Category Archives: Demographics

Changing American Demographics Make Hospital Operations Harder

Posted on by • Posted in Chronic Conditions, Consumer Segmentation, Culture, Demographics, Family, Medication Management, Mental Health, Public Health, Social Determinants of Health, Social Isolation, Social Support & Isolation, Solo Living • Leave a comment

https://www.kaufmanhall.com/insights/thoughts-ken-kaufman/changing-american-demographics-make-hospital-operations-harder

Regular readers know I’ve long been curious about the forces driving one essential question in healthcare today:

Why is it so hard to run a hospital now? One area worth exploring is the interplay between the healthcare system and our nation’s changing demographics.

Baby Boomers have been displaced as the largest generation of adults in America. Millennials now hold that position, and Gen Z will likely outnumber Baby Boomers in the workplace sometime this year. Our nation is rapidly diversifying, as more than two-fifths of Americans identify as people of color.

It’s not just a matter of who we are as a nation that’s changing; how we live is evolving, too. The number of 40-year-olds who’ve never been married reached record highs in 2022, according to the Pew Research Center, dovetailing with a steadily growing trend since 1970 toward single living.

The U.S. Census published a report earlier this year showing that nearly 29% of American households include only one person. Further, the U.S. fertility rate is at an all-time low — and, according to a Pew survey, may not recover, given that 47% of those under 50 said they were unlikely to have children. That’s an increase of 10 percentage points since 2018.

The effects of this are starting to shape our broader culture. Solo living has been cited as a contributing factor to the housing crisis, and we’re starting to hear more about how people are grappling with the practical implications of retiring while living alone. This column in The New York Times is just one example. 

As for the potential health effects of living alone, in 2023, U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy raised an alarm with a report documenting the negative effects of social isolation on individual and public health. Murthy outlined a host of risks, including cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes and increased susceptibility to infectious disease. Mental health is a major concern. A 2024 study published in National Health Statistics Reports found that people who live alone were more likely to be depressed, particularly if they lacked social or emotional support. 

All of this adds up to an increasing burden on the U.S. healthcare system.

As providers who care for the socially isolated already know, it’s impossible to operate as usual if a patient lacks family support. Hospitals and the traditional American family structure are fundamentally intertwined. When family support is not available for a medical emergency, then the entire hospital episode becomes more fragile. Patient discharge procedures assume someone is available at home to help with care, assist in transporting patients for follow-up visits, and engage with the business office around billing and insurance.

Without this family safety net, the potential for readmission rises, harming patient outcomes, increasing costs and putting quality ratings at risk. The rise in younger people living alone also raises further financial implications, given that about 45% of Americans access health insurance through employer-sponsored programs. If someone living alone becomes too sick to work, patients may be less able to pay for care when they need it most.

This is just another in a long list of challenging hospital operational dilemmas. How best to respond to such profound change in the American demographic landscape? The right strategy may be to re-think consumer segmentation.

Consumer segmentation has become very popular at the clinical product level, but perhaps the next level of service segmentation is not among disease types but based on demographic characteristics. 

As an increasing portion of the American population has less family support to navigate a hospital stay or chronic illness, it will become more important to identify these patients and determine which new and enhanced services need to be provided to them by the hospital. Social work programs will need to be more robust, and health systems should invest in community partnerships to help bridge the resource gap. But the wide-ranging nature of patients’ practical needs will likely require healthcare leaders to think creatively. 

