13 hospital and health systems hit with credit downgrades, revisions

Here is a summary of recent credit downgrades and outlook revisions for hospitals and health systems going back to the most recent major roundup March 16.

The various downgrades reflect continued operating challenges many nonprofit systems are facing and will likely continue to deal with for some years to come. The most recent downgrades and revisions, which have not been included in any more recent roundups, are listed first.

Baptist Health Care (Pensacola, Fla.): 

BHC had the rating downgraded on a series of its bonds as a reflection of “pressured operating performance and cash flow,” S&P Global said April 19.

As well as typical industry pressures of inflation and labor expenses, the three-hospital system may face further challenge because of a replacement project for its flagship Baptist Hospital that is due to be completed in late 2023.

Beacon Health (South Bend, Ind.): 

Beacon Health System had its outlook revised to negative from stable on “AA-” rated bonds it holds, S&P Global said April 14.

The move reflects weaker operating results and an expectation of increased debt over the near term.

Kuakini Health System (Honolulu): 

Kuakini Health System, which has a “CCC” long-term rating, has been placed on CreditWatch with negative implications, S&P Global said April 14.

The move reflects the system’s sustained operating challenges with no foreseeable major changes and questions about its long-term viability, the agency said, describing the system’s “precarious financial position.”

Baystate Health (Springfield, Mass.): 

Baystate Health had ratings downgraded on specific bonds related to its flagship medical center, S&P Global said April 12.

While ratings were affirmed on other debt, those on others specific to the 780-bed Baystate Medical Center were downgraded to “A” from “A+” as the system’s operating challenges continue into 2023, the agency said.

Penn State Health (Hershey, Pa.): 

Higher-than-expected operating losses have led to Penn State Health being downgraded on a series of bonds from “A+” to “A,” S&P Global said April 6.

Original budgets for the first part of fiscal 2023 targeted a slightly positive full-year operating margin, but data shows a $75 million lower-than-forecasted figure, S&P Global said. Operating income showed a loss of $154.5 million for the six months ending Dec. 31 compared with a $48.8 million loss in all of fiscal 2022.

Legacy Health (Portland, Ore.): 

Legacy Health had its outlook revised to negative from stable amid expectations the eight-hospital system will continue to experience difficult operating conditions and concern it will continue to fail to meet debt obligations, Moody’s said April 5.

The rating on its revenue bonds was affirmed at “A1.” Total debt stands at $738 million.

Providence (Renton, Wash.): 

The 51-hospital system recorded the first of three downgrades in the space of a few weeks March 17 when Fitch Ratings attached an “A” grade to both the system’s default rating and a series of bonds worth approximately $7.4 billion. The outlook for the system is negative due to its higher-than-average debt loads, Fitch said. 

S&P Global then downgraded Providence to the same notch from “A+” March 21 amid higher expenses and an expectation of only a multiyear process of recovery. The outlook for the system was also negative given the steep operating losses that need to be dealt with, S&P said.

Finally, Providence was downgraded by Moody’s on a series of bonds from “A1” to “A2.

Thomas Jefferson (Philadelphia): 

Thomas Jefferson University has undergone a credit downgrade with cash flow margins expected to stay low for “several years,” Moody’s said March 30.

The 18-hospital system, which also operates 10 colleges located primarily on two campuses in Philadelphia, is expected to stabilize its days of cash on hand to about 140, but debt will remain high, Moody’s said. The outlook is stable.

Oaklawn Hospital (Marshall, Mich.): 

The 68-bed community hospital was downgraded to “BBB-” from “BBB” as it reported operating losses due to higher expenses and length of patient stay, Fitch Ratings said March 29.

The downgrade refers both to its default rating and on bonds worth $63.5 million. The outlook is negative.

DCH Health (Tuscaloosa, Ala.): 

The three-hospital system saw its rating on a series of bonds lowered to “A-” from “A” as it continues to suffer operating losses, S&P Global said March 29.

The system’s “deeply negative underlying operations” are unlikely to lead to any substantial improvement in the near future, the agency said.

DCH Health operates a total of 510 staffed beds.

