Implications of the National Hospital Flash Report for Hospital Operations

https://www.kaufmanhall.com/insights/thoughts-ken-kaufman/implications-national-hospital-flash-report-hospital-operations

For the past six years, Kaufman Hall has been publishing its monthly National Hospital Flash Report, which is designed to provide a pulse on the health of the healthcare industry and to highlight meaningful and pertinent trends for hospital and health system leaders. The data that powers the report is taken from over 1,300 hospitals, which are reflective of all geographic locations, hospital sizes and types. To ensure the content is digestible and understandable, Kaufman Hall aggregates the data into larger cohorts and measures a select set of key metrics that are most important for understanding the health of the industry. Industry groups and system leaders use these reports both for peer review purposes but also to paint an overall story for their boards and communities.

Through a detailed review of the Flash Report data, each month Kaufman Hall develops findings that healthcare leaders may find instructive as they determine how to adjust to changing market conditions. In 2024 it was reasonably obvious that there was a widening divide between the highest performing hospitals and the lowest performers. While a significant cadre of hospitals and health systems have recovered to pre-Covid financial success, 37% of American hospitals continue to lose money.

We are often asked what the successful hospitals are doing—and importantly—what the data tell us about those that are less successful. Using 2024 data, we have drawn two important conclusions around the role of leading management teams and what separates their organizations from others. 

These teams have:

  1. A sophisticated and balanced approach to the management of departmental performance: and
  2. An understanding of the management of shared service costs.

A sophisticated and balanced approach to the management of departmental performance

It turns out that current data demonstrate that the management of departmental performance is critical to overall hospital financial performance but in a more nuanced manner than expected.

Our analysis was conducted as follows:

  • First, we looked at data across hospitals nationwide to understand the difference in departmental performance between top and bottom performing hospitals.
  • Second, we ranked each department in a hospital from 0 to 100, with 100 representing the best performance based on expense per unit of service.
  • Third, we then grouped all hospitals based on their bottom-line operating margin into three cohorts: those hospitals that fell into the bottom quartile of financial performance, those between the bottom and top quartile, and those in the top quartile.
  • Finally, we created a histogram of the average composition of departmental performance across each of the three margin cohorts.

The findings demonstrate that organizations with top financial performance have departmental results that look like a normal curve around the median. Said more simply, in top-performing hospitals the number of lower-performing departments is roughly equal to the number of higher-performing departments, with most departments operating near the national departmental medians. In contrast, hospitals with the lowest financial performance show a much greater number of departments operating with high cost per units of service and a few departments that operate extremely efficiently.

It appears that poorer performing hospitals focus on the management of the largest clinical and nursing areas. These are the departments that tend to be the “easiest” to manage because they are the “easiest” to benchmark. But the data show that these same hospitals tend to have poor performance over the remainder of the departments, which leads to poor financial results for the total hospital.

Hospitals with top quartile financial performance tend to manage all departments as close to the benchmark median as possible. Such a result means spending more managerial time on the harder to manage departments, especially those departments that are more “unique” and where overall performance is harder to characterize and benchmark.

The observations that can be drawn here are important and as follows:

  • First, oversight and management of individual departments is critical to the financial success of the entire hospital or system.
  • Second, the overall organizational structure of departmental administration is critical as well. The more complicated your departmental structure and the more individual departments you maintain and administer, the more difficult it will be to manage a majority of departments to “median” results.

The data suggest a perhaps unexpected operational conclusion. The achievement of median national departmental benchmarks is leading to overall positive hospital financial operating margins. This outcome offers significant budgeting advice and over the course of a fiscal year should prove to be a remarkably useful administrative lesson.

Understanding the management of shared service costs

Given the growing costs of shared services and related overhead, Kaufman Hall wanted a closer look at how well hospital organizations were scaling shared service costs related to the organization’s size. Unexpectedly, shared service costs were not highly correlated to the size of the hospital or hospital system. This suggests that the management of shared service costs on a per unit basis is difficult and that this aspect of expense management requires diligent focus to enact and sustain cost change. Our data often indicates a wide variation of cost performance among shared services of similar types within different large organizations. This suggests that standardization of such services is not well developed and that there may be a certain level of wishful thinking that increases in organizational size will automatically correlate to lower per unit costs.

The data did indicate, however, that larger organizations can achieve higher performance over smaller organizations relative to shared service expenses. This is an indication that size can be leveraged for superior performance but that such results are not automatic. The takeaway here is that the total spend for shared service functions is very substantial and growing. In that regard, it is most important to proactively address expenses in these areas, build appropriate management plans, and understand how to focus on the right buttons and levers. To the extent that organizations are assuming that growth (both organic and inorganic) will create economies of scale with the overall shared service apparatus, the data demonstrate that such an outcome is possible but only with strong planning and execution.

Operating hospitals in 2025 is flat-out hard and likely to get harder over the year. Hospital executives right now should use every managerial advantage available. A close look at the National Hospital Flash Report data identifies important relationships that provide for a more nuanced and sophisticated operation of both individual departments and the bundle of shared services. The data clearly demonstrate that better results in both these areas will lead to improved financial performance within the hospital overall. The data also indicate key managerial strategies that will lead to such improvement.

Razor-thin hospital margins become the new normal

Hospital finances are starting to stabilize as razor-thin margins become the new normal, according to Kaufman Hall’s latest “National Flash Hospital Report,” which is based on data from more than 900 hospitals.

External economic factors including labor shortages, higher material expenses and patients increasingly seeking care outside of inpatient settings are affecting hospital finances, with the high level of fluctuation that margins experienced since 2020 beginning to subside.

