Tag Archives: Medicare

Have enough beds? Demographic trends paint an alarming picture

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , , , , , , • Leave a comment

Have enough beds? Demographic trends paint an alarming picture

Healthcare providers know that inpatient volumes are down over historic levels. (But let’s not talk […]

Healthcare providers know that inpatient volumes are down over historic levels. (But let’s not talk about emergency department volumes—those are WAY up.)  They know this trend originates mostly with Medicare beneficiaries. They also know the causes: migration to outpatient services, observation day rules, intense focus on decreasing length of stay, and reduced readmissions as part of their quality initiatives.

What they may miss, however, is that this trend also has something to do with the declining average age of our nation’s senior population—a phenomenon that first began in 2005 and will continue until about 2020.  In 2005, the average age of our nation’s senior population was 75.2 years; in 2020, the average age is expected to be 74.4 years.

This fact is important because older seniors consume significantly greater healthcare resources than younger seniors. Today, those over 65 represent about 15 percent of the total U.S. population. By 2020, one out of six Americans will be 65 or older, rising to 22 percent by 2040. Understanding how this population is distributed among age cohorts is critically important not only in understanding current trends in reduced utilization, but also in preparing for the future.

Taking a Closer Look
This increasing proportion of the population that are seniors is important because the average Medicare beneficiary consumes about four times the hospital-based services as the average commercially insured person. But it is just as important to look more closely at consumption patterns within the senior population. Those between ages 75 and 84 consume about 60 percent more services than seniors ages 65 to 74. Those age 85 and above consume about two-and-a-half times as much.

According to U.S. Census forecasts, in 2021, the over-75 population will make up the lowest percentage of the senior Medicare population in recent history, at about 41 percent. By 2040, seniors older than 75 will constitute 55 percent of the total senior population. This fact alone would suggest that we are in for a reversal of declining volume patterns—but by how much?

The answer is that if nothing is done to further reduce admissions and days per 1,000 for the senior Medicare population, inpatient days should almost double from about 70 million today to about 130 million in 2040 on the basis of demographic changes alone. That represents a need for some 220,000 additional beds at 75 percent capacity by 2040—never mind all the other healthcare services that will be needed. But even as there is general recognition among healthcare leaders of the advent of an aging population, there is also the general sense that somehow, we will not need the same level of resources to meet that demand as we do today.

Where does that sense of assurance come from? Apparently, it stems from the belief that unnecessary and excess utilization exists purely due to financial reasons, and that even more of the care delivered on an inpatient basis could be performed on an outpatient basis or at home with better monitoring and intervention through new technologies. But there also appears to be an ignoring of the well-known trend for the population becoming increasingly co-morbid at ever-younger ages. Additionally, some believe that increased focus on addressing social determinants of health, which impact 64 percent of health outcomes, will reduce need for medical services.

All of these assumptions may be true, in theory. In practice, however, as a senior healthcare executive and registered nurse said to me recently, “People are really sick. You have no idea.” There is also the enormous question of how one staffs and gets paid for programs and investments that might reduce demand for hospital-based services. The economics of today’s medicalized approach to health care is unprepared to address this.

A Critical Issue for Leadership
This is an issue that should be of paramount importance to healthcare providers. As seniors comprise a greater portion of our population, demand for inpatient and post-acute services will significantly increase. The hope and dream expressed in the view that hospital-based utilization might be reduced springs from a terrible reality: Hospitals in general, with the possible exception of high-end tertiary/quaternary services, lose money on government-reimbursed volume—and this will only get worse as cost inflation continues to exceed government reimbursement trends.

The prospect of the demand for inpatient days nearly doubling over the next 20 years paints a horrifying financial picture. Who, then, would not want to hope that something magical will happen to prevent a scenario that logic and data tell us is likely to occur?

It’s time for healthcare leaders to take a hard look at the trends around senior aging and have tough discussions with their executive teams and boards about the impact these trends could have on their organizations’ futures—and what they should be doing now to prepare.

