most & Least Affected States by ACA Repeal

As promised, President Donald Trump on Jan. 20 issued an executive order to undo the Affordable Care Act, or ACA, as his first order of business. Republican senators wasted no time advancing the president’s agenda, either, using a powerful process known as budget reconciliation on Jan. 12 to begin rolling back large sections of the health law. Passage of the resolution followed in the U.S. House of Representatives two days later.

But much of the public as well as members of Congress, including several Republicans, have expressed concern about both the lack of a replacement for the current program and a clear timeline for its implementation — in addition to the cost of repealing the ACA.

Since former president Barack Obama’s signature health-care legislation — more popularly known as “Obamacare” — was passed in 2010, more than 20 million individuals have gained insurance coverage, resulting in the lowest uninsured rate in history by early 2016. Reversal of the law is expected to raise the uninsured rate by an estimated 18 million in the first plan year following repeal, then 32 million by 2026, according to official estimates.

What is clear from the prospect of the ACA’s dissolution is that certain states stand to suffer more than others. In order to assess repeal’s impact on Americans based on where they live, WalletHub’s analysts compared the 50 states and the District of Columbia across seven key indicators of both economic and coverage losses. Our data set ranges from “growth in uninsured population by 2019 post-ACA repeal” to “potential economic impact due to repeal of premium tax credits and Medicaid expansion (2019 to 2023).” Read on for our findings, expert insight and a full description of our methodology.

Everything You Need To Know About Block Grants — The Heart Of GOP’s Medicaid Plans

http://khn.org/news/block-grants-medicaid-faq/

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President Donald Trump’s administration made explicit this weekend its commitment to an old GOP strategy for managing Medicaid, the federal-state insurance plan that covers low-income people — turning control of the program to states and capping what the federal government spends on it each year.

It’s called “block granting.” Right now, Medicaid, which was expanded under the 2010 health law to insure more people, covers almost 75 million adults and children. Because it is an entitlement, everyone who qualifies is guaranteed coverage and states and the federal government combine funds to cover the costs. Conservatives have long argued the program would be more efficient if states got a lump sum from the federal government and then managed the program as they saw fit. But others say that would mean less funding for the program —eventually translating into greater challenges in getting care for low-income people.

Block granting Medicaid is a centerpiece of health proposals supported by House Speaker Paul Ryan and Rep. Tom Price, Trump’s nominee to run the Department of Health and Human Services. This weekend, Trump adviser Kellyanne Conway emphasized the strategy as key to the administration’s health policy.

But what would this look like, and why is it so controversial? Let’s break down how this policy could play out, and its implications — both for government spending and for accessing care.

Trump’s Vow to Repeal Health Law Revives Talk of High-Risk Pools

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About 27 percent of people under 65 are thought to have some sort of pre-existing condition that will most likely leave them without individual insurance if the law is repealed, according to a recent study. The guarantee of coverage has already become a rallying cry for people who want to keep the law.

The issue “is the third rail” for the Republicans, said Michael Turpin, a longtime health industry executive.

Before the law, a fairly typical life event — like a divorce or the loss of a job — and a relatively minor medical condition could upend a person’s health coverage options. Stories of sick people unable to get coverage when they needed it most were legion.

Mr. Trump insists he wants to keep the pre-existing requirement for insurers, and other top Republicans say people who want coverage should not be turned away. Details about how they will cover people with existing medical conditions have not yet emerged, but many lawmakers have started pushing an idea — known as high-risk pools — that left many people uncovered or with strict limits to their coverage in the past.

The challenge for lawmakers is this: How do you get insurers to cover people who will definitely need costly medical care — and do so without making insurance too expensive for everyone?

Rampaging goats and $10 million mansions: your guide to the weird world of Obamacare rhetoric

Rampaging goats and $10 million mansions: your guide to the weird world of Obamacare rhetoric

The Obamacare repeal effort is just getting underway and already the political wordplay is dizzying. On the GOP side, the rhetoric has gone from “repeal and replace” to “insurance for everybody” to “repair and rebuild.” Meanwhile, Democrats continually warn that the Republicans are trying to “rip apart our health care system.”

To help you keep pace with the debate, we’ve assembled this handy glossary of buzzwords and talking points. Enjoy.

From the Republicans:

Repair and rebuild

This is the GOP’s attempt to describe its legislative strategy for Obamacare, and an evolution of the phrase “repeal and replace.” As Politico reported Thursday, it is the mantra of Oregon Representative Greg Walden, who is leading the offensive against Obamacare in the House. It is meant to soften the GOP’s tone and suggest the replacement effort will be carefully staged and surgical. It also opens the door to delay tactics if things don’t quickly shape up in the GOP’s favor.