Hospitals’ median year-to-date operating margin was -1.1 percent in February, down from -0.8 percent in January, according to the report. Despite the slight dip, February marked the eight month in which the variation in month-to-month margins decreased relative to the last three years. 

“After years of erratic fluctuations, over the last several months we are beginning to see trends emerge in the factors that affect hospital finances like labor costs, goods and services expenses and patient care preferences,” Erik Swanson, senior vice president of data and analytics with Kaufman Hall, said. “In this new normal of razor thin margins, hospitals now have more reliable information to help make the necessary strategic decisions to chart a path toward financial security.”

High expenses continued to eat into hospitals’ bottom lines, with February signaling a shift from labor to goods and services as the main cost driver behind hospital expenses. Inflationary pressures increased non-labor expenses by 6 percent year over year, but labor expenses appear to be holding steady, suggesting less dependence on contract labor, according to Kaufman Hall. 

“Hospital leaders face an existential crisis as the new reality of financial performance begins to set in,” Mr. Swanson said. “2023 may turn out to be the year hospitals redefine their goals, mission, and idea of success in response to expense and revenue challenges that appear to be here for the long haul.”

16 Things CEOs Need to Know in 2023

https://www.advisory.com/-/media/project/advisoryboard/abresearch/brand-campaigns/soi/wf8632394-ab-16-things-ceos-need-to-know.pdf#page=38

Understand the health care industry’s most urgent challenges—and greatest opportunities.

The health care industry is facing an increasingly tough business climate dominated by increasing costs and prices, tightening margins and capital, staffing upheaval, and state-level policymaking. These urgent, disruptive market forces mean that leaders must navigate an unusually high number of short-term crises.

But these near-term challenges also offer significant opportunities. The strategic choices health care leaders make now will have an outsized impact—positive or negative—on their organization’s long-term goals, as well as the equitability, sustainability, and affordability of the industry as a whole.

This briefing examines the biggest market forces to watch, the key strategic decisions that health care organizations must make to influence how the industry operates, and the emerging disruptions that will challenge the traditional structures of the entire industry.

Preview the insights below and download the full executive briefing (using the link above) now to learn the top 16 insights about the state of the health care industry today.

Preview the insights

Part 1 | Today’s market environment includes an overwhelming deluge of crises—and they all command strategic attention

Insight #1

The converging financial pressures of elevated input costs, a volatile macroeconomic climate, and the delayed impact of inflation on health care prices are exposing the entire industry to even greater scrutiny over affordability. Keep reading on pg. 6

Insight #2

The clinical workforce shortage is not temporary. It’s been building to a structural breaking point for years. Keep reading on pg. 8

Insight #3

Demand for health care services is growing more varied and complex—and pressuring the limited capacity of the health care industry when its bandwidth is most depleted. Keep reading on pg. 10

Insight #4

Insurance coverage shifted dramatically to publicly funded managed care. But Medicaid enrollment is poised to disperse unevenly after the public health emergency expires, while Medicare Advantage will grow (and consolidate). Keep reading on pg. 12

Part II | Competition for strategic assets continues at a rapid pace—influencing how and where patient care is delivered.

Insight #5

The current crisis conditions of hospital systems mask deeper vulnerabilities: rapidly eroding power to control procedural volumes and uncertainty around strategic acquisition and consolidation. Keep reading on pg. 15

Insight #6

Health care giants—especially national insurers, retailers, and big tech entrants—are building vertical ecosystems (and driving an asset-buying frenzy in the process). Keep reading on pg. 17

Insight #7

As employment options expand, physicians will determine which owners and partners benefit from their talent, clinical influence, and strategic capabilities—but only if these organizations can create an integrated physician enterpriseKeep reading on pg. 19

Insight #8

Broader, sustainable shifts to home-based care will require most care delivery organizations to focus on scaling select services. Keep reading on pg. 21

Insight #9

A flood of investment has expanded telehealth technology and changed what interactions with patients are possible. This has opened up new capabilities for coordinating care management or competing for consumer attention. Keep reading on pg. 23

Insight #10

Health care organizations are harnessing data and incentives to curate consumers choices—at both the service-specific and ecosystem-wide levels. Keep reading on pg. 25

Part III | Emerging structural disruptions require leaders to reckon with impacts to future business sustainability. 

Insight #11

For value-based care to succeed outside of public programs, commercial plans and providers must coalesce around a sustainable risk-based payment approach that meets employers’ experience and cost needs. Keep reading on pg. 28

Insight #12

Industry pioneers are taking steps to integrate health equity into quality metrics. This could transform the health care business model, or it could relegate equity initiatives to just another target on a dashboard. Keep reading on pg. 30

Insight #13

Unprecedented behavioral health needs are hitting an already fragmented, marginalized care infrastructure. Leaders across all sectors will need to make difficult compromises to treat and pay for behavioral health like we do other complex, chronic conditions. Keep reading on pg. 32

Insight #14

As the population ages, the fragile patchwork of government payers, unpaid caregivers, and strained nursing homes is ill-equipped to provide sustainable, equitable senior care. This is putting pressure on Medicare Advantage plans to ultimately deliver results. Keep reading on pg. 34

Insight #15

The enormous pipeline of specialized high-cost therapies in development will see limited clinical use unless the entire industry prepares for paradigm shifts in evidence evaluation, utilization management, and financing. Keep reading on pg. 36

Insight #16

Self-funded employers, who are now liable for paying “reasonable” amounts, may contest the standard business practices of brokers and plans to avoid complex legal battles with poor optics. Keep reading on pg. 38