Nonprofit hospitals get bump in Moody’s ratings for 2020

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/nonprofit-hospitals-get-bump-in-moodys-ratings-for-2020/568739/

UPDATE: Dec. 11, 2019: Fitch Ratings also changed its sector outlook for the U.S. nonprofit health systems market to stable from negative for 2020 in a report released Tuesday.

Dive Brief:

  • Next year should be kinder to nonprofit hospitals and health systems, with Moody’s Investors Service forecasting a 2% to 3% growth in operating cash flow next year, driven by stronger provider revenue due to Medicare and commercial reimbursement raises and growth in patient volumes.
  • Moody’s revised its 2020 outlook for the not-for-profit provider sector from negative to stable as a result, and expects to see increased consolidation as hospitals bid to gain “negotiating leverage with commercial insurers, achieve savings through economies of scale, and ensure a foothold in emerging offerings such as urgent care and telemedicine,” analysts wrote.​
  • That’s not to say health systems won’t continue to contend with sharp industry headwinds like rising labor costs and the aging population, along with uncertainty from up-in-the-air legislation, regulation and lawsuits.

Dive Insight:

High Medicare reimbursement rates should, along with slightly more favorable commercial reimbursements, drive sector revenue to jump 4% to 5%, Moody’s predicts. Medicare payment rates in 2020 are the most industry-friendly in a while, analysts say, at 3.1% for overall inpatient rates and 2.6% for outpatient.

Fitch Ratings, which also revised its sector outlook from negative to stable, noted balance sheet measures for the providers are now at levels not seen since before the Great Recession in 2007.

Expense management is also forecast to improve cash flow, though provider shortages will cause labor costs to grow.

A growth in the number of uninsured is projected to curb some of the gains expected under this positive forecast, however. The uninsured rate reached 13.7% at the end of 2018, ticking up from 12.2% in 2017 and a low of 10.6% in 2016, according to Gallup. Policy experts blame the elimination of the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate, along with other Trump administration policies destabilizing the market.

Other regulatory waves could also impact hospital margins next year.

Cuts to Medicaid disproportionate share payments are likely to be postponed until late 2020 at least, which will help hospitals serving a large number of low-income patients. The $4 billion payment reduction was supposed to go into effect in 2014, but lawmakers have delayed the unpopular cuts annually since.

On Nov. 21, the Senate approved a continuing resolution to fund the federal government through Dec. 20. The CR once again pushed back the trims to the Medicaid payments.

Trump administration policy requiring payers and providers to post secret negotiated rates online could help some hospitals and hurt others, with some health experts arguing it would stimulate competition through transparency and others warning it could cause prices across the board to rise.

Hospital lobbies filed a lawsuit Dec. 4 to stop the rule, arguing it violates the First Amendment and would put overly onerous administrative burdens on providers.

Cuts to the 340B Drug Discount program, meant to prop up hospitals with a large amount of uncompensated care, could also hurt the sector. The program generated an average savings of almost $12 million across all U.S. hospitals last year.

In May, a federal judge struck down planned HHS cuts to 340B, arguing the change was outside of the agency’s authority. However, CMS has said it plans to go through with the payment reductions in the final outpatient rule for 2020.

On the legislative side, the Republican state-led initiative to find the Affordable Care Act unconstitutional would shear an estimated 20 million Americans from coverage and raise premiums on millions more, hitting both hospitals and the consumer hard. ​

“The fate of the ACA will likely again rest with the Supreme Court,” Moody’s analysts said. “An adverse ruling there would have painful implications for hospitals if millions of individuals lose insurance,” and “coverage gains from Medicaid expansion would likely be lost.”

 

 

 

9 health systems with strong finances

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/9-health-systems-with-strong-finances-120919.html

Here are nine health systems with strong operational metrics and solid financial positions, according to recent reports from Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings.

Note: This is not an exhaustive list. Health system names were compiled from recent credit rating reports and are listed in alphabetical order.

1. Advocate Aurora Health, a 27-hospital system with dual headquarters in Downers Grove, Ill., and Milwaukee, has an “Aa3” rating and positive outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a favorable liquidity position, low leverage, and healthy margins, according to Moody’s. The credit rating agency expects the health system to continue to benefit from its position as a market leader within two large service areas.

2. Morristown, N.J.-based Atlantic Health System has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The five-hospital system has healthy liquidity and solid operating margins, according to Moody’s. The credit rating agency expects strong patient volume, low reliance on governmental funding and other factors to continue to support Atlantic Health System’s financial metrics.