AU Health System (Augusta, Ga.): 

The system, which is being pursued by Marietta, Ga.-based Wellstar Health, was downgraded March 23 amid concern over negative cash flow and that it may breach covenant agreements later this year, Moody’s said.

The downgrade to “B2” from “Ba3” applies to revenue bonds the system holds. The outlook is negative.

PeaceHealth (Vancouver, Wash.): 

“Considerable operating stress” was the driver behind Fitch Ratings downgrading the 10-hospital system March 21.

The downgrade to “A+” from “AA-” applied to both the system’s default rating and on a series of bonds. The outlook is stable.

Management is targeting a return to profitability by fiscal 2026, Fitch noted.

Mercy Iowa City Hospital:

The hospital, part of Des Moines, Iowa-based MercyOne, was downgraded March 16 to “Caa1” from “B1” because of what Moody’s called “severe cash flow deterioration.” The “Caa1” categorization is seen as “substantial risk.”

PeaceHealth cuts 251 jobs

PeaceHealth has eliminated 251 caregiver roles across multiple locations, the Vancouver, Wash.-based health system said in a statement shared with Becker’s on April 26.

PeaceHealth is actively responding to the significant challenges faced by healthcare organizations across the U.S. Comprehensive plans are already underway to recruit additional nurses, ensure patients can return home as quickly as possible and grow the services we know our community members need,” the statement read. 

“As always, we are also adjusting operations and services to reflect changes in our communities and ensure we are being responsible to our healing mission into the future.”

PeaceHealth said affected roles include 121 from Shared Services, which supports its 16,000 caregivers in Washington, Oregon and Alaska. Shared Services include administrative services that support clinical caregivers such as human resources, information technology, marketing and communications, and finance.

The remaining affected roles are “relatively evenly spread across our three networks. In line with our value of respect, we offer comprehensive transitional support consistent with our policies and practices to all impacted caregivers,” the health system said.

PeaceHealth spokesperson Alison Taylor told Becker’s the health system anticipates many affected caregivers will be qualified for the nearly 1,300 open clinical roles across the organization.

In February, PeaceHealth reported a loss of $90.8 million in the six months ending Dec. 31, 2022. The health system was also downgraded in March by Fitch Ratings, which cited the organization’s “considerable operating stress.”

PeaceHealth operates 10 hospitals across Alaska, Oregon and Washington.

Hospitals’ ‘dire’ financial situation, in 4 charts

According to a new report from the  American Hospital Association (AHA), hospitals and health systems are facing significant financial pressures from rising expenses, including for labor, drugs, medical supplies and more. And without increased government support, the organization warns that patients’ access to care could be at risk.

Hospitals continue to see expenses grow, negative margins

In the report, AHA writes that several factors, including historic inflation and critical workforce shortages leading to a reliance on contract labor, led to “2022 being the most financially challenging year for hospitals since the pandemic began.”

According to data from  Syntellis Performance Solutions, overall hospital expenses increased by 17.5% between 2019 and 2022 — more than double the increases in Medicare reimbursements during the same time. Between 2019 and 2022, Medicare reimbursement only grew by 7.5%.

https://e.infogram.com/45b88e2f-36be-4acf-b83e-3f8441322ab5?parent_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.advisory.com%2Fdaily-briefing%2F2023%2F04%2F26%2Fhospital-challenges%3Futm_source%3Dmember_db%26utm_medium%3Demail%26utm_campaign%3D2023apr26%26utm_content%3Dmember_headline_final_x_infogram_x_x%26elq_cid%3D4778863%26x_id%3D&src=embed#async_embed

With expenses significantly outpacing reimbursement, hospital margins have been consistently negative over the last year. In fact, AHA noted that “over half of hospitals ended 2022 operating at a financial loss — an unsustainable situation for any organization in any sector, let alone hospitals.”

So far, this trend has continued into 2023, with hospitals reporting negative median operating margins in both January and February.