 

 

 

A Brief Look at Medicare Market Share for Six Major Metro Areas

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , • Leave a comment

https://www.markfarrah.com/mfa-briefs/a-brief-look-at-medicare-market-share-for-six-major-metro-areas/

Image result for Market Share

Medicare Advantage plans continue to be an attractive option for the rapidly increasing senior population.  As of November 2018, total Medicare Advantage (MA) membership stood at over 21.6 million, representing approximately 34% of the 63.7 million Americans eligible for Medicare.  Health plan enrollment and market share data are important metrics for health insurers to assess in order to identify opportunities and make better business decisions about products and services.  Companies not only look at their own market positions but also routinely analyze competitor membership to evaluate relative market share.  Industry analysts often assess market share at the county or metropolitan statistical area (MSA) level in order to gain a more complete competitive picture of the market.  This brief presents an overview of Medicare market demographics and market share data, with a focus on health plan market position for six major metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the U.S.

Competition and Market Share

For the purposes of this brief, MFA first looked at the competitive mix in the Medicare and Medicare Advantage markets through analysis of enrollment figures from the Health Coverage Portal™ and Medicare Business Online™ by metropolitan areas in the United States. 

  • Seniors have a choice between coverage offered by original Medicare and Medicare Advantage (MA).  While potential market size is an important metric, understanding the insurance preferences of seniors requires a closer look at enrollment within each area.  How seniors are behaving as consumers varies greatly among the metropolitan areas.  To shed more light on these differences, Mark Farrah Associates calculated the penetration rate for original Medicare & Medicare Advantage plans.  Penetration rate is calculated by dividing the number of plan members by the number of those eligible for Medicare.  The penetration rate provides the overall market share which can be used to analyze seniors’ choice between sticking with original Medicare and choosing a Medicare Advantage plan.
  • There is a greater degree of variability across the top 6 MSAs when considering original Medicare vs. Medicare Advantage penetration rates, per the chart above. The Chicago MSA has the highest original Medicare rate at just over 70.9% with the lowest Medicare Advantage penetration rate (24.1%). Similarly, Philadelphia is well below the national average with a Medicare Advantage penetration rate of 28.1%.  One reason for the lower Medicare Advantage penetration in both Chicago and Philadelphia is the popularity of Medicare Supplement plans in both Illinois and Pennsylvania. On the other hand, Miami is currently sitting with only 41.5% of those eligible enrolled in original Medicare with the highest penetration rate of the 6 MSAs in the Medicare Advantage market at 53.5%. Los Angeles also records above average Medicare Advantage popularity with almost a 48% penetration rate.
  • Based on MFA’s county estimates, the above table provides the top Medicare Advantage companies and their corresponding market share in each of the top MSAs. UnitedHealth Group appears to have a strong foothold in 5 of the MSAs above, except for the Philadelphia MSA. Humana also has a large presence across the selected MSAs.

Conclusion

Eligibility, geographic location, income levels and overall health status of a population are just a few determinants of Medicare penetration in a particular area.  While further demographic insight would be required to discern why Medicare and Medicare Advantage penetration is higher in some areas more than others, it is clear that the competitive mix among these MSAs indicates varying degrees of consumer choice.  Nonetheless, the Medicare market continues to grow as more and more Americans of the Baby Boom generation enter retirement age.  As always, Mark Farrah Associates will monitor enrollment trends and industry shifts in this highly competitive segment.

 

 

 

Healthcare Triage: Medicare for All and Administrative Costs

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , • Leave a comment

Healthcare Triage: Medicare for All and Administrative Costs

Image result for Healthcare Triage: Medicare for All and Administrative Costs

Political talk is getting more and more serious around Medicare for All in the United States. The argument, as usual comes down to costs. One of the advantages that proponents always bring up are the very low administrative costs of Medicare. Are those low costs for real? Would they hold up if everyone was in the system? Healthcare Triage looks at the facts.

 

 

Dems Won on Health Care. Now What?

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , , , , , , • Leave a comment

 

Democrats rode a health care message to their Election Day takeover of the House. Now that the election is (mostly) over, how will they follow through on that campaign focus?