3. Fountain Valley, Calif.-based MemorialCare has an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with Fitch and S&P. The health system has a strong balance sheet and financial profile, according to Fitch. The credit rating agency expects MemorialCare’s cash flow to improve due to its market strategy, which focuses on revenue diversification.

4. Portland-based Oregon Health & Science University has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s and an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with S&P. OHSU, which is the only academic medical center in Oregon, has favorable operating performance, strong philanthropy and its clinical offerings draw patients from across Oregon and neighboring states, according to Moody’s. The credit rating agency expects OHSU’s revenue to continue to grow.

5. Albuquerque, N.M.-based Presbyterian Healthcare Services has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has strong revenue growth, good market share for acute care services and a favorable balance sheet. The credit rating agency expects the health system’s insurance plan, which is already a dominant health plan in New Mexico, to continue to grow.

6. Appleton, Wis.-based ThedaCare has an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with Fitch. The health system has solid cash flow and a leading market position in a stable service area, according to Fitch. The credit rating agency expects ThedaCare’s operating performance to continue to improve.

7. Livonia, Mich.-based Trinity Health has an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with Fitch and S&P. The health system has a significant market presence in several states and a strong financial profile, according to Fitch. The credit rating agency expects the health system’s operating margins to continue to improve.

8. Chapel Hill-based University of North Carolina Hospitals has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. UNC Hospitals, part of UNC Health Care System, has an excellent market position and strong financial performance, according to Moody’s. The credit rating agency expects UNC Hospitals to continue to grow patient volumes and maintain strong financial performance.

9. Philadelphia-based University of Pennsylvania Health System has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a strong market position, and substantial investments in facilities will allow the health system to capitalize on its prominent reputation and wide patient draw, according to Moody’s.

 

17 latest hospital credit rating downgrades

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/17-latest-hospital-credit-rating-downgrades-111819.html

Image result for hospital credit rating downgrades

The following 17 hospital and health system credit rating downgrades occurred between June 1 and Nov. 15. They are listed below in alphabetical order:

1. Altru Health System (Grand Forks, N.D) — from “Baa1” to “Baa2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

2. Augusta (Ga.) University Health System — from “Baa1” to “Baa3” (Moody’s Investors Service)

3. Boone Hospital Center (Columbia, Mo.) — from “Baa2” to “Ba1” (Moody’s Investors Service)

4. Covenant Health (Tewksbury, Mass.) — from “BBB+” to “BBB” (Fitch Ratings)

5. Delta (Colo.) County Memorial Hospital — from “BB+” to “BB” (S&P Global Ratings)

6. Fairfield Medical Center (Lancaster, Ohio) — from “Baa3” to “Ba2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

7. Indiana (Pa.) Regional Medical Center — from “Ba1” to “Ba2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

8. Mercy Medical Center (Des Moines, Iowa) — from “A” to “A-” (S&P Global Ratings)

9. Murray (Ky.) Calloway County Hospital — from “Baa3” to “Ba2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

10. Nicklaus Children’s Hospital — from “A+” to “A” (S&P Global Ratings)

11. OSF HealthCare (Peoria, Ill.) — from “A2” to “A3” (Moody’s Investors Service)

12. ProMedica Health System (Toledo, Ohio) — from “Baa1” to “Baa3” (Moody’s Investors Service); from “BBB+” to “BBB” (Fitch Ratings)

13. Regional West Medical Center (Scottsbluff, Neb.) — from “BBB+” to “BBB” (Fitch Ratings)

14. Sanford Health (Sioux Falls, S.D.) — from “A1” to “A2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

15. South Nassau Communities Hospital (Oceanside, N.Y.) — from “Baa1” to “Baa2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

16. St. Luke’s Hospital (Chesterfield, Mo.) — from “A+” to “A” (S&P Global Ratings)

17. Tower Health (West Reading, Pa.) — from “A3” to “Baa2” (Moody’s Investors Service)

 

 

 

 

7 health systems with strong finances

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/7-health-systems-with-strong-finances-090919.html?oly_enc_id=2893H2397267F7G

Here are seven health systems with strong operational metrics and solid financial positions, according to recent reports from Moody’s Investors Service, Fitch Ratings and S&P Global Ratings.

Note: This is not an exhaustive list. Hospital and health system names were compiled from recent credit rating reports and are listed in alphabetical order.

1. St. Louis-based BJC Health System has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has good margins and a favorable market position, according to Moody’s.

2. Hollywood, Fla.-based Memorial Healthcare System has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a dominant market position in the southern portion of South Broward County and above average balance sheet liquidity, according to Moody’s.