A recent analysis also found that the first quarter of 2023 had the largest number of bond defaults among hospitals in over 10 years. 

https://e.infogram.com/0e03ba0d-cad4-49b4-80da-201819ae9fab?parent_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.advisory.com%2Fdaily-briefing%2F2023%2F04%2F26%2Fhospital-challenges%3Futm_source%3Dmember_db%26utm_medium%3Demail%26utm_campaign%3D2023apr26%26utm_content%3Dmember_headline_final_x_infogram_x_x%26elq_cid%3D4778863%26x_id%3D&src=embed#async_embed

Where are hospital expenses increasing?

Between 2019, and 2022 hospital labor expenses increased by 20.8%, a rise that was largely driven by a growing reliance on contract labor to fill in workforce gaps during the pandemic. Even after accounting for an increase in patient acuity, labor expenses per patient increased by 24.7%.

Compared to pre-pandemic levels, hospitals saw a 56.8% increase in the rates they were charged for contract employees in 2022. Overall, hospitals’ contract labor expenses increased by a “staggering” 257.9% in 2022 compared to 2019 levels.

A sharp rise in inflation in recent months has also led to a significant increase in hospitals’ non-labor expenses, particularly for drugs and medical expenses. According to a report by  Kaufman Hall, just non-labor expenses would lead to a $49 billion one-year expense increase for hospitals and health systems.

Since 2019, non-labor expenses have grown 16.6% per patient. Hospitals’ expenses for drugs and medical supplies/equipment have seen similar increases per patient at 19.7% and 18.5%, respectively. Costs of laboratory services (27.1%), emergency services (31.9%), and purchased services, including IT and food and nutrition services, (18%) have also increased significantly per patient. 

https://e.infogram.com/8ea80e49-1f60-47cd-9429-dbd4a0869c60?parent_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.advisory.com%2Fdaily-briefing%2F2023%2F04%2F26%2Fhospital-challenges%3Futm_source%3Dmember_db%26utm_medium%3Demail%26utm_campaign%3D2023apr26%26utm_content%3Dmember_headline_final_x_infogram_x_x%26elq_cid%3D4778863%26x_id%3D&src=embed#async_embed

Outside of labor and non-labor expenses, AHA writes that policies from health insurers have also contributed to significant burden among hospital staff and increased administrative costs. Currently, administrative costs account for up to 31% of total healthcare spending — of which, billing and insurance makes up 82%.

https://e.infogram.com/27e64c96-bd58-4e5b-8efb-8748e4a3cc28?parent_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.advisory.com%2Fdaily-briefing%2F2023%2F04%2F26%2Fhospital-challenges%3Futm_source%3Dmember_db%26utm_medium%3Demail%26utm_campaign%3D2023apr26%26utm_content%3Dmember_headline_final_x_infogram_x_x%26elq_cid%3D4778863%26x_id%3D&src=embed#async_embed

What Congress can do to support hospitals

With the COVID-19 public health emergency ending on May 11, several important hospital waivers and flexibilities will soon end, and “[t]he downstream effects of this will be wide-ranging as hospitals will be faced with a set of additional challenges,” AHA writes.

“Rising costs for drugs, supplies, and labor coupled with sicker patients, longer hospital stays, and government reimbursement rates that do not come close to covering the costs of caring for patients have created a dire situation for hospitals and health systems,” said AHA president and CEO Rick Pollack.

“This is not just a financial problem; it is an access problem.

When healthcare providers cannot afford the tools and teams they need to care for patients, they will be forced to make hard choices and the people who will be impacted the most are patients. We can’t let that happen. Congress and others must act to preserve the care our nation needs and depend on.”

To address these financial challenges and ensure that hospitals are able to continue caring for patients, AHA has suggested several actions Congress could take to support hospitals going forward, including:

  • Enacting policies to support efforts to boost the healthcare workforce and ensure of future pipeline of professionals to combat longstanding labor shortages
  • Rejecting attempts to cut Medicare or Medicaid payments to hospitals, which could further reduce patients’ access to care
  • Encouraging CMS to use its “special exceptions and adjustments” to make retrospective adjustments to account for differences between what was implemented for fiscal year 2022 and what is currently projected
  • Creating a special statutory designation and providing additional support to hospitals that serve historically marginalized communities

“As the hospital field maintains its commitment to care in the face of significant challenges, policymakers must step up and help protect the health and well-being of our nation by ensuring America has strong hospitals and health systems,” AHA writes.

