Higher-risk patients paying more for colonoscopies

https://mailchi.mp/9b1afd2b4afb/the-weekly-gist-december-1-2023?e=d1e747d2d8

Published this week in Stat, this article explores the confusing payment landscape patients must navigate when receiving colonoscopies. While the Affordable Care Act requires that preventative care services be covered without cost-sharing, this only applies to the “screening” colonoscopies that low-risk patients are recommended to get every ten years.

But when procedures are performed at more frequent intervals for higher-risk patients, they are called “surveillance” or “diagnostic” colonoscopies, for which patients have no guarantees of cost-sharing protections, despite being essentially the same procedure, done for the same purpose.

If a gastroenterologist finds and excises one or more precancerous polyps during a screening colonoscopy, the procedure can leave the patient—especially one with a high deductible health plan—with a large, unexpected bill. 

The Gist: Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in colorectal cancer rates among US adults under 65, articles like this are a frustrating demonstration of how insurance incentive structures can work against optimal care delivery. 

Incentives should be carefully designed such that proven, preventative screenings—at the discretion of their doctor—are widely available to patients with minimal financial barriers. Surely, no one is “choosing” to have an “unnecessary” colonoscopy—as the procedure is notoriously disliked by patients. 

BJC-Saint Luke’s $10B merger expected to close soon

https://mailchi.mp/9b1afd2b4afb/the-weekly-gist-december-1-2023?e=d1e747d2d8

After signing a letter of intent in late May, St. Louis, MO-based BJC HealthCare and Kansas City, MO-based Saint Luke’s Health System announced on Wednesday that they have signed a definitive merger agreement, having received the necessary regulatory approvals. 

Based on opposite sides of the “Show-Me State,” the systems’ markets do not directly overlap. The merger, expected to close on Jan. 1, 2024, will create a $10B revenue, 28-hospital system spanning Missouri, southern Illinois, and eastern Kansas. The two systems plan to retain their respective brands and will be dually headquartered in St. Louis and Kansas City. 

The Gist: BJC and Saint Luke’s are following in the footsteps of other recent mergers involving large health systems with no geographic overlap, which regulators have allowed to move forward. However, recent history shows there’s more to closing a deal than just passing regulatory muster. 

Both the Sanford-Fairview and UnityPoint-Presbyterian mergers were called off earlier this year for non-regulatory reasons, including the concerns of local stakeholders.

Given the difficult financial environment and the growing threat of vertically integrated payers, health systems looking to pursue scale strategies must ensure they will actually realize the promise these combinations may hold.

UnitedHealth Group’s Optum grows to 90K employed or affiliated physicians

https://mailchi.mp/9b1afd2b4afb/the-weekly-gist-december-1-2023?e=d1e747d2d8

At UnitedHealth Group’s (UHG’s) 2023 investor conference, Optum Health CEO Amar Desai, MD, revealed that Optum has added nearly 20K physicians in 2023, bringing its total physician count to nearly 90K.

None of these acquisitions were formally disclosed, including this year’s largest known pickup, Crystal Run Healthcare—a Middletown, NY-based group with over 400 doctors—which only became public after an internal email was shared with the press. Optum was already the nation’s largest employer of physicians by far, and its nearly 30 percent growth in 2023 only extends its lead.

The next two largest physician employers, Ascension and HCA Healthcare, manage a combined total of around 100K. Optum also employs or affiliates with an additional 40K advanced practice clinicians.

The Gist: Optum’s physician acquisition binge continues at a stunning pace: it has tripled its physician ranks since 2017, and now controls nearly 10 percent of all physicians in the US. But now that it has amassed a veritable physician army, there are emerging signs that it’s turning attention to right-sizing and rationalizing this massive portfolio. 

Recent layoffs at the Everett Clinic and the Polyclinic in greater Seattle suggest an end to Optum’s more hands-off initial approach to integration. While each of Optum’s myriad medical group acquisitions has been too small, relative to total company revenue, to trigger regulatory review, the proposed updates to federal merger reporting requirements could put a damper on its unfettered provider buying spree.   

Cigna and Humana reportedly engaged in merger talks

https://mailchi.mp/9b1afd2b4afb/the-weekly-gist-december-1-2023?e=d1e747d2d8

According to a Wall Street Journal exclusive published this Wednesday, Bloomfield, CT-based Cigna and Louisville, KY-based Humana, two of the nation’s largest health insurers, are exploring a merger that could close as soon as the end of this year.

With Cigna valued at around $83B and Humana at roughly $62B, their potential combination would be the largest domestic merger of the year, not just in healthcare, but across all industries.

According to anonymous insiders, the companies are discussing a cash-and-stock deal, but nothing has been finalized. Should an agreement be reached, the merger is expected to receive close attention from antitrust authorities. Both Humana and Cigna have attempted to merge with rival insurers over the past decade, only to see the deals blocked on antitrust grounds.

The Gist: This would be a blockbuster deal, putting the combined entity on par with CVS Health and UnitedHealth Group

Though Cigna and Humana have relatively little direct overlap in their health insurance businesses—Humana recently announced it will exit the commercial group business to focus on its more successful Medicare Advantage (MA) offerings and Cigna, mostly a commercial insurer, is reportedly shopping its much smaller MA business—their respective pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) may be an antitrust sticking point. (By market share, Cigna’s Express Scripts is the second-largest PBM, while Humana’s CenterWell Pharmacy is fourth.)