The party is still figuring out its next steps on health care, and Nancy Pelosi and her colleagues will have a lot of decisions to make and details to sort out. “The new House Democratic majority knows what it opposes. They want to stop any further efforts by Republicans or the Trump administration to roll back and undermine the Affordable Care Act or overhaul Medicaid and Medicare,” writes Dylan Scott at Vox. “But Democrats are less certain about an affirmative health care agenda.”

Some big-picture agenda items are clear, though. “The top priorities for Ms. Pelosi, the House Democratic leader, and her party’s new House majority include stabilizing the Affordable Care Act marketplace, controlling prescription drug prices and investigating Trump administration actions that undermine the health care law,” reports Robert Pear in The New York Times.

House Democrats also plan to vote early next year on plans to ensure patients with preexisting medical conditions are protected when shopping for insurance, Pear reports. And they’ll likely vote to join in the defense of the Affordable Care Act and its protections for those with pre-existing conditions against a legal challenge now before a Texas federal court.

Here are a few areas where House Democrats will likely look to exercise their newly won power.

Stabilizing Affordable Care Act markets: “I’m staying as speaker to protect the Affordable Care Act,” Pelosi said in an interview with CBS’s “Face the Nation,” calling that her “main issue.” And Vox’s Scott says that “a bill to stabilize the Obamacare insurance markets would be the obvious first item for the new Democratic majority’s agenda,” adding that a bill put forth by Reps. Richard Neal (MA), Frank Pallone (NJ) and Bobby Scott (VA) is the likely starting point. Democrats may look to provide funding for the Obamacare “cost-sharing reduction” subsidy payments to insurers that President Donald Trump ended in October 2017. And they may look to restore money for Affordable Care Act outreach and enrollment programs after the Trump administration slashed that funding by 84 percent, to $10 million, Pear says. “Another idea is for the federal government to provide money to states to help pay the largest medical claims,” he adds. “Such assistance, which provides insurance for insurance carriers, has proved effective in reducing premiums in Alaska and Minnesota, and several other states will try it next year.”

Investigating the Trump administration ‘sabotage’: “Administration officials who have tried to undo the Affordable Care Act — first by legislation, then by regulation — will find themselves on the defensive, spending far more time answering questions and demands from Congress,” Pear writes.

Reining in prescription drug prices: Trump, Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell have all pointed to this as an area of potential cooperation, But Vox’s Scott calls this “another area where Democrats know they want to act but don’t know yet exactly what they can or should do.” Some options include pushing to let Medicare negotiate drug prices directly with manufacturers and requiring makers of brand-name medications to provide samples to manufacturers of generics, potentially speeding the development of less expensive competitors.

“There are a lot of levers to pull to try to reduce drug prices: the patent protections that pharma companies receive for new drugs, the mandated discounts when the government buys drugs for Medicare and Medicaid, existing hurdles to getting generic drugs approved, the tax treatment of drug research and development,” Scott writes. But it’s not clear just what policy mix would really work to bring down drug prices, and the pharmaceutical industry lobby is likely to push back hard on such efforts. Democrats may also be hesitant to give President Trump a high-profile win on the issue ahead of the 2020 election.

Medicare for all: Much of the Democratic Party may be gung-ho for some sort of Medicare-for-all legislation, but don’t expect significant progress over the next two years. “House Democratic leaders probably don’t want to take up such a potentially explosive issue too soon after finally clawing back a modicum of power in Trump’s Washington,” Scott writes. And Democrats have to forge some sort of internal consensus on just what kind of plan they want to push in order to further expand health insurance coverage.

Feds claim Kansas physician involved in $30M billing fraud scheme

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , , , , , , • Leave a comment

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/legal-regulatory-issues/feds-claim-kansas-physician-involved-in-30m-billing-fraud-scheme.html

Image result for whistleblower

A Kansas physician and Hutchinson (Kan.) Clinic are defendants in a False Claims Act case the federal government recently intervened in, according to the Great Bend Tribune.

The government alleges Mark Fesen, MD, and Hutchinson Clinic billed Medicare and Tricare for more than $30 million for medically unnecessary medications and treatments, including chemotherapy.

The 45-page federal complaint provides nine examples of patients who received unnecessary treatments.