3. Broomfield, Colo.-based SCL Health has an “Aa3” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s and an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with S&P. The health system has strong operating performance and solid balance sheet measures, according to Moody’s. The credit rating agency expects the health system’s cash flow to continue to grow.

4. Seattle Children’s Healthcare System has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has consistently strong operating performance, solid liquidity measures, and a favorable reputation within a broad service area, according to Moody’s.

5 Norfolk, Va.-based Sentara Healthcare has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has a leading market position in its service area, robust balance sheet metrics and solid margins, according to Moody’s.

6. St. Louis-based SSM Health has an “AA-” rating and stable outlook with Fitch. The health system has a strong financial profile and a growing health plan, according to Fitch. The credit rating agency expects SSM to continue to grow unrestricted liquidity and sustain improved operating performance.

7. Arlington-based Texas Health Resources has an “Aa2” rating and stable outlook with Moody’s. The health system has solid financial performance, a leading market position, good coverage of moderate debt levels, and a strong cash position, according to Moody’s.

 

Moody’s Outlook Darkens for Team Health

https://www.healthleadersmedia.com/finance/moodys-outlook-darkens-team-health?spMailingID=16126344&spUserID=MTg2ODM1MDE3NTU1S0&spJobID=1701043585&spReportId=MTcwMTA0MzU4NQS2

UnitedHealth will cancel two-thirds of Team Health’s in-network contracts over the next 11 months.


KEY TAKEAWAYS

Moody’s Investors Service on Friday downgraded the outlook for Team Health from stable to negative.

UnitedHealth has also significantly reduced its payments to Team Health for out-of-network services.

Team Health has accused UnitedHealth of ‘aggressive and inappropriate behavior.’

Team Health Holdings Inc.’s ongoing contract fight with UnitedHealth Group Inc. is hurting the bond status on the Knoxville-based hospital staffing and management company.

Moody’s Investors Service on Friday downgraded the outlook for Team Health from stable to negative, after affirming the company’s B3 Corporate Family Rating and B3-PD Probability of Default Rating.

“The change of outlook reflects rising uncertainty around Team Health’s ability to reduce leverage given its recently disclosed dispute with UnitedHealth Group Inc., one of its largest commercial payors,” Moody’s said.

Moody’s also affirmed the B2 rating on Team Health’s senior secured credit facilities and Caa2 rating on its unsecured notes.

UnitedHealth told Team Health last month that it will cancel two-thirds of its in-network contracts with Team Health between October 2019 until July 2020.

UnitedHealth has also significantly reduced its payments to Team Health for out-of-network services, Moody’s noted.

Team Health provided a statement to HealthLeaders suggesting that it is lawyering up in preparation for more litigation with UnitedHealth.

“As Team Health continues to see more aggressive and inappropriate behavior by payors to either reduce, delay, or deny payments, we have increased our investment in legal resources to address specific situations where we believe payor behavior is inappropriate or unlawful,” the company said.

“To date, Team Health has been successful in getting reasonable reimbursements as a result of that litigation effort. Immediately following their most recent termination, United reached out to Team Health and we have begun negotiations,” Team Health said.

The hospital company said that, so far in 2019, it has successfully resolved eight lawsuits and has filed another 13 lawsuits.

“As United continues to arbitrarily terminate contracts, we expect to file more lawsuits for unfair payment practices and unjust enrichment – and despite United’s urgings we will not surprise bill patients to make up the difference,” Team Health said.

While Moody’s said it believes that Team Health and United will eventually reconcile, “modified contracts are likely to come with lower reimbursement rates for Team Health, which will reduce profitability.”

“Further, a drawn-out negotiation process may lead to disruption to hospital customers and contract losses,” Moody’s said.

“While there is a range of potential outcomes for Team Health, the company’s very high leverage raises the risk that even a modest reduction in profitability will significantly raise debt/EBITDA,” Moody’s said.

TeamHealth’s pro forma debt to EBITDA was estimated by Moody’s at approximately 8.2 times on June 30.

Moody’s noted that the B3 rating is supported by Team Health’s ability to generate positive cash flow of more than $100 million a year, and that the company’s liquidity remains solid.

“The company has a sizable cash balance ($299.4 million as of 6/30/2019), near full availability of its $400 million revolver and no near-term debt maturities,” Moody’s said.

“The company has also shown early signs of progress in executing its business turnaround. This affords the company some flexibility to absorb a modest negative development with respect to contract negotiations with UnitedHealth,” Moody’s said.

Even with that, Moody’s said, the reduced payments from UnitedHealth and potentially other insurers will create a “meaningful decline in free cash flow (that) will likely lead to a rating downgrade.”