Consider the scope:

  • Care coordinators: Particularly for patients with complex conditions, it may be beneficial to designate a care coordinator to oversee healthcare planning.
  • Home health care: Without family members to help with day-to-day care, more nurses and aides will be needed to provide healthcare at home as well as help with day-to-day living. For patients with less demanding healthcare needs, adult day care may be useful.
  • Medication management: Patients need to understand how to take their medications, watch for potential side effects and interactions, and develop a system to make sure they take them on time. Further, they may need help navigating the pharmacy, either in getting prescriptions filled or with financial assistance programs.
  • Meal delivery: Nutrition is vital to a patient’s recovery, and ensuring patients have access to healthy options can help to reduce the likelihood of readmission.
  • Personal emergency response systems: Patients may need devices to call for help during an emergency as well as medical bracelets or other methods for communicating important information to first responders.
  • Housekeeping assistance: Hospitals may need to help connect patients with resources to maintain clean, safe homes. 
  • Volunteer companions: While volunteer companions usually help elderly patients with social interaction and basic needs, it may be necessary to develop programs that target a wider range of ages.
  • Transportation services: Patients need help getting to and from follow-up visits.
  • Telehealth: Remote care will become increasingly important. Clinical services should consider whether care plans could be adjusted to reduce the number of in-person visits.

Beyond targeting resources, consumer segmentation also offers an opportunity to communicate with patients in a more effective and personalized way. This sort of engagement fosters trust and increases loyalty that’s particularly important, given the intimate nature of healthcare.

It’s long been true that the stronger the family system, the better off hospitals are. But as the concept of the American family shifts, and in this case, unwinds, healthcare leaders need to be attuned to new demands—and nimble enough to meet them. This requires making the most of the information you have today to plan for tomorrow.

Navigating a Post-Covid Path to the New Normal with Gist Healthcare CEO, Chas Roades

Posted on by • Posted in Affordability, Board, Board Assessment, Board Competency, Board Engagement, Brand Loyalty, Branding, Business to Consumer Model, Capitation, Cash, Cash Reserves, Competition, Consumer Loyalty, Consumer Trust, Consumerism, Coronavirus, Corporate Overhead, Corporate Strategy, Cost Management, Cost Reduction, Crisis, Crisis Management, Cross Subsidy Model, Debt Service, Decision Making, Demographics, Disruption, Disruptive Technology, Economic Crisis, Economic Stimulus, Efficiency, Elective Procedures, Elective Surgery, Fee for Service Reimbursement, Financial Incentives, Financial Viability, Financially Distressed, Focus, Governance, Health Insurance Coverage Adequacy, Health Insurance Industry, Health Policy, Health System, High Deductible Health Plans, High Drug Prices, High Prices, Hospital, Hospital Industry, Job, Job Market, Job Search, Job Security, KPI Dashboards, Labor Spend Management, Leadership, Leadership Alignment, Leadership Trust, Market Consolidation, Market Power, Market Share, Market Trends, Market Uncertainty, Medical Group, Member Health, Mergers & Acquisitions, Net Income, Nonoperating Income, Objectivity, Operating Expense Reduction, Operating Expenses, Operating Income, Operating Margin, Operating Performance, Operating Revenue, Out of Pocket Expenses, Pandemic, Physician, Physician Employment, Physician Independent Network (IPA), Physician Multispecialty Network, Physician Practice Management, Price Transparency, Pricing, Primary Care Delivery Model, Primary Care Loyalty, Private Equity, Profit Model, Quality, Quality of Care, Safety, Strategic Alignment, Strategic Leadership, Strategy, Streamlining Operations, Supply Chain, Surprise Bills, Telemedicine, Trust, Trusted Brand, Truth, Value, Value Creation, Value Proposition, Value-Based Healthcare, Virtual Healthcare, Virtual Reality, Virtual Visit, Workplace Safety • Leave a comment

https://www.lrvhealth.com/podcast/?single_podcast=2203

Covid-19, Regulatory Changes and Election Implications: An Inside ...Chas Roades (@ChasRoades) | Twitter

Healthcare is Hard: A Podcast for Insiders; June 11, 2020

Over the course of nearly 20 years as Chief Research Officer at The Advisory Board Company, Chas Roades became a trusted advisor for CEOs, leadership teams and boards of directors at health systems across the country. When The Advisory Board was acquired by Optum in 2017, Chas left the company with Chief Medical Officer, Lisa Bielamowicz. Together they founded Gist Healthcare, where they play a similar role, but take an even deeper and more focused look at the issues health systems are facing.