“These patient examples are not isolated examples, but instead representative examples of the medically unnecessary services Fesen and Hutchinson Clinic repeatedly billed to Medicare and Tricare,” states the complaint. “This is supported by the clinic’s own internal audits that found widespread problems with Fesen’s chemotherapy regimens, and particularly his use of Rituxan.”

A clinical pharmacist who worked in Hutchinson Clinic’s oncology department from 2007-14 originally brought the allegations against Dr. Fesen and the clinic under the qui tam, or whistle-blower, provisions of the False Claims Act.

 

 

Health Care Is on Agenda for New Congress

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , • Leave a comment

https://www.scripps.org/blogs/front-line-leader/posts/6546-ceo-blog-health-care-is-on-agenda-for-new-congress

After months of polls, mailbox fliers, debates and seemingly endless commercials, the mid-term elections are over and the results are in. As predicted by many, the Democrats have won back the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, while the Republicans have expanded their majority in the Senate.

This means that for the first time since 2015 we have a divided Congress, which leaves me pondering the possible consequences for Scripps Health and the broader health care sector.

Without a doubt, health care will be on the agenda for both parties over the coming months. That became apparent during pre-election campaigning as voters on both sides of the political spectrum voiced concerns about a wide range of health care-related issues.

Exit polls found that about 41 percent of voters listed health care as the top issue facing the country, easily outpacing other issues such as immigration and the economy.

That’s really no surprise. Health care affects all of us, whether we’re young or old, poor or well off, or identify as more conservative or more liberal. And despite all of the division around the country, most Americans seem to agree on at least a few things – health care costs too much, more needs to be done to rein in those costs, everyone should have access to health insurance, and pre-existing condition shouldn’t be a disqualifier for getting coverage.

When the new Congress convenes on Jan. 3, a wide range of health care issues will be on the agenda.

Here are a few of the issues that I’ll be watching as our lawmakers adjust to the reshuffled political dynamics in Washington.

  • Repealing elements of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) is likely off the table now that Democrats control the House. Previously, House Republicans had voted to change a number of ACA provisions that required health insurance policies to cover prescription drugs, mental health care and other “essential” health benefits. But even before the election, Republicans had reassessed making changes to measures that protect people with pre-existing conditions as that issue gained traction with voters.
  • Efforts to expand insurance coverage and achieve universal health care will likely increase. A number of newly elected Democrats vowed to push for a vote on the single-payer option, but other less politically polarizing options such as lowering the eligibility age for Medicare and expanding Medicaid likely will draw more support.
  • While Republicans used their majority in the House to reduce the burden of government regulations in health care and other industries, Democrats might use their new-found power to initiate investigations on a wide range of matters such as prescription drug costs.

We could see some significant changes take place at a more local level as well. On Tuesday, voters in three states approved the expansion of Medicaid, the government program that provides health care coverage for the poor.

And here in California, we will be watching newly elected Governor Gavin Newsom to see what plans he will put forward for expanding health care coverage in this state.

At Scripps, we believe everyone should have access to the health care services that they need, and we have worked hard in recent years to do all that we can to bring down the costs of delivering that care to our patients.

In this new world of divided government, gridlock likely will prevail and President Trump’s initiatives will struggle in the Democrat-controlled House. Everyone will be focused on positioning themselves and their party for the next presidential and congressional elections in two years.

Compromise and bipartisanship are clearly the best options for addressing the health care challenges we now face in ways that have the best chance to win wide public support.

If Democrats in the House fail to reach across the aisle to Republicans or try to make too many changes too quickly, they surely will face many of the same pitfalls that confronted Republicans over the last two years.

 

 

HOSPITALS SHOULD BE BRACING FOR SITE-NEUTRAL PAYMENTS

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , • Leave a comment

https://www.healthleadersmedia.com/finance/hospitals-should-be-bracing-site-neutral-payments

Even if the Trump administration were to delay its proposed site-neutral payments policy for outpatient facilities another year or longer, the political debate isn’t going away.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Prominent hospital groups have said the rule, as proposed, would be illegal.