From the Democrats:

‘Make America Sick Again’

A play on Donald Trump’s campaign slogan, this phrase emerged in early January as Democrats held rallies to generate support for Obamacare. Judging by the nation’s $3.2 trillion tab for health care costs in 2015, a number expected to jump as high as $3.6 trillion this year, it seems clear a lot of us are pretty sick already. But you get the point.

Get Health Insurance Through Your Employer? ACA Repeal Will Affect You, Too

http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2017/01/11/get-health-insurance-through-your-employer-aca-repeal-will-affect-you-too/

Close-up photograph of an employee group health insurance application form.

Much of the recent attention on the future of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has focused on the fate of the 22.5 million people likely to lose insurance through a repeal of Medicaid expansion and the loss of protections and subsidies in the individual insurance market. Overlooked in the declarations of who stands to lose under plans to “repeal and replace” the ACA are those enrolled in employer-sponsored health plans — the primary source of coverage for people under 65.

Job-based plans offered to employees and their families cover 150 million people in the United States. If the ACA is repealed, they stand to lose critical consumer protections that many have come to expect of their employer plan.

It’s easy to understand the focus on the individuals who gained access to coverage thanks to the health reform law. ACA drafters targeted most of the law’s insurance reforms at the individual and small-group markets, where consumers and employers had the greatest difficulty finding affordable, adequate coverage prior to health reform. The ACA’s market reforms made coverage available to those individuals with pre-existing conditions who couldn’t obtain coverage in the pre-ACA world, and more affordable for those low- and moderate-income families who couldn’t afford coverage on their own.

Less noticed, but no less important, the ACA also brought critical new protections to people in large employer plans. Although most large employer plans were relatively comprehensive and affordable before the ACA, some plans offered only skimpy coverage or had other barriers to accessing care, leaving individuals—particularly those with costly, chronic health conditions—with big bills and uncovered medical care. For that reason, the ACA extended several meaningful protections to employees of large businesses.

Repealing Obamacare without replacement would hike premiums 20% and leave 18 million uninsured, report says

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-obamacare-repeal-costs-20170117-story.html

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Repealing Obamacare without a replacement would result in higher costs for consumers and fewer people with insurance coverage, according to a report Tuesday from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.

In the first year, insurance premiums would jump by 20% to 25% for individual policies purchased directly or through the Obamacare marketplace, according to the report. The number of people who are uninsured would increase by 18 million.

Those numbers would only increase in subsequent years. Premium prices would continue to climb by 50% the next year, with the uninsured swelling to 27 million, as full repeal took effect, the report said.

Americans may be beginning to worry about such costs. For the first time, more Americans view the Affordable Care Act as a “good idea,” rather than a bad one, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll also released Tuesday.

Gut check: Change is coming, and healthcare executives don’t necessarily think it’s a bad thing

http://www.healthcarefinancenews.com/news/gut-check-change-coming-and-healthcare-executives-dont-necessarily-think-its-bad-thing

Self-Discovery

The future of healthcare policy is a bit murky these days. President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to repeal the Affordable Care Act, and the Republican-run U.S. Congress is already fast at work to make that happen.

What’s not known, however, is what will change for the thousands of U.S. healthcare businesses that have not only adapted to the ACA but also made millions in investments in areas such as electronic health records, value-based reimbursement and reporting to align with the policies of the outgoing administration.

Healthcare Finance spoke with several executives at healthcare businesses to get their perspectives on not only the changes they expect but also their thoughts on what the healthcare sector actually needs to do to provide the best care while still safeguarding the health of its business model.

 

Private vs. public prices

http://www.academyhealth.org/blog/2017-01/private-vs-public-prices

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You probably knew that the prices private health insurers pay hospitals are higher than those of Medicare and Medicaid. But you may not have known that the gap between private and public payers used to be a lot smaller and has grown tremendously in recent years.

Using Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) data, by payer (private health insurance, Medicare, and Medicaid) and over time (1996-2012), the chart shows average hospital payment rates (in constant dollars), adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, geography, income, health conditions, charges, length-of-stay, and whether or not a surgical procedure was performed. To produce figures for the chart, the authors used this model to predict hospital payment per stay for each MEPS observation, as if they were covered by private insurance, Medicare, or Medicaid, in turn.

As is clear from the chart, adjusted, average private pay rates have always been above public rates, but were closest in 1996-2000. Back then, private rates were no more than 10% above Medicare rates. Perhaps this was the effect of managed care, which kept growth in private rates down. Those rates began to grow during the managed care backlash, until 2005. From 2005-2009, adjusted, average private hospital rates—while considerably above Medicare and Medicaid rates—held steady. Then, in 2009, they took off again. In 2012, adjusted, average private rates were about 75% higher than Medicare rates.*

Medicaid payments were about 90% of Medicare’s in most study years.