Given the Biden administration’s focus on targeting potentially anticompetitive healthcare mergers, as well as rising Congressional scrutiny around PBMs, this potential merger is sure to face many hurdles prior to closing.

The Broader Policy Implications of the Medicaid Unwinding Crisis

November 2023 marks seven months since the federal government began unwinding Medicaid’s pandemic-related continuous enrollment guarantee. Because Medicaid coverage is associated with improved access and better health outcomes, stabilizing enrollment throughout the public health emergency was a vital public health measure. Now states must grapple with the challenge of returning to normal operations, which means reviewing eligibility for more than 90 million beneficiaries. 

By early November, at least 10,135,000 people had been disenrolled. Overall, two-thirds of people had their coverage renewed while about one-third lost eligibility.

The rate of disenrollment during renewal varies greatly, depending on a state’s underlying Medicaid eligibility rules, capacity to process renewals, and strategies for simplifying the process and reducing risks of error. Illinois showed a disenrollment rate of less than 10 percent, while Florida’s rate was one-third. Disenrollment of children appears to be happening at a high rate, even though they should be protected because of the relatively generous eligibility standards governing children’s coverage under Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

As of November, children’s enrollment was down by 2.2 million. 

Among those disenrolled, more than 70 percent lost coverage for procedural reasons, like failure to return forms or an inaccurate mailing address. High procedural disenrollments also likely reflect agency error (e.g., miscalculating earnings information), but available data do not track the proportion of procedural disenrollments that result from such mistakes.

The high procedural disenrollment problem is exacerbated by the speed at which some states are acting — far faster than required under the federal 12-month unwinding timeline allowed by Congress. 

Compounding matters, anecdotal evidence suggests that people terminated for procedural reasons are also being turned away from the health insurance marketplace because states close cases without determining if beneficiaries are truly ineligible for Medicaid. This is happening even though marketplaces and Medicaid agencies are supposed to coordinate activities to ensure that people losing Medicaid can obtain marketplace coverage if eligible. 

The numbers are staggering. Texas has disenrolled more than 1.2 million people; Florida’s disenrollments have exceeded 730,000.

Disenrollment rates are the result of a complex process, excessive speed, and overtasked workers, along with states’ underlying eligibility rules for low-income children and adults. If these rules are more restrictive, they increase the disenrollment rate. In states that have not adopted the Affordable Care Act (ACA) expansion, the potential for major coverage loss is far higher. In nonexpansion states, the rules for poor adults (who had coverage throughout the pandemic, including postpartum women or teenage children who have now reached young adulthood) require an extremely low income level — 16 percent of the federal poverty level in Texas or about $4,000 annually for a family of three in 2023. As stated previously, the disenrollment of children has been far higher than expected, affecting even newborns during the first year of life when enrollment is guaranteed. 

The ACA streamlined and simplified Medicaid’s historically complex enrollment and renewal process by eliminating in-person interviews, automating data collection functions, and instituting an ex parte process, in which the state performs reviews without placing unnecessary renewal burdens on beneficiaries. In addition, a historic 1970 Supreme Court decision governing due process protections for people receiving means-tested public assistance benefits requires states to fully and comprehensibly explain in writing why coverage is ending and gives beneficiaries the opportunity to contest a termination decision before it takes effect. These constitutional safeguards are especially crucial to Medicaid because termination implicates not only coverage, but access to health care itself. 

In 2022, long after the ACA simplification reforms were instituted, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) concluded that of the 15 million people estimated to lose Medicaid during the unwinding process, nearly 45 percent would lose coverage because of procedural issues associated with navigating the renewal process. HHS also foresaw that children and younger adults (including very poor parents) would be disproportionately affected. The evidence appears to be bearing both predictions out. 

The federal government and advocates have begun to take action to mitigate erroneous coverage loss. The 2022 unwinding legislation empowers the HHS Secretary to impose corrective action plans in states showing excessive procedural disenrollments. In states that fail to comply with such plans, HHS would “require the State to suspend . . . terminations of eligibility for medical assistance . . . that are for procedural reasons until the State takes appropriate corrective action.” Under this special power, HHS has urged states to guard against improper disenrollments without an individualized ex parte review and also ordered reinstatement of a half-million children and adults disenrolled simply because other family members were no longer eligible. The agency has ordered states to halt disenrollment until corrective action is taken. 

In a first-of-its-kind case, beneficiaries in Florida who have lost coverage without required constitutional protections have sued for reinstatement and to halt further disenrollment. Plaintiffs include children (some with serious disabilities) and adults. The complaint describes state notices that are incomprehensible by people with average education and that fail to convey which family members are losing coverage, why coverage is being lost, and the right to a pre-termination hearing. Beneficiaries in other states may follow suit. 

The current unwinding situation presents a unique challenge for states, health care providers, and above all, millions of beneficiaries who depend on Medicaid. It is important to remember that continuous enrollment enacted during the pandemic was a response to three structural limitations that are part of everyday Medicaid: first, highly restrictive eligibility limits, particularly in states that do not cover low-income working-age adults; second, the lack of annual guaranteed enrollment for all beneficiaries, regardless of age or basis of eligibility; and third, a redetermination process that, despite improvements, continues to face enormous operational challenges.