Lawmakers from both sides of the aisle in both chambers of Congress have voiced opposition.

Hospitals should do their long-term budgeting and strategizing with site-neutrality in mind.

A controversial proposal to cut reimbursement rates for hospital outpatient departments could be finalized this week if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services hits its target date to publish the final rule.

The proposed change to the Outpatient Prospective Payment System (OPPS) and Ambulatory Surgical Center (ASC) Payment System unveiled last July has drawn criticism from the American Hospital Association (AHA), America’s Essential Hospitals (AEH), lawmakers in both houses of Congress, and others who contend the so-called “site-neutral” payment policies fail to account for the added burden hospital-owned facilities shoulder.

Both AHA and AEH said in formal comments last month that the OPPS/ASC proposal for 2019 appears to be illegal. And lawmakers raised related concerns in two separate letters to CMS Administrator Seema Verma, suggesting the proposal flouts congressional intent.

A bipartisan group of 48 senators signed a letter last month urging CMS to rethink its approach, and a bipartisan group of 138 representatives followed suit this month with a letter of their own.

The political pressure could very well leave an imprint on the final version of the rule, which has been under review by the Office of Management and Budget since October 10. A spokesperson for CMS told HealthLeaders that the agency would not speculate on the potential outcome of the review process, reiterating the agency’s plan to publish the final version on or about Thursday, November 1.

But even if the Trump administration were to postpone the site-neutral payments policy another year or longer, hospitals should still be preparing for site-neutrality, since this political debate will play itself out over the next several years one way or another, says Greg Hagood, a senior managing director with the financial advisory firm SOLIC Capital.

That preparation for site-neutrality should include an ambulatory strategy with investments in outpatient settings, Hagood said, with a word of caution for hospitals and health systems.

“I think they need to do their budgeting, though, with an eye toward the fact that certain areas that have historically been anchors to the hospital—whether that’s the emergency room, cardiac care, or some of these hospital outpatient departments—are likely to see diminished margins,” he said.

Basing a budget around more-conservative revenue estimates for these service lines could prompt hospitals to rationalize their cost structures or even adjust their infrastructure, such as by reducing their number of clinics or inpatient beds, Hagood said.

Although the concept of site-neutrality “makes a ton of sense” on the surface, there’s also a complex history in how American reimbursement models have evolved over the past few decades, and hospitals provide expensive services that other outpatient facilities often don’t, such as indigent care, Hagood said. Switching to a site-neutral system would have “a very economically disruptive impact on a lot of large health systems,” he added.

The debate gains another layer of intrigue when you consider how any action taken by lawmakers will be perceived by their constituents.

“If you want to make a congressman vulnerable,” Hagood said, “you’ll say he was supportive of a policy that results in a closure of a hospital in your district.”

 

 

Is Medicare for All the Answer to Sky-High Administrative Costs?

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , , , • Leave a comment

Is Medicare for All the Answer to Sky-High Administrative Costs?

Related image

 

Calls for a Medicare for All system are growing louder. Many Democrats have embraced it, while President Trump said last week that it would raise health care costs drastically.

Democrats say that giving people the option to partake in Medicare — no matter their age — will actually cut costs.

American administrative costs for health care are the highest in the world, and they argue that one advantage of Medicare for All is that it would save money because Medicare’s administrative costs are below those of private insurers.

Does that argument hold up?

Medicare’s administrative costs were $8.1 billion last year, or 1.1 percent of total spending, close to the proportion it has been in recent years.

But some have argued that the actual cost is higher because of services performed for Medicare by other parts of the government that aren’t accounted for: The Social Security Administration collects premiums, the Internal Revenue Service collects taxes for the program, the F.B.I. provides fraud prevention services, and at least seven other federal agencies and departments also do work that benefits Medicare.

The claim that these administrative costs are overlooked is false. As annual reporting of Medicare’s finances plainly states, they are accounted for.

But there is something missing from the $8.1 billion Medicare administrative cost figure, as Kip Sullivan explains in a 2013 paper published in the Journal of Health Politics, Policy and Law. Although it accurately accounts for the federal government’s administrative costs, it does not include those borne by private plans that also offer Medicare benefits.