“Reduced free cash flow would not only limit the company’s ability to repay debt, but also its ability to execute its tuck-in acquisition strategy,” Moody’s said.

“As United continues to arbitrarily terminate contracts, we expect to file more lawsuits for unfair payment practices and unjust enrichment – and despite United’s urgings we will not surprise bill patients to make up the difference.”

 

 

 

Not-for-profit hospitals are financially resilient due to strong management, S&P Global Ratings says.

https://www.healthcarefinancenews.com/news/not-profit-hospitals-and-health-systems-have-shown-financial-resilience-due-strong-management?mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTmpJME5qVTNOVEU1TXpRdyIsInQiOiJDdUIxQ1NKdng1b0FkQ1wvQlwvNFBTc1JIbmVwYUZOeUhCZ3VlNlZzdmhNbkhBQlhnXC9JeTI4c2NDeE80REk0YWJ1Nk1jSzl4QjFDbjFMTkxKdmVCblY1RUlSYTIwUmlhSEJ6VXpkOUZZdytUWDhaV1poaEljcVh5ZFdEOUdVZlQzZyJ9

The broad balance sheet shows hospitals are improving financial strength and flexibility compared to two decades ago.

Not-for-profit hospitals and health systems are financially keeping up with changes in the healthcare landscape, according to a new S&P Global Ratings report.

S&P Global Ratings said it believes the not-for-profit healthcare sector has been incredibly resilient over the past two decades, in large part due to strong management and governance.

The broad balance sheet shows improved financial strength and flexibility compared to two decades ago, as is also the case for maximum annual debt service coverage.

Hospitals have done this throughout a time when changes in government policy, reimbursement and the move to value-based care have been factors in their operating performance and financial position. The report shows more variability in operating revenue and excess margins. 

S&P Global looked at providers rated from BBB+ to AA. The stronger providers have seen margin improvement, while weaker rated providers have been generally stable with some pockets of weakness at the lowest reported rating levels, the report said.

WHY THIS MATTERS

Health system challenges include increasing levels of competition and disruption; consumerism and the heightened focus on quality measures and outcomes; the rapid growth in technology and big data analytics; the rise of population health and changes in payment delivery models; and a fundamental shift in how and where patients are treated.

“To be successful, provider management teams must adapt and adjust or run the risk of being left behind,” the credit analysts said.

A factor benefiting health systems has been the low interest rate environment. This has allowed hospitals to finance strategic capital assets, while keeping carrying costs at very manageable levels.

Industry consolidation has had a favorable impact on enterprise profiles, the report said.  While ample “horizontal” competition exists for both hospitals and health systems, in many markets consolidation has made it more manageable.

But competition between hospitals and health systems and new market entrants seeking to control niche services or some aspect of ambulatory care services is presenting new and rapidly evolving threats to enterprise profiles, the report said.

OUTCOMES

Net patient service revenue has risen across all S&P rated categories for both stand-alone and system providers. This is due to a variety of reasons, including the addition of more business lines such as physician and insurance services, and increased industry consolidation;

Operating and excess margins are more complicated, highlighting the ebb and flow of industry trends, including increased joint venture and affiliation activity and investment market volatility.

Maximum annual debt service coverage has grown in all but the weakest rated levels, highlighting an improving balance between operational performance and debt.

Growth in days’ cash on hand has been a universal success even as capital expenditures remain robust.

Debt levels have been favorable with an improved cushion ratio and declining debt as a percentage of capitalization, both well-established trends.

TREND

Momentum continues to build for major legislative and regulatory changes at both the national and state level.

Many of the hospitals and health systems in S&P Global’s rated portfolio have navigated through numerous changes. Historically, a review of ratios over time demonstrates that providers have responded well to change as a group, although results have varied among individual organizations.

While credit quality can and will change over time,  the majority of the rated portfolio is well-positioned to compete effectively as new strategies are required, the analysts said.

S&P Global Ratings analyzes and publishes not-for-profit healthcare median ratios annually, and has been doing so for over 20 years.

ON THE RECORD

“In our view, senior leadership and management teams have provided guidance and direction through a series of difficult and changing periods and have emerged as generally stronger organizations from a financial profile standpoint,” the credit analysts said. “We believe the vast majority of rated hospitals and health systems have the financial discipline and expertise to navigate the challenges over the next decade and beyond, and while there may be some movement in underlying trends in these key metrics, the overall financial outlook, barring any significant shocks from policy or macroeconomic shifts, should remain generally consistent.”