A new normal for hospital margins?

https://mailchi.mp/5e9ec8ef967c/the-weekly-gist-april-14-2023?e=d1e747d2d8

Using data from Kaufman Hall’s National Hospital Flash Report, as well as publicly available investor reports for some of the nation’s largest nonprofit health systems, the graphic above takes stock of the current state of health system margins. 

The median US hospital has now maintained a negative operating margin for a full year. Some good news may be on the horizon, as the picture is slightly less gloomy than a year ago, with year-over-year revenues increasing seven points more than total expenses. 

However, the external conditions suppressing operating margins aren’t expected to abate, and many large health systems are still struggling.

Among large national non-profits Ascension, CommonSpirit Health, Providence, and Trinity Health, operating income in FY 2022 decreased 180 percent on average, and investment returns fell by 150 percent on average, compared to the year prior.

While health systems’ drop in investment returns mirrors the overall stock market downturn, and is largely comprised of unrealized returns, systems may not be able to rely on investment income to make up for ongoing operating losses.  

Contract labor costs may be easing but still top of mind

There may be signs of costs coming down when it comes to contract labor in the healthcare world, but such workforce costs, as well as inflationary and supply pressures, continue to cause anxiety for industry administrators, according to the Institute of Supply Management.

“Employment continued to improve, with comments suggesting hospitals have been able to shift from temporary, agency staffing to permanent employees,” said Nancy LeMaster, chair of the ISM.

However, “the pressure on hospital margins from inflationary conditions and labor and supply costs were top-of-mind concerns.”

The March 2023 Hospital ISM Report on Business, published April 7, registered a Hospital Purchase Managers Index of 53.4 percent in March, the 34th straight month of growth. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the hospital subsector is generally expanding.

Some shortages persist in the supply chain, particularly with products made from resin, while there has been a shift away from personal protective equipment toward complex medical devices on the inventory side. Prices for supplies and pharmaceuticals generally remain elevated, the ISM said.

Providence endures another credit downgrade

Renton, Wash.-based Providence suffered its third credit downgrade in less than three weeks when Moody’s revised a rating on bonds the 51-hospital system holds to “A2” from “A1.”

Such a rating reflects an expectation margins will remain weak in 2023. The outlook is negative.

The move follows similar actions by Fitch Ratings March 17 and S&P Global March 21 amid an anticipated multiyear process of financial recovery.

Capital expenditure for Providence is expected to be restricted after the completion of a couple of major projects this year to effect “margin recovery,” Moody’s said.

Providence reported a $1.7 billion operating loss in 2022.

Virginia Mason lays off over 300 administrative staff

Tacoma, Wash.-based Virginia Mason Franciscan Health has laid off more than 300 administrative employees, the Puget Sound Business Journal reported April 4. 

The job cuts affected less than 2 percent of the health system’s 19,000-plus workforce.

“Like many healthcare providers in the Pacific Northwest, we are experiencing tremendous financial strain caused by a number of factors, including lasting impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation and labor shortages,” Kelly Campbell, vice president of marketing and communications, told the Journal.

Affected employees will be eligible for career transition assistance, extended benefits and severance programs, according to the report. 

Virginia Mason, which includes 10 hospitals and nearly 300 care sites, said it is focused on improving efficiencies and reducing costs in response to financial headwinds.

In 2022, Washington hospitals reported a total net loss of more than $2.7 billion, compared to a $1.2 billion loss in 2021, while their net operating loss was $2.1 billion, up from $742 million in 2021. 

“We’re very concerned that access to this specialized care, the highest level of care, and in many cases, the life-saving care is threatened by unsustainable financial losses as hospitals are resorting to extraordinary means to close the gaps in their budgets,” Cassie Sauer, president and CEO of the Washington State Hospital Association, said in a March 21 media briefing.

Razor-thin hospital margins become the new normal

Hospital finances are starting to stabilize as razor-thin margins become the new normal, according to Kaufman Hall’s latest “National Flash Hospital Report,” which is based on data from more than 900 hospitals.