In addition to the traditional (public) Medicare plan, Medicare is also available from private plans through the Medicare Advantage program. Today, one-third of people using Medicare are in such plans, up from about one-fifth a decade ago. Moreover, all Medicare drug benefits are administered through private plans.

National Health Expenditure data shows both the government’s administrative costs for Medicare and those of Medicare’s private plans. Putting them together for the most recent year available (2016), they reach $47 billion, or 7 percent of total Medicare spending — well above the administrative costs borne directly by the Medicare program.

Medicare’s private drug benefit plans incur administrative costs that are about 11 percent of their spending. All of this additional, private administrative cost is paid for by taxpayers and, through their premiums, people who use Medicare.

Medicare’s direct administrative costs are not only low, but they also have been falling over the years, as a percent of total program spending. Yet the program’s total administrative costs — including those of the private plans — have been rising.

“This reflects a shift toward more enrollment in private plans,” Mr. Sullivan said. “The growth of those plans has raised, not lowered, overall Medicare administrative costs.”

Making an accurate estimate of the administrative costs of Medicare for All would depend, in part, on whether it would be more like an expansion of traditional Medicare (with its 1.1 percent administrative cost rate) or of all of Medicare, including its private plans (with a combined 7 percent administrative cost rate).

Yet both figures are well below private insurers’ administrative costs, which run about 13 percent of spending (this also includes profit), according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an advocacy organization for the industry.

Some critics have argued that Medicare’s administrative cost rate appears artificially low because Medicare enrollees’ health spending is so high. Average Medicare spending per beneficiary is just over $12,000 per year; for an average worker in a private plan, it’s about $6,000. If you simply divide administrative costs by total spending, you will get a lower number for Medicare for this reason alone.

This is true, but the government’s administrative costs for Medicare are still below those of private plans. The government’s administrative costs are about $132 per person compared with over $700 for private plans. One reason Medicare’s are so much lower is that it reaps economies of scale. It also benefits from not needing to do much marketing, and it doesn’t earn profits.

4 Key Fact Checks on Trump and Medicare for All

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , • Leave a comment

https://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2018/10/10/4-Key-Fact-Checks-Trump-and-Medicare-All

President Trump published an op-ed in Wednesday’s USA Today, warning in dire language of the consequences of Democrats’ Medicare-for-all proposals. “Democrats would gut Medicare with their planned government takeover of American health care,” Trump says.

The problem: Nearly every line of Trump’s piece “contained a misleading statement or a falsehood,” writes Washington Post fact-checker Glenn Kessler.

We’ll provide a few examples below, but for a more complete analysis of Trump’s problematic, misleading or outright false claims, read Kessler’s piece or this Associated Press fact-check of claims the president has made in recent speeches at campaign rallies.

Why it matters: Trump’s op-ed and other recent criticisms of Democratic health-care proposals echo other GOP attacks claiming that Medicare for all would destroy traditional Medicare. Combined, they read less like a serious policy critique and more like cynical scare tactics — a ploy to muddy the waters around an idea that’s growing in popularity but still poorly defined in voters’ minds.

“There definitely are serious questions about ‘Medicare for All,’ including the massive tax increases that would be needed to pay for it and longstanding differences in society about the proper function of government,” the AP piece notes. Trump’s attacks skirt those serious questions, and differences of opinions among Democrats on Medicare for all, in favor of false or misleading campaign-style attacks.

Will it work? It very well might, at least in the short run. But at the Washington Examiner, Philip Klein critiques Trump’s line of attack from the right, arguing that it “will backfire on conservatives in the long run and actually make socialized healthcare more likely. … By perpetuating the idea that Medicare is a great program that needs to be protected at all costs (rather than an unsustainable entitlement) it only makes it easier for liberals to make the case for socialized medicine. It also makes it harder to make the case for overhauling entitlement programs to avert the looming debt crisis.”

The four key fact checks:

* “Dishonestly called ‘Medicare for All,’ the Democratic proposal would establish a government-run, single-payer health care system that eliminates all private and employer-based health care plans and would cost an astonishing $32.6 trillion during its first 10 years.”