As Chas explains, Gist Healthcare has members from Allentown, Pennsylvania to Beverly Hills, California and everywhere in between. Most of the organizations Gist works with are regional health systems in the $2 to $5 billion range, where Chas and his colleagues become adjunct members of the executive team and board. In this role, Chas is typically hopscotching the country for in-person meetings and strategy sessions, but Covid-19 has brought many changes.

“Almost overnight, Chas went from in-depth sessions about long-term five-year strategy, to discussions about how health systems will make it through the next six weeks and after that, adapt to the new normal. He spoke to Keith Figlioli about many of the issues impacting these discussions including:

  • Corporate Governance. The decisions health systems will be forced to make over the next two to five years are staggeringly big, according to Chas. As a result, Gist is spending a lot of time thinking about governance right now and how to help health systems supercharge governance processes to lay a foundation for the making these difficult choices.
  • Health Systems Acting Like Systems. As health systems struggle to maintain revenue and margins, they’ll be forced to streamline operations in a way that finally takes advantage of system value. As providers consolidated in recent years, they successfully met the goal of gaining size and negotiating leverage, but paid much less attention to the harder part – controlling cost and creating value. That’s about to change. It will be a lasting impact of Covid-19, and an opportunity for innovators.
  • The Telehealth Land Grab. Providers have quickly ramped-up telehealth services as a necessity to survive during lockdowns. But as telehealth plays a larger role in the new standard of care, payers will not sit idly by and are preparing to double-down on their own virtual care capabilities. They’re looking to take over the virtual space and own the digital front door in an effort to gain coveted customer loyalty. Chas talks about how it would be foolish for providers to expect that payers will continue reimburse at high rates or at parity for physical visits.
  • The Battleground Over Physicians. This is the other area to watch as payers and providers clash over the hearts and minds of consumers. The years-long trend of physician practices being acquired and rolled-up into larger organizations will significantly accelerate due to Covid-19. The financial pain the pandemic has caused will force some practices out of business and many others looking for an exit. And as health systems deal with their own financial hardships, payers with deep pockets are the more likely suitor.”

 

 

 

 

In need of a new lens on demographic trends

Posted on by • Posted in Demographics, Disruption, Health System, Hospital, Hospital Industry, Leadership, Leadership Implementation, Strategic Alignment, Strategic Leadership, Strategy • Leave a comment

As we’ve discussed before, our view is the healthcare system faces two fundamental demographic challenges across the next decade.

The first is how to sustainably accommodate 80M Baby Boomers—all of whom will be over 65 within the next ten years and in the Medicare program. This will entail providers learning to care for seniors in a much lower cost, lower intensity way, and payers (the federal government and insurers) to design benefits, networks and reimbursement approaches that support a more appropriate model of care delivery.

The second, often less discussed, is how to adapt traditional delivery approaches for the (even larger) Millennial generation, who will enter their “fix me” years within the next decade, and bring their high-demand, high-information, digitally-oriented consumption behaviors to an industry that has been built for older consumers more accustomed to the “hurry up and wait” model.
 
Our concern for incumbents, as the graphic suggests, is that they view these two demographic challenges through the lens of their current business models and seek to protect their legacy economics.

We commonly hear provider executives talk about “taking a wait and see attitude” and having a bias toward “no-regrets moves”. Why should we embrace price transparency, destroy demand for our own services, or disrupt ourselves, while we’re still making so much money on fee-for-service medicine?

But self-disruption is becoming an urgent priority as newly-emboldened outsiders look to upend the traditional model. Players like CVS, UnitedHealth Group and others view now as the time to assemble low-cost delivery assets and redesign network and benefit structures to capture the loyalty of those Boomers in Medicare Advantage plans for the next decade or more. And technology companies from Amazon to Google see an immediate opportunity to build new models around consumer loyalty as well, moving at Internet speed.

The sooner incumbents wake up to the reality that these unprecedented demographic forces demand a new approach to doing business, the better their chance of avoiding being outflanked by these kinds of disruptors.