External economic factors including labor shortages, higher material expenses and patients increasingly seeking care outside of inpatient settings are affecting hospital finances, with the high level of fluctuation that margins experienced since 2020 beginning to subside.

Hospitals’ median year-to-date operating margin was -1.1 percent in February, down from -0.8 percent in January, according to the report. Despite the slight dip, February marked the eight month in which the variation in month-to-month margins decreased relative to the last three years. 

“After years of erratic fluctuations, over the last several months we are beginning to see trends emerge in the factors that affect hospital finances like labor costs, goods and services expenses and patient care preferences,” Erik Swanson, senior vice president of data and analytics with Kaufman Hall, said. “In this new normal of razor thin margins, hospitals now have more reliable information to help make the necessary strategic decisions to chart a path toward financial security.”

High expenses continued to eat into hospitals’ bottom lines, with February signaling a shift from labor to goods and services as the main cost driver behind hospital expenses. Inflationary pressures increased non-labor expenses by 6 percent year over year, but labor expenses appear to be holding steady, suggesting less dependence on contract labor, according to Kaufman Hall. 

“Hospital leaders face an existential crisis as the new reality of financial performance begins to set in,” Mr. Swanson said. “2023 may turn out to be the year hospitals redefine their goals, mission, and idea of success in response to expense and revenue challenges that appear to be here for the long haul.”

AHA: MedPAC’s 2024 Medicare payment recommendation is ‘out of touch with reality’

MedPAC’s recommendation that acute care hospitals don’t need a significant increase in 2024 Medicare rates is “totally insufficient and out of touch with reality,” according to the American Hospital Association.

“This view is one-sided, inaccurate and misleading,” Ashley Thompson, AHA’s senior vice president of public policy analysis and development, wrote in a March 23 blog post. “After years of once-in-a-lifetime events in the form of a global pandemic and record inflation, hospitals across the country are struggling to continue to fulfill their mission to care for their patients and communities.”

In its annual March report to Congress, MedPAC recommended an update to hospital payment rates of “current law plus 1 percent,” which the AHA says is not enough for many hospitals to keep their doors open. 

The commission found that most indicators of sufficient Medicare rates for providers were positive or improved in 2021, though it acknowledged that hospitals saw more volatile cost increases in 2022 compared to years prior. Hospital margins were also lower last year than in 2021, according to preliminary data, driven in part by providers facing higher than expected costs and capacity and staffing challenges.

The report also said that its 2024 payment recommendations “may not be sufficient” to sustain some safety-net hospitals with a low number of commercially insured patients, and proposed $2 billion in add-on payments.

Across the U.S., a total of 631 rural hospitals — or about 30 percent of all rural hospitals — are at risk of closing in the immediate or near future.

MedPAC’s recommendations for 2024 differ from how some health economists have recently described hospitals’ finances. In January, hospitals had a median operating margin of -1 percent according to Kaufman Hall, a finding that arrived on the heels of 2022 being named the worst financial year for hospitals since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“It is also important to realize that MedPAC’s report and data has limitations,” Ms. Thompson wrote, referring to a misalignment in the calendar year MedPAC chose to analyze and how hospitals can differ in how they report their individual financial earnings.

MedPAC said its report reflects 2021 data, preliminary data from 2022, and projections for 2023, along with recent inflation rates.

“…cost reports are filed for hospitals’ own specific fiscal years, and because surges, relief payments, and eventual expense increases happened at different times for different hospitals, these calculated margins don’t necessarily provide a fully accurate picture of the financial reality in 2021,” Ms. Thompson wrote.

The AHA stressed that hospitals’ finances in 2023 face much different challenges compared to 2021, when the industry was more supported by strong investment returns and federal pandemic relief. 

“The fact that massive numbers of hospitals are not currently closing due to financial pressures should be seen as positive for patients and communities,” Ms. Thompson said. “Instead, some observers seem to be disappointed that more hospitals are not failing financially.”

A detailed response from the AHA to the MedPAC report is available here.