The facts: There are numerous “Medicare for all” proposals. Some would eliminate private and employer-based plans in favor of a single federally run health insurance program, but others would introduce a public plan option alongside existing private coverage choices. A new Kaiser Family Foundation report provides a useful overview of eight different legislative proposals introduced in the current session of Congress.

Trump is right that studies, like the one he links to by the libertarian Mercatus Center, have estimated that Bernie Sanders’ plan would add more than $30 trillion to federal health care costs. Proponents of a single-payer system argue that those price tags simply represent a shift in spending from the private to the public sector — a change, they say, that will wring costs out of the system overall while also providing for universal coverage.

* “As a candidate, I promised that we would protect coverage for patients with pre-existing conditions and create new health care insurance options that would lower premiums. I have kept that promise, and we are now seeing health insurance premiums coming down.”

The facts: Trump’s Justice Department argued in an ongoing Texas court case that Obamacare’s protections for patients with pre-existing conditions should be invalidated, and his administration has pushed insurance options that could weaken such protections. Trump’s claim about premiums coming down applies only to benchmark Obamacare plans, and is based on recent comments by HHS Secretary Alex Azar. Experts say that Obamacare premiums are stabilizing in 2019, but would have fallen if not for Trump administration policies. Meanwhile, premiums for employer-provided insurance, by far the most common type in the U.S., are still rising.

* “I also made a solemn promise to our great seniors to protect Medicare. That is why I am fighting so hard against the Democrats’ plan that would eviscerate Medicare.”

The facts: “Under Trump, the date for when the Medicare Hospital Insurance (Part A) Trust fund will be depleted keeps advancing,” Kessler notes. “If the trust fund is depleted, that means the government would not be able to cover 100 percent of estimated expenses. Yet because of Trump’s tax cut, the budget deficit is soaring even as the economy is booming, in contrast to previous periods of under-4-percent unemployment. That leaves the government less prepared to deal with the consequences of baby-boom retirements.”

* “The Democrats’ plan means that after a life of hard work and sacrifice, seniors would no longer be able to depend on the benefits they were promised.”

The facts: Not true. None of the plans would cut benefits for seniors, and the most frequently cited promises to be more generous. “The Sanders plan would be a fundamental change, expanding Medicare to cover almost everyone in the country,” the Associated Press notes. “But current Medicare recipients would get improved benefits. Sanders would eliminate Medicare deductibles, limit copays, and provide coverage for dental and vision care, as well as hearing aids. A House single-payer bill calls for covering long-term care.”

 

 

 

Medicare for All, But All For Medicare?

Posted on by • Posted in Uncategorized • Tagged , , , , • Leave a comment

https://mailchi.mp/burroughshealthcare/pc9ctbv4ft-1576037?e=7d3f834d2f

Image result for medicare for all

It’s 2018 and health insurance remains a major conundrum for America’s leaders, one hot political potato. Our current health system is worth $3.2 trillion to our economy — the most “valuable” in the world — but nearly 44 million people are without health insurance and our life expectancy falls behind thirty-six other nations.

The question remains: How can that be? And is healthcare really “a right” of all Americans?

Many other countries have successfully adopted single-payer systems, which means that no one is without coverage. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is busy answering questions about his Medicare for All (M4A) platform, joined frequently by supporter and fellow democratic socialist and New York Congressional candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY).

“Health care must be recognized as a right, not a privilege,” he writes on his platform’s web page. “Every man, woman, and child in our country should be able to access the health care they need regardless of their income. The only long-term solution to America’s health care crisis is a single-payer national health care program.”

Summing it all up that way sounds very appealing, but making such a change would entail a seismic shift.

How Do We Really Feel?

A new Reuters/Ipsos survey shares that most of us, 70 percent, are in favor of the single-payer system: 85 percent of Democrats and 52 percent of Republicans. Perhaps even more surprising is that a mere 20 percent of us actually dislike the concept.

Under this plan, we’d all be lumped into one communal pot, run by the government, and we’d no longer have to fret over those confounding deductibles and premiums. We’d experience improved benefits, he promises, such as dental, vision and hearing.

Major tax increases would fund the plan that includes the following:

  • A 6.2 percent income-based health care premium paid by employers.
  • A 2.2 percent income-based premium paid by households.
  • Progressive income tax rates.
  • Taxing capital gains and dividends the same as income from work.
  • Limiting tax deductions for rich.
  • Savings from health tax expenditures.

    The government’s costs would increase to nearly $33 trillion during its first 10 years (2022 to 2031) says a “working paper”reportfrom Charles Blahous at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. That number assumes enactment this year.

Emory University health policy professor Kenneth Thorpe, who has also studied M4A, says annual costs to the federal government will average between $2.5 trillion to $3 trillion.

The idea of anything “for all” has enormous appeal, but wait just a minute, says The Atlantic. This whole idea of single-payer, “an indulgent fantasy,” evolved because Republicans sought to kill the Affordable Care Act (ACA), or Obamacare, but the party couldn’t unite around a coherent alternative.  What then?

Democrats want to sweep away the complexity of our current health policy status quo, says the author Reihan Salam, who’s not all that optimistic. “All health reformers in America must confront the hospital sector.” The Blahous report says Medicare for All would slice hospital and physician payments by up to 40 percent which would significantly impact physicians and hospitals’ willingness and ability to care for Medicare patients (Medicare currently only covers 92% of costs).

Which “M” Word?

The word “Medicare” may, in fact, be misused when applied to a single-payer program, because, says Politico, Medicare isn’t single payer at all, but a “bewilderingly complex” system, “a massive public-private hybrid coverage scheme, funded mostly by taxes.“

Further, Medicare’s audience is specific: seniors who receive benefits when working-age people’s pay is taxed. We’re talking about greatly expanding the beneficiary pool here: “Paying for everyone’s health care that way would be a radically different proposition, and far more expensive.“

What we’re really talking about is Medicaid for All, suggests the National Review, which reminds us that “the devil really is in the details.” Medicaid is not free and is funded significantly by the Federal Government inversely related to each State’s per capita income and doctors dislike Medicaid with its low reimbursements, and consumers complain about long lines and treatment delays.

Sanders’ plan would say bye-bye to all private health insurance and would mean all abortions are free and that illegal aliens will get free health care courtesy of the taxpayer; things that many Americans will not tolerate.

Comparing Apples to Apples

Looking at the much bigger picture, proponents on the “yea” side of M4A say that its benefits far outweigh the risks. First and foremost, the entire population would have the opportunity to be healthier, since having access to health care improves health.

Currently, under the ACA, employers with 50 or more full-time employees must provide health insurance to all of them. For mega-corporations, that expenditure isn’t a huge ask, but smaller companies may find it a stretch. If the government funds health insurance, that then lightens the load for all companies that may find they can increase employee pay as a result — if they choose to do so, of course.

One point that seems to go “either way”: health care spending per capita. The United States spends nearly twice as much as other wealthy countries, topping out at $10,348 per person, according to 2016 numbers from Peterson-Kaiser. Compare that to the United Kingdom at

$4,192 and Japan at $4,519.

Given our expenditures, this is one tough pill to swallow: According to the latest report from The Commonwealth Fund, even though we spend more, “the U.S. population has poorer health than other countries” and is “failing to deliver indicated services reliably to all who could benefit.“

On the “nay” side of things, opponents cite those major tax hikes and longer waiting times to see a doctor, possibly extending into weeks and months. Add to that the elimination of innovations in the private sector that lead to breakthrough discoveries, all as a result of competition being removed from the medical technology playing field. Finally, funding all of this would require “shifting” funds from other priorities already deemed “urgent,” such as the nation’s infrastructure, those crumbling roads, and bridges now made more urgent due to the disastrous effects of climate change.

There’s no indication that this problem will be quickly solved, only that discussions will continue, while any momentum to effect positive change remains questionable. Americans would like to take the healthcare insurance coverage bull by the horns, but unfortunately, understand it’s just not within their power to do so. Until then, it’s a waiting game and may be for some time.